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The Conditional Nature of the Local Warming Effect
The Conditional Nature of the Local Warming Effect

Arctic amplification: can the past constrain the future?
Arctic amplification: can the past constrain the future?

IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON PLANKTON
IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON PLANKTON

... response to global warming. If the predictions of the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) of a continuing rise in global temperatures prevail then it can be expected that returns of salmon to home waters will continue to decline, especially at the southern edge of their distribution in Spai ...
Characteristic atmosphere-ocean-solid earth interactions - HAL-Insu
Characteristic atmosphere-ocean-solid earth interactions - HAL-Insu

Changes In Ice Storm Frequency Across The United States
Changes In Ice Storm Frequency Across The United States

... patterns across the United States throughout the entire year, but is usually most strongly noticed during the winter. A Closer Look at the AMO: The AMO is generally defined as a measure of the change in sea surface temperatures over the North Atlantic Ocean, which consists of a warm phase and a cool ...
East African glacier loss and climate change Corrections to the
East African glacier loss and climate change Corrections to the

... UNEP article’s statement that the glaciers ‘‘are now receding at an unprecedented pace’’. Their recession has been strong throughout the period of the records (Fig. 1). Another flaw of the UNEP authors in the context of glacier changes is the insufficient distinction between ice and snow. (i) Their Fi ...
Changes in the ventilation of the southern oceans
Changes in the ventilation of the southern oceans

Climate Change Impacts on Arctic Wildlife
Climate Change Impacts on Arctic Wildlife

North Pacific Climate Overview N. Bond (UW/JISAO) Contact
North Pacific Climate Overview N. Bond (UW/JISAO) Contact

Tipping elements in the Arctic marine ecosystem Carlos M. Duarte1
Tipping elements in the Arctic marine ecosystem Carlos M. Duarte1

What happens in the arctic doesn`t stay in the arctic
What happens in the arctic doesn`t stay in the arctic

... over the last 30 years and this means that significantly more heat is being exchanged between the Arctic ocean and the surrounding atmosphere. The Arctic environment is integral to global climate systems, and this higher heat flux not only results in profound changes within local Arctic ecosystems, ...
Effects of global warming on arctic sea-floor
Effects of global warming on arctic sea-floor

... the ocean by river runoff and precipitation or that is produced in the overlying water. Organic matter from primary production in the water column and contaminants scavenged by sinking particles accumulate in sediments where their fate is determined by physical, biological, and chemical processes oc ...
The Carbon Dioxide Greenhouse Effect
The Carbon Dioxide Greenhouse Effect

... enough.1 (By recent calculations, the total amount of carbon laid up in coal and other fossil deposits that humanity can readily get at and burn is some ten times greater than the total amount in the atmosphere.) So the next CO2 change might not be a cooling decrease, but an increase. Arrhenius made ...
Impacts of thermohaline circulation shutdown in the twenty
Impacts of thermohaline circulation shutdown in the twenty

IOC/SCOR Workshop on Global Ocean Ecosystem Dynamics
IOC/SCOR Workshop on Global Ocean Ecosystem Dynamics

... fate of phytoplankton stocks and the nature of dissolved and particulate detritus that fuel microbial regeneration. Zocplankton secondary production represents the only route along which the products of phytoplankton photosynthesis flow to the animals that constitute the marine living resources. Sur ...
April 2013 News - South Asian Dialogues on Ecological Democracy
April 2013 News - South Asian Dialogues on Ecological Democracy

... sediments -- to reconstruct temperature back through time using a Bayesian statistical approach," Tingley said. "What we are trying to do is put statistical inference of past changes in temperature on a more solid and complete footing.”… Source: http://www.countercurrents.org/cc130413.htm Arctic Wil ...
Research Article Arctic Ocean Gas Hydrate Stability in a Changing Climate
Research Article Arctic Ocean Gas Hydrate Stability in a Changing Climate

Climate change between the mid and late Holocene in northern high
Climate change between the mid and late Holocene in northern high

... proxies in Fig. 1, the northern high-latitude region was about 1 ◦ C warmer in summer, 1.8 ◦ C warmer in winter and 2.1 ◦ C warmer in the annual mean temperature at 6 ka, in comparison to 0 ka. The uncertainties of the overall temperature change largely depend on the uncertainty in individual recons ...
Oceanography of the Canadian Shelf of the Beaufort Sea: A Setting
Oceanography of the Canadian Shelf of the Beaufort Sea: A Setting

Climate Change Indicators in the United States
Climate Change Indicators in the United States

Two Decades of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning
Two Decades of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning

... The emphasis in this paper is on the need to understand the flow and variability throughout the entire Atlantic Ocean; specific regional discussions are omitted. Nonetheless, note that the Rapid Climate Change (RAPID) array (Rayner et al. 2011) uniquely spans the North Atlantic at 26.58N and provide ...
vulnerability analysis to climate change in the caribbean belize
vulnerability analysis to climate change in the caribbean belize

Environmental effects of increased atmospheric carbon dioxide
Environmental effects of increased atmospheric carbon dioxide

... (Mann et al. 1999). That reconstruction is based primarily on tree ring width and density, which are primarily indicators of summer temperature. The record has varied over a range of no more than 1°C in the hemispheric average. There are important limitations to the interpretation of the proxy tempe ...
Marine Traffic in the Arctic
Marine Traffic in the Arctic

Activity report_year N-Template - MONARCH-A
Activity report_year N-Template - MONARCH-A

... into Arctic ocean, including use of data from GRDC (month 12); Satellite radar altimetry data sets over large Arctic rivers have been assembled, water level variations are have been computed. These satellite-derived water levels have been delivered. D1.2.3 - Water level variations over the large Arc ...
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Future sea level



The rate of global mean sea-level rise (~3 mm/yr; SLR) has accelerated compared to the mean of the 20th century (~2 mm/yr), but the rate of rise is locally variable. Factors contributing to SLR include decreased global ice volume and warming of the ocean. On Greenland, the deficiency between annual ice gained and lost tripled between 1996 and 2007. On Antarctica the deficiency increased by 75%. Mountain glaciers are retreating and the cumulative mean thickness change has accelerated from about −1.8 to −4 m in 1965 to 1970 to about −12 to −14 m in the first decade of the 21st century. From 1961 to 2003, ocean temperatures to a depth of 700 m increased and portions of the deeper ocean are warming.The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2007) projected sea level would reach 0.18 to 0.59 m above present by the end of the 21st century but lacked an estimate of ice flow dynamics calving. Calving was added by Pfeffer et al. (2008) indicating 0.8 to 2 m of SLR by 2100 (favouring the low end of this range). Rahmstorf (2007) estimated SLR will reach 0.5 to 1.4 m by the end of the century. Pielke (2008) points out that observed SLR has exceeded the best case projections thus far. These approximations and others indicate that global mean SLR may reach 1 m by the end of this century. However, sea level is highly variable and planners considering local impacts must take this variability into account.
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