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Heat transport during the Last Glacial Maximum in PMIP2 models
Heat transport during the Last Glacial Maximum in PMIP2 models

The Future Sea-Level Contribution from Antarctica
The Future Sea-Level Contribution from Antarctica

... of the solid ice discharge from Antarctica, the largest ice mass on Earth. To understand the physical mechanisms underlying a change in solid ice discharge and to quantify the uncertainties in future projections of the sea-level contribution from Antarctica, we have developed the Potsdam Parallel Ic ...
1 Years of the Maritime Continent (YMC) (2017-2019)
1 Years of the Maritime Continent (YMC) (2017-2019)

Lake Superior summer water temperatures are increasing more
Lake Superior summer water temperatures are increasing more

Rapid climate variability during warm and cold periods in
Rapid climate variability during warm and cold periods in

The Global Warming Debate: A Review of the State of Science
The Global Warming Debate: A Review of the State of Science

S TAT E O F T H E WO R... Into a Warming World 2 0
S TAT E O F T H E WO R... Into a Warming World 2 0

Language Work (para. 1)
Language Work (para. 1)

Present
Present

From the report accepted by Working Group I
From the report accepted by Working Group I

North American 2008 Cooling Attributed to Natural
North American 2008 Cooling Attributed to Natural

... impacts. It is not an exhaustive survey of the potential benefits of ocean information, and the talk focused solely on the sea surface temperature information. It was shown that ocean observations in the tropical east Pacific, information that is vital to support predictions of ENSO, are tantamount ...
The Full Press Release
The Full Press Release

Can natural variability explain observed Antarctic sea ice trends
Can natural variability explain observed Antarctic sea ice trends

Have the Tropical Pacific Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions
Have the Tropical Pacific Ocean-Atmosphere Interactions

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20090302_SPM_Discuss..

... anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations. This is an advance since the TAR’s conclusion that “most of the observed warming over the last 50 years is likely to have been due to the increase in greenhouse gas concentrations”. Discernible human influences now extend to other aspects of climate, incl ...
What Factors Determine Earth`s Climate?
What Factors Determine Earth`s Climate?

The response of polar sea ice to climate variability and change
The response of polar sea ice to climate variability and change

... system. As the sea-ice albedo is much higher than that of open water, input of solar shortwave energy is greatly reduced in the polar regions. Furthermore, the ice-covered ocean is susceptible to feedback processes, potentially amplifying reductions in ice coverage with important consequences for th ...
Ice ages and ecological transitions on temperate coasts
Ice ages and ecological transitions on temperate coasts

Expansion of the Hadley cell under global warming
Expansion of the Hadley cell under global warming

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... Global warming refers to the increasing temperature of the Earth. Scientists think it is mainly caused by gases ___1___ when fuels such as coal and oil are burned. ___2___ the world burning more fuel than ever, global warming could mean big trouble for humans. It already has caused glaciers to melt, ...
News and New IPRC Staff
News and New IPRC Staff

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Holocene periodicity in North Atlantic climate and deep

Climate Change Information Fact Sheet SOUTHERN AFRICA
Climate Change Information Fact Sheet SOUTHERN AFRICA

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Final Draft

... Observation Satellites (CEOS) has helped coordinate a global response to needs. Nations have been urged to act on this GCOS Implementation Plan by the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and the Group on Earth Observations (GEO). The WMO-IOC Joint Technical Commission for Oceanography ...
< 1 ... 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 ... 105 >

Future sea level



The rate of global mean sea-level rise (~3 mm/yr; SLR) has accelerated compared to the mean of the 20th century (~2 mm/yr), but the rate of rise is locally variable. Factors contributing to SLR include decreased global ice volume and warming of the ocean. On Greenland, the deficiency between annual ice gained and lost tripled between 1996 and 2007. On Antarctica the deficiency increased by 75%. Mountain glaciers are retreating and the cumulative mean thickness change has accelerated from about −1.8 to −4 m in 1965 to 1970 to about −12 to −14 m in the first decade of the 21st century. From 1961 to 2003, ocean temperatures to a depth of 700 m increased and portions of the deeper ocean are warming.The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2007) projected sea level would reach 0.18 to 0.59 m above present by the end of the 21st century but lacked an estimate of ice flow dynamics calving. Calving was added by Pfeffer et al. (2008) indicating 0.8 to 2 m of SLR by 2100 (favouring the low end of this range). Rahmstorf (2007) estimated SLR will reach 0.5 to 1.4 m by the end of the century. Pielke (2008) points out that observed SLR has exceeded the best case projections thus far. These approximations and others indicate that global mean SLR may reach 1 m by the end of this century. However, sea level is highly variable and planners considering local impacts must take this variability into account.
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