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A guide to facts and fictions about climate change
A guide to facts and fictions about climate change

... The petition was circulated together with a document written by individuals affiliated to OISM and to the George C Marshall Institute, another campaigning organisation. On 20 April 1998, the US National Academy of Sciences (NAS) issued a warning about the document circulated with the petition becaus ...
The Great Global Warming Swindle
The Great Global Warming Swindle

... Climate models represent the lag in the response of the climate, and the influence of many external factors. These show that the trend in temperatures does match what we would expect. Based on these analyses and others, the recent report of the IPCC concluded that most of the warming over at least t ...
an_elephant_in_a_che.. - Tech-Know
an_elephant_in_a_che.. - Tech-Know

... Many of the points that “climate change alarmists” use to make their case, in fact prove them wrong. The first temperature measurements that flagged the current warming trend were not due to the greenhouse effect, but reflected the encroachment of expanding cities onto the measurement sites. Expandi ...
MedECC: Towards an improved scientific assessment of climate
MedECC: Towards an improved scientific assessment of climate

... The scientific committee is responsible for leading the scientific activities of the network and ensuring the scientific rigour of the MedECC work and specific deliverables. The approval of new members is also a task of this committee. It will be integrated by a total of 20 members, including the 10 ...
Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown
Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown

... changes have been framed in terms of GMST having “‘stalled’, ‘stopped’, ‘paused’, or entered a ‘hiatus’”. Just exactly how such changes should be referred to is open to debate. Possible choices include ‘reduced rate of warming’, ‘decadal fluctuation’ or ‘temporary slowdown’ — all try to convey the p ...
Fairbanks Daily News-Miner - Institute of Arctic Biology
Fairbanks Daily News-Miner - Institute of Arctic Biology

... collaborators. I checked these results when I gave a presentation before the Joint Alaska Climate Impact Assessment Commission in April 2007. My research field is theoretical meteorology. Thus, I am able to evaluate theoretical concepts used, for instance, by the IPCC. Most of these concepts have no ...
variability of freezing levels, melting season indicators, and snow
variability of freezing levels, melting season indicators, and snow

... significant. The pre-1958 data may contain biases, particularly in the Southern Hemisphere, arising from changes in the observing system (Kistler et al., 2001). However, we note that the cooler temperatures and lower FLH evident for these early years of the record are consistent with the generally l ...
Original scientific paper TEMPERATURE ALTITUDE
Original scientific paper TEMPERATURE ALTITUDE

... The UAHMSU data refer to lower (TLT), i.e., middle troposphere (ТМТ) are available in the form of temperature deviations in relation to the reference period of 1981-2010. The process of obtaining the TLT data is quite complex (Mears & Wentz, 2009), because of ponderable values and the removal of str ...
Record-breaking temperatures reveal a warming climate
Record-breaking temperatures reveal a warming climate

... in a moderate but significant way: For the European station data covering the time period 19762005, we find that about 5 of the 17 high temperature records observed on average in 2005 can be attributed to the warming climate. ...
- Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology
- Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology

... Average conditions may not show appreciable change but may be characterized by a variety of extreme situations. Extremes could have more significant socioeconomic consequences than the changes in mean ...
Naomi Oreskes - Merchants of Doubt
Naomi Oreskes - Merchants of Doubt

... University of California in San Diego. In 1957, Suess and Revelle published an article in the peer review journal, Tellus, in which they suggested that mankind was performing a great geophysical experiment, by taking carbon dioxide that had been stored in rocks over the course of hundreds of million ...
Determining Climate Change Scenarios And Projections
Determining Climate Change Scenarios And Projections

... Archive of Downscaled CMIP3 + CMIP5 Climatology Outputs: • CMIP3 and CMIP5 outputs were downscaled using empirical-statistical techniques and a restricted set of combinations of GCMs and emissions scenarios to 0.125 degree (~12 km) on a grid side • This archive now houses >200 transient-through-time ...
Internal and forced climate variability during the last millennium: a
Internal and forced climate variability during the last millennium: a

... both cases internally generated internal variability could mask the forced signal. As a consequence, in the present study, our goal is to estimate the contributions of forced and internal variability in the Northern Hemispheric climate evolution during the last millennium. To do so, an ensemble of 2 ...
Microsoft Word
Microsoft Word

... William Stanley Jevons’ “Climate” represented an early example of thinking about Australia as a single continental landmass subject to natural forces that recognise nothing of political boundaries. Among the contributions he made to Australian arts and sciences during his brief stint of less than fi ...
Overlooked and Neglected Issues in Climate Change Studies: The Need for a
Overlooked and Neglected Issues in Climate Change Studies: The Need for a

... forcing, while each vertical line is an estimate of the uncertainty range associated with the forcing guided by the spread in the published record and physical understanding, and with no statistical connotation. Each forcing agent is associated with a level of scientific understanding, which is base ...
Word format
Word format

... assuming lower sulphur dioxide emissions in the future, doesn’t wash. 3. SRES BASIS FOR IPCC’S PROJECTIONS “Climate Change 2001: the scientific basis”, the Working Group 1 contribution to IPCC’s Third Assessment Report, has these words in its Summary for Policymakers: “Global average temperature and ...
lecture 34
lecture 34

... the start of a man-made global warming? Two main anthropogenic forcing mechanisms: Greenhouse gas concentrations => rising. Aerosol concentrations => also increasing. We will focus attention on CO2 increases. ...
The Nature of Science
The Nature of Science

... The pursuit of science focuses on establishing probability rather than certainty. Scientists accept the fact that they are not all knowing and must remain objective and open to other possibilities when conducting scientific research. Through the use of consensus-building activities — challenging oth ...
FRAMES IN REPORTS AND IN REPORTING: HOW FRAMING
FRAMES IN REPORTS AND IN REPORTING: HOW FRAMING

... design elements in order to provide a context for the information presented in a document. In this article, I will analyze the framing of a technical report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Then I will analyze news articles written about the report and corporate news releases respon ...
Executive Summary: Impact of Climate Change on the Ecology of
Executive Summary: Impact of Climate Change on the Ecology of

... and negate any advantage cyanobacteria may gain with increased temperature. The review of literature identified a poor knowledge of whether there is an interaction between nutrients and temperature in promoting cyanobacterial blooms. To fill this research gap, three approaches were used. A statistic ...
Journalism 614: Content Analysis
Journalism 614: Content Analysis

... “Some of the world's most distinctive and biologically diverse climate regions – from South America's Andes Mountains to southern and eastern Africa and the US Southwest – may be drastically altered by century's end, endangering plant and animal life there, if there are no curbs on greenhouse gas em ...
The Global Warming Debate: A Review of the State of Science
The Global Warming Debate: A Review of the State of Science

... increase in the atmospheric concentration of CO2 by a factor of two would lead to a heating of the earth’s temperature by 5 to 6 °C. Arrhenius’ work was followed by the studies of American geologist CHAMBERLIN (1899) whose work was focused on the role of CO2 in the formation of glacial periods in ge ...
IPCC Factsheet:  What is the IPCC?
IPCC Factsheet: What is the IPCC?

... Organization (WMO) and United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) to provide policymakers with regular assessments of the scientific basis of climate change, its impacts and future risks, and options for adaptation and mitigation. IPCC assessments provide a scientific basis for governments at all l ...
Global Warming: The Origin and Nature of the Alleged Scientif
Global Warming: The Origin and Nature of the Alleged Scientif

... There was even a report by the National Research Council of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences reaching its usual ambiguous conclusions. But the scientific community never took the issue to heart, governments ignored it, and with rising global temperatures in the late 1970s the issue more or less ...
Global perceptions of local temperature change
Global perceptions of local temperature change

... can influence beliefs about climate change. For example, direct visceral experience of warmth has been found to affect belief in global warming among US college students7,14 . Among residents of the US and Australia, perceptions of increasing local temperatures have been found to influence belief an ...
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North Report

The North Report was a 2006 report evaluating reconstructions of the temperature record of the past two millennia, providing an overview of the state of the science and the implications for understanding of global warming. It was produced by a National Research Council committee, chaired by Gerald North, at the request of Representative Sherwood Boehlert as chairman of the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Science.These reconstructions had been dubbed ""hockey stick graphs"" after the 1999 reconstruction by Mann, Bradley and Hughes (MBH99), which used the methodology of their 1998 reconstruction covering 600 years (MBH98). A graph based on MBH99 was featured prominently in the 2001 IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR), and became a focus of the global warming controversy over the 1997 Kyoto Protocol. It was disputed by various contrarians, and in the politicisation of this hockey stick controversy the New York Times of 14 February 2005 hailed a paper by businessman Stephen McIntyre and economist Ross McKitrick (MM05) as undermining the scientific consensus behind the Kyoto agreement. On 23 June 2005, Rep. Joe Barton, chairman of the House Committee on Energy and Commerce, with Ed Whitfield, Chairman of the Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations, wrote joint letters referring to issues raised by the Wall Street Journal article, and demanding that Mann, Bradley and Hughes provide full records on their data and methods, finances and careers, information about grants provided to the institutions they had worked for, and the exact computer codes used to generate their results. Boehlert said this was a ""misguided and illegitimate investigation"" into something that should properly be under the jurisdiction of the Science Committee, and in November 2005 after Barton dismissed the offer of an independent investigation organised by the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, Boehlert requested the review, which became the North Report.The North Report went through a rigorous review process, and was published on 22 June 2006. It concluded ""with a high level of confidence that global mean surface temperature was higher during the last few decades of the 20th century than during any comparable period during the preceding four centuries"", justified by consistent evidence from a wide variety of geographically diverse proxies, but ""Less confidence can be placed in large-scale surface temperature reconstructions for the period from 900 to 1600"". It broadly agreed with the basic findings of the original MBH studies, which subsequently been supported by other reconstructions and proxy records, while emphasising uncertainties over earlier periods. The principal component analysis methodology that McIntyre and McKitrick had contested had a small tendency to bias results so was not recommended—but it had little influence on the final reconstructions, and other methods produced similar results.
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