Climate Change Projections for the United States Midwest
... The historical record of climate over the Midwest was combined with GCM projections to place these within the context of regional climate over the last century. We recognize the significant uncertainties inherent to application of GCM data at a regional scale; however, when considered in combination ...
... The historical record of climate over the Midwest was combined with GCM projections to place these within the context of regional climate over the last century. We recognize the significant uncertainties inherent to application of GCM data at a regional scale; however, when considered in combination ...
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... (in the north). The choice of these particular seasonal definitions is motivated by the fact that they provided the best fit with the data and reflect the mid-point for key rainy seasons in the sample. We adjusted for the fact that seasons in the southern hemisphere occur at exactly the opposite mon ...
... (in the north). The choice of these particular seasonal definitions is motivated by the fact that they provided the best fit with the data and reflect the mid-point for key rainy seasons in the sample. We adjusted for the fact that seasons in the southern hemisphere occur at exactly the opposite mon ...
Chapter 14 Tourism, leisure and sport
... events such as landslides and avalanches. Because tourists do not necessarily speak the language of the country they are visiting, prompt communication of imminent disasters is often a problem. Tourists are also more vulnerable than local residents because they tend to be less familiar with the plac ...
... events such as landslides and avalanches. Because tourists do not necessarily speak the language of the country they are visiting, prompt communication of imminent disasters is often a problem. Tourists are also more vulnerable than local residents because they tend to be less familiar with the plac ...
Increase of extreme events in a warming world
... thus explains why records occurred only in the 1930s and in the last decade. Fig. 4 clearly shows that the warming trend after 1980 has multiplied the likelihood of a new heat record in Moscow and would have provided a strong reason to expect it before it occurred. Our results thus explicitly contra ...
... thus explains why records occurred only in the 1930s and in the last decade. Fig. 4 clearly shows that the warming trend after 1980 has multiplied the likelihood of a new heat record in Moscow and would have provided a strong reason to expect it before it occurred. Our results thus explicitly contra ...
global climate change
... Warming will increase if GHG increase. If GHG were kept fixed at current levels, a committed 0.6°C of further warming would be expected by 2100. More warming would accompany more emission. ...
... Warming will increase if GHG increase. If GHG were kept fixed at current levels, a committed 0.6°C of further warming would be expected by 2100. More warming would accompany more emission. ...
- carbonn Climate Registry
... Limited data on climate change exist on fine scale for Eastern Cape and Nelson Mandela Bay. For much of the last decade the annual ambient temperatures were higher than the long-term average (which have been calculated using data collect since 1885), but it is difficult to attribute it to climate ch ...
... Limited data on climate change exist on fine scale for Eastern Cape and Nelson Mandela Bay. For much of the last decade the annual ambient temperatures were higher than the long-term average (which have been calculated using data collect since 1885), but it is difficult to attribute it to climate ch ...
the relationships between marine phytoplankton
... planetary surface. Therefore, DMS has been pointed out as a negative greenhouse gas, which could counterbalance the heating effects of greenhouse gases such as CO2 and CH4. We should stress, however, that the degree in which DMS can contribute to cool the Earth surface and the mechanisms responsible ...
... planetary surface. Therefore, DMS has been pointed out as a negative greenhouse gas, which could counterbalance the heating effects of greenhouse gases such as CO2 and CH4. We should stress, however, that the degree in which DMS can contribute to cool the Earth surface and the mechanisms responsible ...
Public Perception of Climate Change in a Period of Economic Crisis
... of climate change [6], even though they do not clearly understand the mechanism through which human activity has an effect on it [7]. The issue of climate change is hard to analyze in a simple and accurate manner, while there is a lot of uncertainty around the issue to date [8,9]. This fact is refle ...
... of climate change [6], even though they do not clearly understand the mechanism through which human activity has an effect on it [7]. The issue of climate change is hard to analyze in a simple and accurate manner, while there is a lot of uncertainty around the issue to date [8,9]. This fact is refle ...
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... importance to the study were the groups of variables with highest percentages. The results indicated that 57% of a total of 250 livestock farmers were more aware of climate change and 43% were not aware during the study period. With reference to household size group (6-10), the percentages were, awa ...
... importance to the study were the groups of variables with highest percentages. The results indicated that 57% of a total of 250 livestock farmers were more aware of climate change and 43% were not aware during the study period. With reference to household size group (6-10), the percentages were, awa ...
Warming Good - RS - DDI
... primary production in the world's oceans," which in turn "plays a fundamental role in structuring marine food webs” which are "critical to maintaining biodiversity and supporting fishery catches." Hence, the study’s authors write they are keen to examine what the future might hold in this regard, no ...
... primary production in the world's oceans," which in turn "plays a fundamental role in structuring marine food webs” which are "critical to maintaining biodiversity and supporting fishery catches." Hence, the study’s authors write they are keen to examine what the future might hold in this regard, no ...
chapter conduct a cl mate change vulnerab l ty assessment
... tree species living in the Northern Hemisphere will be more sensitive to warming when located at the southern end of their range than when located in the middle or northern portion of the range (for a given elevation) since the southernmost species is already facing temperature and/or summer moistur ...
... tree species living in the Northern Hemisphere will be more sensitive to warming when located at the southern end of their range than when located in the middle or northern portion of the range (for a given elevation) since the southernmost species is already facing temperature and/or summer moistur ...
Poverty and Climate Change
... be the only solution. The macroeconomic costs of the impacts of climate change are highly uncertain, but very likely have the potential to threaten development in many countries. ...
... be the only solution. The macroeconomic costs of the impacts of climate change are highly uncertain, but very likely have the potential to threaten development in many countries. ...
Workshop-questions
... variability, the over-prediction of the intensities is somewhat smaller. 4. Possible causes: - scenarios inappropriate (false) - drivers other than CO2 at work (industrial aerosols?) - natural variability much larger than signal (signal-to-noise ratio 0.2-0.5). 5. Similar situation in spring. 6. N ...
... variability, the over-prediction of the intensities is somewhat smaller. 4. Possible causes: - scenarios inappropriate (false) - drivers other than CO2 at work (industrial aerosols?) - natural variability much larger than signal (signal-to-noise ratio 0.2-0.5). 5. Similar situation in spring. 6. N ...
http://germanwatch.org/en/download/8551.pdf
... ones most impacted and should see the CRI as a warning sign that they are at risk either from frequent events or rare, but extraordinary catastrophes. The Climate Risk Index does not provide an all-encompassing analysis of the risks from anthropogenic climate change, but should be seen as one analys ...
... ones most impacted and should see the CRI as a warning sign that they are at risk either from frequent events or rare, but extraordinary catastrophes. The Climate Risk Index does not provide an all-encompassing analysis of the risks from anthropogenic climate change, but should be seen as one analys ...
full report - Campaign against Climate Change
... caravan on its way. Before leaving Edinburgh the caravan stopped in the historic Grassmarket in the centre of the city for two hours to spread its positive message. Newcastle From there the northern caravan went on to Newcastle where the caravan had spent the morning engaging with many on the main s ...
... caravan on its way. Before leaving Edinburgh the caravan stopped in the historic Grassmarket in the centre of the city for two hours to spread its positive message. Newcastle From there the northern caravan went on to Newcastle where the caravan had spent the morning engaging with many on the main s ...
Understanding Climate Change And Impacts On Tourism In The
... and visitors. Through discussions, interviews, meetings and by other means, the authors accumulated a large amount of published and unpublished facts and intelligence sources used throughout this research study. It also includes data and information available from North Carolina’s Climate Action Pla ...
... and visitors. Through discussions, interviews, meetings and by other means, the authors accumulated a large amount of published and unpublished facts and intelligence sources used throughout this research study. It also includes data and information available from North Carolina’s Climate Action Pla ...
Factors Affecting Farmers` Adaptation Strategies to Environmental
... notably the Indian/South Asian subsystem of the Asian-Australian Monsoon. The inundation of land areas through sea-level rise and increased precipitation is not the only worrisome effect of global climate change; the literature reviewed and reported by the IPCC also notes drought events as well. In ...
... notably the Indian/South Asian subsystem of the Asian-Australian Monsoon. The inundation of land areas through sea-level rise and increased precipitation is not the only worrisome effect of global climate change; the literature reviewed and reported by the IPCC also notes drought events as well. In ...
Maldives Climate Change Policy Framework
... build and strengthen our nation’s resilience to combat climate change. However, we cannot do this alone; regional and global cooperation is imperative to put Maldives on a pathway to build a climate resilient economy in order to mitigate and adapt to climate change. The Maldives is of the view that ...
... build and strengthen our nation’s resilience to combat climate change. However, we cannot do this alone; regional and global cooperation is imperative to put Maldives on a pathway to build a climate resilient economy in order to mitigate and adapt to climate change. The Maldives is of the view that ...
Final qualitative report
... recycling, re-use and minimizing resource use. Water saving also receives significant mentions in actions in response to climate change, which is where the topic most readily confuses or blends with the broader topic of environmental conservation. ...
... recycling, re-use and minimizing resource use. Water saving also receives significant mentions in actions in response to climate change, which is where the topic most readily confuses or blends with the broader topic of environmental conservation. ...
PDF - Climate Diplomacy
... Cities have become important actors in climate change discussions, formulating and implementing adaptation policies and setting mitigation goals and targets. Their role is also becoming increasingly important in the field of climate and environment as well as sustainability and green growth. Within ...
... Cities have become important actors in climate change discussions, formulating and implementing adaptation policies and setting mitigation goals and targets. Their role is also becoming increasingly important in the field of climate and environment as well as sustainability and green growth. Within ...
ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH AND EQUITY IMPACTS FROM CLIMATE CHANGE AND
... University of California, Berkeley, complemented by efforts at other research institutions. Priority research areas defined in PIER’s five-year Climate Change Research Plan are: monitoring, analysis, and modeling of climate; analysis of options to reduce greenhouse gas emissions; assessment of physi ...
... University of California, Berkeley, complemented by efforts at other research institutions. Priority research areas defined in PIER’s five-year Climate Change Research Plan are: monitoring, analysis, and modeling of climate; analysis of options to reduce greenhouse gas emissions; assessment of physi ...
the Measurement Problem Advances Pol. Psych. (forthcoming) PRELIMINARY DRAFT
... and to enjoy the sense of identity enabled by membership in a community defined by particular cultural commitments. The paper shows how appropriately designed “science comprehension” tests—one general, and one specific to climate change—can be used to measure individuals’ reasoning proficiency as co ...
... and to enjoy the sense of identity enabled by membership in a community defined by particular cultural commitments. The paper shows how appropriately designed “science comprehension” tests—one general, and one specific to climate change—can be used to measure individuals’ reasoning proficiency as co ...
Why models run hot: results from an irreducibly simple climate
... temperature anomaly datasets [9, 10], is 0.34 °C, equivalent to 1.4 °C century-1—half the central estimate in FAR and beneath the lower bound of the then-projected warming interval (Fig. 1). Global temperature would have to rise over the coming decade at a rate almost twice as high as the greatest s ...
... temperature anomaly datasets [9, 10], is 0.34 °C, equivalent to 1.4 °C century-1—half the central estimate in FAR and beneath the lower bound of the then-projected warming interval (Fig. 1). Global temperature would have to rise over the coming decade at a rate almost twice as high as the greatest s ...
impacts of climate change on date palm in oman
... simulated by models using natural and anthropogenic climatic change forcings (Meehl et al., 2007). The black line represents the decadal averages of observations for the period 1906–2005, plotted against the center of the decade and relative to the corresponding average for 1901–1950. Dashed lines d ...
... simulated by models using natural and anthropogenic climatic change forcings (Meehl et al., 2007). The black line represents the decadal averages of observations for the period 1906–2005, plotted against the center of the decade and relative to the corresponding average for 1901–1950. Dashed lines d ...
Michael E. Mann
Michael E. Mann (born 1965) is an American climatologist and geophysicist, currently director of the Earth System Science Center at Pennsylvania State University, who has contributed to the scientific understanding of historic climate change based on the temperature record of the past thousand years. He has pioneered techniques to find patterns in past climate change, and to isolate climate signals from ""noisy data"".As lead author of a paper produced in 1998 with co-authors Raymond S. Bradley and Malcolm K. Hughes, Mann introduced innovative statistical techniques to find regional variations in a hemispherical climate reconstruction covering the past 600 years. In 1999 the same team used these techniques to produce a reconstruction over the past 1,000 years (MBH99) which was dubbed the ""hockey stick graph"" because of its shape. He was one of 8 lead authors of the ""Observed Climate Variability and Change"" chapter of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Scientific Assessment Report published in 2001. A graph based on the MBH99 paper was highlighted in several parts of the report, and was given wide publicity. The IPCC acknowledged that his work, along with that of the many other lead authors and review editors, contributed to the award of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize, which was won jointly by the IPCC and Al Gore.He was organizing committee chair for the National Academy of Sciences Frontiers of Science in 2003 and has received a number of honors and awards including selection by Scientific American as one of the fifty leading visionaries in science and technology in 2002. In 2012 he was inducted as a Fellow of the American Geophysical Union and was awarded the Hans Oeschger Medal of the European Geosciences Union. In 2013 he was elected a Fellow of the American Meteorological Society, and awarded the status of distinguished professor in Penn State's College of Earth and Mineral Sciences.Mann is author of more than 160 peer-reviewed and edited publications, and has published two books: Dire Predictions: Understanding Global Warming in 2008 and The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars: Dispatches from the Front Lines, published in early 2012. In 2013 the European Geosciences Union described his publication record as ""outstanding for a scientist of his relatively young age"". He is also a co-founder and contributor to the climatology blog RealClimate.