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... we will examine the current state of the tropical Pacific and how it might evolve over the next few months. We will then explore some current research issues including ENSO precursors, ENSO diversity if there are two (or more) types of events –and the potential impacts of ENSO beyond the tropical Pa ...
... we will examine the current state of the tropical Pacific and how it might evolve over the next few months. We will then explore some current research issues including ENSO precursors, ENSO diversity if there are two (or more) types of events –and the potential impacts of ENSO beyond the tropical Pa ...
The Governance of Scientific Assessment in the Context of the
... (IPCC). The paper is largely based on the author’s PhD research on the Panel, as well as the author’s continuous involvement with the IPCC process since 2007 as a contributor to the Earth Negotiations Bulletin of the International Institute for Sustainable Development – Reporting Services. The PhD t ...
... (IPCC). The paper is largely based on the author’s PhD research on the Panel, as well as the author’s continuous involvement with the IPCC process since 2007 as a contributor to the Earth Negotiations Bulletin of the International Institute for Sustainable Development – Reporting Services. The PhD t ...
Climate: Observations, projections and impacts: South Korea
... interpreting model-based results, even where the models are in agreement. Projected change in the intensity of cyclones in the western Pacific basin are considered more robust than projected change in their frequency. A number of globaland regional-scale studies included here project that cyclone in ...
... interpreting model-based results, even where the models are in agreement. Projected change in the intensity of cyclones in the western Pacific basin are considered more robust than projected change in their frequency. A number of globaland regional-scale studies included here project that cyclone in ...
Michael E. Schlesinger, Professor of Atmospheric Sciences
... to the year 2100 for the 1990 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report. Results from increased carbon-dioxide and other simulations by the tropospheric and tropospheric/lower-stratospheric GCMs have been used in many climate-impact assessments, beginning with that for the United State ...
... to the year 2100 for the 1990 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report. Results from increased carbon-dioxide and other simulations by the tropospheric and tropospheric/lower-stratospheric GCMs have been used in many climate-impact assessments, beginning with that for the United State ...
Lecture 1 CIP Module Montreal Conference Draft
... Climate models are often cited by policy advocates and constitute a primary resource for planners. They are essentially very complex computer programs that mimic the behaviour of various components of the climate system. Figure 2 shows output data from a global model created by scientists at the Uni ...
... Climate models are often cited by policy advocates and constitute a primary resource for planners. They are essentially very complex computer programs that mimic the behaviour of various components of the climate system. Figure 2 shows output data from a global model created by scientists at the Uni ...
Climate: Observations, projections and impacts: Egypt
... The majority of national-scale and global-scale studies that have considered the effects of climate change on river discharge suggest that water stress could increase with climate change in Egypt. Recent simulations by the AVOID programme demonstrate high uncertainty in estimating the magnitude of i ...
... The majority of national-scale and global-scale studies that have considered the effects of climate change on river discharge suggest that water stress could increase with climate change in Egypt. Recent simulations by the AVOID programme demonstrate high uncertainty in estimating the magnitude of i ...
Climate Extremes: Challenges in Estimating
... discusses some aspects of projections for the twenty-first century, although this is not its primary focus. Extremes are not discussed on paleo time scales, in the context of the present (i.e., short term forecasting), or in the context of climate surprises (tipping points). These choices reflect ou ...
... discusses some aspects of projections for the twenty-first century, although this is not its primary focus. Extremes are not discussed on paleo time scales, in the context of the present (i.e., short term forecasting), or in the context of climate surprises (tipping points). These choices reflect ou ...
Africa and Climate: Report
... system as a whole is low. For certain regions in Africa, the level of understanding is reasonable, for other parts, such as the Congo basin (a key for the global climate system), very little is known. Climate models are a crucial tool in climate prediction. Evaluation of global climate model product ...
... system as a whole is low. For certain regions in Africa, the level of understanding is reasonable, for other parts, such as the Congo basin (a key for the global climate system), very little is known. Climate models are a crucial tool in climate prediction. Evaluation of global climate model product ...
Rethinking Support for Adaptive Capacity to Climate Change
... transformation in relations between development agents and the people they wish to work with. There are practical reasons for this, relating both to deeply entrenched attitudes and also to resources, including funds, time and skills. Getting participation right will require a major investment by man ...
... transformation in relations between development agents and the people they wish to work with. There are practical reasons for this, relating both to deeply entrenched attitudes and also to resources, including funds, time and skills. Getting participation right will require a major investment by man ...
National Park Service - UAF SNAP
... acres of parklands to administer, Alaska park managers must better understand possible climate change trends in order to better manage arctic, subarctic, and coastal ecosystems, as well as human uses of these areas. As such, NPS managers undertook an exploration of scenario planning as an innovative ...
... acres of parklands to administer, Alaska park managers must better understand possible climate change trends in order to better manage arctic, subarctic, and coastal ecosystems, as well as human uses of these areas. As such, NPS managers undertook an exploration of scenario planning as an innovative ...
The effects of climate changes on aquifer storage
... while b may be chosen as some reasonable value based on expert knowledge. The parameter b is not fundamental, and may be replaced by other shape parameters if a different pattern of change in transmissivity is thought to be more realistic. The effect on simulated baseflow of the variability introduc ...
... while b may be chosen as some reasonable value based on expert knowledge. The parameter b is not fundamental, and may be replaced by other shape parameters if a different pattern of change in transmissivity is thought to be more realistic. The effect on simulated baseflow of the variability introduc ...
PDF
... The study uses panel data collected in 2009 and 2012 through a collaborative research project of the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), the Kenya Agricultural Research Institute (KARI), the Center for Development Research (ZEF), and the University of Hohenheim, Germany. Data colle ...
... The study uses panel data collected in 2009 and 2012 through a collaborative research project of the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), the Kenya Agricultural Research Institute (KARI), the Center for Development Research (ZEF), and the University of Hohenheim, Germany. Data colle ...
skuras
... about future climate change, one should be clearly aware of the underlying hypotheses used to produce such projections. Therefore, it is important to present, very briefly, the hypotheses of the four broad families of scenarios in the words of the SRES. The A1 scenario adopts a storyline that assume ...
... about future climate change, one should be clearly aware of the underlying hypotheses used to produce such projections. Therefore, it is important to present, very briefly, the hypotheses of the four broad families of scenarios in the words of the SRES. The A1 scenario adopts a storyline that assume ...
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... about future climate change, one should be clearly aware of the underlying hypotheses used to produce such projections. Therefore, it is important to present, very briefly, the hypotheses of the four broad families of scenarios in the words of the SRES. The A1 scenario adopts a storyline that assume ...
... about future climate change, one should be clearly aware of the underlying hypotheses used to produce such projections. Therefore, it is important to present, very briefly, the hypotheses of the four broad families of scenarios in the words of the SRES. The A1 scenario adopts a storyline that assume ...
NPS Central AK report - Scenarios Network for Alaska + Arctic
... conditions in and around National Park Service areas in Alaska. With over 50 million acres of parklands to administer, Alaska park managers need to better understand possible climate change trends in order to better manage Arctic, subarctic, and coastal ecosystems and human uses of these areas. Nati ...
... conditions in and around National Park Service areas in Alaska. With over 50 million acres of parklands to administer, Alaska park managers need to better understand possible climate change trends in order to better manage Arctic, subarctic, and coastal ecosystems and human uses of these areas. Nati ...
Permafrost-and-Climate
... • Large variation in model projections for Arctic climate change (warming of 2 – 9°C by ...
... • Large variation in model projections for Arctic climate change (warming of 2 – 9°C by ...
Quantifying the relative contribution of the climate and direct human
... Department of Civil, Environmental, and Construction Engineering, University of Central Florida, Orlando, Florida, USA. ...
... Department of Civil, Environmental, and Construction Engineering, University of Central Florida, Orlando, Florida, USA. ...
Adaptation planning for climate change
... Mitigation has traditionally received much greater attention in the climate change community than adaptation, both scientifically and from a policy perspective. The most important reason for the focus on mitigation is its ability to reduce impacts on all climate-sensitive systems whereas the potenti ...
... Mitigation has traditionally received much greater attention in the climate change community than adaptation, both scientifically and from a policy perspective. The most important reason for the focus on mitigation is its ability to reduce impacts on all climate-sensitive systems whereas the potenti ...
Course on review of higher tiers non
... Welcomed the report of IPCC meeting on the science of alternative metrics and its conclusions and recommendations to the UNFCCC and the scientific community regarding research needs and the scoping phase of the AR5; Secretariat should organize, subject to the availability of resources, a worksho ...
... Welcomed the report of IPCC meeting on the science of alternative metrics and its conclusions and recommendations to the UNFCCC and the scientific community regarding research needs and the scoping phase of the AR5; Secretariat should organize, subject to the availability of resources, a worksho ...
Stakeholder mapping report - final version
... Eco Cities is a joint initiative between the University of Manchester and Bruntwood, drawing on the expertise of the Manchester Architecture Research Centre, Centre for Urban Regional Ecology and Brooks World Poverty Institute. The project will focus on the response of urban areas to the impacts of ...
... Eco Cities is a joint initiative between the University of Manchester and Bruntwood, drawing on the expertise of the Manchester Architecture Research Centre, Centre for Urban Regional Ecology and Brooks World Poverty Institute. The project will focus on the response of urban areas to the impacts of ...
The Oxford Principles | SpringerLink
... (see for example, Pielke Jr 2010; Robock 2009; Rickels et al. 2011), predictions of low costs might encourage some to promote sulphate aerosol injection research over other measures. Moreover, if those predictions are correct, it could be possible for a single country or even a individual frustrated ...
... (see for example, Pielke Jr 2010; Robock 2009; Rickels et al. 2011), predictions of low costs might encourage some to promote sulphate aerosol injection research over other measures. Moreover, if those predictions are correct, it could be possible for a single country or even a individual frustrated ...
13372001
... greenhouse gases owing to human activities will cause warming (and other climatic changes) at Earth’s surface. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) revealed an increase in world average temperature by 2100 within the range 1·4–5·8ºC (IPCC, 2001). The increase will be greater at highe ...
... greenhouse gases owing to human activities will cause warming (and other climatic changes) at Earth’s surface. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) revealed an increase in world average temperature by 2100 within the range 1·4–5·8ºC (IPCC, 2001). The increase will be greater at highe ...
Managing Climate Risk Integrating Adaptation into World Bank Group Operations World Bank Group
... limate change is no longer an issue for the distant future. During the past century the global climate warmed by about 0.7°C because of human activities, with accompanying changes in rainfall patterns, extreme weather events, and sea levels, and another 1.4°C– 5.8°C temperature rise is projected in ...
... limate change is no longer an issue for the distant future. During the past century the global climate warmed by about 0.7°C because of human activities, with accompanying changes in rainfall patterns, extreme weather events, and sea levels, and another 1.4°C– 5.8°C temperature rise is projected in ...
Ethnographic Perspectives on Resilience To Climate Variability in
... workshop involved papers from researchers and policy makers followed by detailed discussions, including forums. The workshop featured social scientists with long-term experience in Pacific Island communities talking about social responses to climate extremes, and sharing with policy makers their obs ...
... workshop involved papers from researchers and policy makers followed by detailed discussions, including forums. The workshop featured social scientists with long-term experience in Pacific Island communities talking about social responses to climate extremes, and sharing with policy makers their obs ...
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES LIFE David Albouy
... (Missouri) while others are mild year-round (coastal California). This variation allows us to identify preferences over a broad range of habitable climates. We adopt this hedonic approach as there are no explicit markets for climate amenities, only an implicit market based on household location cho ...
... (Missouri) while others are mild year-round (coastal California). This variation allows us to identify preferences over a broad range of habitable climates. We adopt this hedonic approach as there are no explicit markets for climate amenities, only an implicit market based on household location cho ...
Michael E. Mann
Michael E. Mann (born 1965) is an American climatologist and geophysicist, currently director of the Earth System Science Center at Pennsylvania State University, who has contributed to the scientific understanding of historic climate change based on the temperature record of the past thousand years. He has pioneered techniques to find patterns in past climate change, and to isolate climate signals from ""noisy data"".As lead author of a paper produced in 1998 with co-authors Raymond S. Bradley and Malcolm K. Hughes, Mann introduced innovative statistical techniques to find regional variations in a hemispherical climate reconstruction covering the past 600 years. In 1999 the same team used these techniques to produce a reconstruction over the past 1,000 years (MBH99) which was dubbed the ""hockey stick graph"" because of its shape. He was one of 8 lead authors of the ""Observed Climate Variability and Change"" chapter of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Scientific Assessment Report published in 2001. A graph based on the MBH99 paper was highlighted in several parts of the report, and was given wide publicity. The IPCC acknowledged that his work, along with that of the many other lead authors and review editors, contributed to the award of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize, which was won jointly by the IPCC and Al Gore.He was organizing committee chair for the National Academy of Sciences Frontiers of Science in 2003 and has received a number of honors and awards including selection by Scientific American as one of the fifty leading visionaries in science and technology in 2002. In 2012 he was inducted as a Fellow of the American Geophysical Union and was awarded the Hans Oeschger Medal of the European Geosciences Union. In 2013 he was elected a Fellow of the American Meteorological Society, and awarded the status of distinguished professor in Penn State's College of Earth and Mineral Sciences.Mann is author of more than 160 peer-reviewed and edited publications, and has published two books: Dire Predictions: Understanding Global Warming in 2008 and The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars: Dispatches from the Front Lines, published in early 2012. In 2013 the European Geosciences Union described his publication record as ""outstanding for a scientist of his relatively young age"". He is also a co-founder and contributor to the climatology blog RealClimate.