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... piControl simulations were first used to calculate the temperature change and its ...
Relative climatic effects of landcover change and
Relative climatic effects of landcover change and

... historically observed CO2 combined with aerosol forcing and simulated temperature anomalies due to the direct and remote effects of historical, anthropogenic landcover changes are of similar amplitude and may occur in similar regions of the globe so that their effects are not easily spatially isolat ...
'A spaciotemporal analysis of U.S. station temperature trends over the last century
'A spaciotemporal analysis of U.S. station temperature trends over the last century

... 2009]. These two are so-called short-range dependent processes. However, there is increasing evidence that the climate system is long-range serially correlated, unlike white noise, and over a longer range than AR(1) [e.g., Huybers and Curry, 2006; Koscielny-Bunde et al., 1998; Franzke, 2010]. For th ...
Climate change imprinting on stable isotopic compositions of high
Climate change imprinting on stable isotopic compositions of high

... of Δδ18O to be robust. Nonetheless, our results should be viewed as a guide to, but not an absolute prediction of, large-scale δ18Op, and require confirmation by higher resolution climate models with dynamic ocean circulation. Implications for Paleoaltimetry Our results suggest that stable isotope r ...
Generating characteristic daily weather data using
Generating characteristic daily weather data using

... 2 Take a sequence of real past daily weather data and determine the relationship with the same sequence of years from the nearest GCM point available. The statistical relationship should include regressions on the means and variances of the sequences. This is good, but it begs two questions. First, ...
PDF
PDF

... declines, namely all developed countries, the former Soviet bloc, China and India. GDP will go down, and mortality will increase, in the rest of the developing world. This calculation can be criticized for its assumption that avoided deaths are worth more in wealthier regions, raising fundamental pr ...
The Climate of the Last Millennium
The Climate of the Last Millennium

... Ice core deuterium (δD) records from Antarctica also indicate a general decline in temperature through the Holocene, with warmest conditions in the first few millennia (Ciais et al. 1992; Masson et al 2001). Studies of deuterium excess in four Antarctic ice cores show an overall increase through the ...
Climate Change and Its Impacts - National Center for Policy Analysis
Climate Change and Its Impacts - National Center for Policy Analysis

... Climate Models Are Limited. To assess future climate trends, climatologists rely upon GCMs that attempt to describe Earth’s climate. They include many variables (such as temperature and CO2 emissions) and make assumptions about how changes in one variable affect others. The many climate models scien ...
Climate Change
Climate Change

... As well, there are: Volcanos Vegetation changes Aerosols Heat exchange - ocean and air (ENSO) Ice and snow coming/going Glaciers changing Changes in weather patterns ... and lots more ... including human added CO2! ...
Climate Reconstruction from Subsurface Temperatures
Climate Reconstruction from Subsurface Temperatures

... climatology investigations that can assess and place in context the human perturbation of Earth’s climate must focus on the industrial era, comprising approximately the past two centuries, and the preindustrial era, comprising the several centuries preceding that. From approximately 1860, meteorolog ...
Detection of a Human Influence on North American Climate
Detection of a Human Influence on North American Climate

... alone. The observed trends over the second half of the century for all the indices are consistent with the response to anthropogenic (GS) forcing in these models. It is likely that anthropogenic climate change made only a small contribution to the observed warming over 1900 –1949 and that changes in ...
Human Impacts on Climate: A Broader View than Reported in the
Human Impacts on Climate: A Broader View than Reported in the

... (RF) estimates and ranges in 2005 for anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O) and other important agents and mechanisms, together with the typical geographical extent (spatial scale) of the forcing and the assessed level of scientific understanding (LOSU). The net anth ...
The Fatal Flaw of the Global Warming Theory
The Fatal Flaw of the Global Warming Theory

... Although rises in CO2 act to block the normal long wave infrared (IR) radiation to space, this blockage is very small compared to the globe’s basic energy budget system. About 3.7 Wm-2 of IR energy is intercepted for a doubling of CO2 (Figure 1). Since the mid-19th century, CO2’s influence on IR blo ...
Do cities simulate climate change? A comparison
Do cities simulate climate change? A comparison

... Cities experience elevated temperature, CO2, and nitrogen deposition decades ahead of the global average, such that biological response to urbanization may predict response to future climate change. This hypothesis remains untested due to a lack of complementary urban and long-term observations. Her ...
nicpp final report
nicpp final report

... statement expressing doubt about its scientific foundation by the Oregon Institute for Science and Medicine, which attracted more than 19,000 signatures from scientists, mainly in the U.S. [The statement is still attracting signatures, and can be viewed at www.oism.org.] The Third Assessment Report ...
Seedling Growth Performance of Cassia fistula (Linn.) Using Climate
Seedling Growth Performance of Cassia fistula (Linn.) Using Climate

... Climate is a key factor which determines the distribution of plants and animals. The time has come to identify the indigenous and/or exotic forest tree species considering nationally viable and adaptable to future climate change. A need may exist to develop the management techniques with experimenta ...
Aug 14, 2010 - Science and Environmental Policy Project
Aug 14, 2010 - Science and Environmental Policy Project

... 2009 document, which was prepared under the direction of the U.S. National Climatic Data Center, we can read the principal findings of what the document describes as the work of "more than 300 scientists from 48 countries." Their primary conclusion, as stated in the Report's first paragraph, is that ...
An Ethical Defense of Global-Warming Skepticism
An Ethical Defense of Global-Warming Skepticism

... models are not objective instruments; rather, they depend crucially on human interpretations and choices. Soon et al., for example, have spelled out some of the fundamental issues related to climate models, stressing not only the ...
PDF
PDF

... with water to produce carbohydrates (sugar, starches and cellulose). The green colour in plants comes from chlorophyll molecules, similar to haemoglobin that gives blood its red colour, which are made of proteins. Amino acids are the primary units of proteins. Each amino acid has at least one carbox ...
Petition for Reconsideration of Endangerment Finding FINAL
Petition for Reconsideration of Endangerment Finding FINAL

... reconsideration are easily met here. The matters in this Petition could not have been raised during the comment period on the Endangerment Finding because the Research Report on which this Petition principally relies was first published on September 21, 2016, close to seven years after the Endangerm ...
What`s on the 5th IPCC Report for West Africa?
What`s on the 5th IPCC Report for West Africa?

... agriculture, water availability and health. Depending on the adaptive capacity of a society, these impacts might result in strong vulnerability. One of the main features responsible for climatic conditions over West Africa is the West African monsoon system (WAM). The underlying atmospheric processe ...
abstracts - Swedish Institute at Athens
abstracts - Swedish Institute at Athens

... Jacobsen and others, archaeologists working across the Ancient Near East have developed a large corpus of settlement and landscape data. This is increasingly being supplemented by high resolution satellite imagery, especially declassified spy photography such as CORONA, and greater access to cartogr ...
Unit Roots in the Climate: Is the Recent Warming Due to Persistent
Unit Roots in the Climate: Is the Recent Warming Due to Persistent

... These papers generally fall into the category of pure statistical models and hybrid approaches which estimate some parts of GCMs and calibrate other parts. For example, Bassett (1992) calculates the probability that the record global mean temperature recorded in 1988 will be broken. Bassett estimate ...
A spatiotemporal analysis of US station temperature trends over the
A spatiotemporal analysis of US station temperature trends over the

... 2009]. These two are so-called short-range dependent processes. However, there is increasing evidence that the climate system is long-range serially correlated, unlike white noise, and over a longer range than AR(1) [e.g., Huybers and Curry, 2006; Koscielny-Bunde et al., 1998; Franzke, 2010]. For th ...
“It is getting cooler” “the warming has stopped”
“It is getting cooler” “the warming has stopped”

... Any evidence is anecdotal, and restricted to specific regions. Even if they were a little warmer that is irrelevant as the reasons for the current warmth are quite different. The rate at which the temperature is currently rising is much greater than has been seen in any historical time. The temperat ...
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North Report

The North Report was a 2006 report evaluating reconstructions of the temperature record of the past two millennia, providing an overview of the state of the science and the implications for understanding of global warming. It was produced by a National Research Council committee, chaired by Gerald North, at the request of Representative Sherwood Boehlert as chairman of the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Science.These reconstructions had been dubbed ""hockey stick graphs"" after the 1999 reconstruction by Mann, Bradley and Hughes (MBH99), which used the methodology of their 1998 reconstruction covering 600 years (MBH98). A graph based on MBH99 was featured prominently in the 2001 IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR), and became a focus of the global warming controversy over the 1997 Kyoto Protocol. It was disputed by various contrarians, and in the politicisation of this hockey stick controversy the New York Times of 14 February 2005 hailed a paper by businessman Stephen McIntyre and economist Ross McKitrick (MM05) as undermining the scientific consensus behind the Kyoto agreement. On 23 June 2005, Rep. Joe Barton, chairman of the House Committee on Energy and Commerce, with Ed Whitfield, Chairman of the Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations, wrote joint letters referring to issues raised by the Wall Street Journal article, and demanding that Mann, Bradley and Hughes provide full records on their data and methods, finances and careers, information about grants provided to the institutions they had worked for, and the exact computer codes used to generate their results. Boehlert said this was a ""misguided and illegitimate investigation"" into something that should properly be under the jurisdiction of the Science Committee, and in November 2005 after Barton dismissed the offer of an independent investigation organised by the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, Boehlert requested the review, which became the North Report.The North Report went through a rigorous review process, and was published on 22 June 2006. It concluded ""with a high level of confidence that global mean surface temperature was higher during the last few decades of the 20th century than during any comparable period during the preceding four centuries"", justified by consistent evidence from a wide variety of geographically diverse proxies, but ""Less confidence can be placed in large-scale surface temperature reconstructions for the period from 900 to 1600"". It broadly agreed with the basic findings of the original MBH studies, which subsequently been supported by other reconstructions and proxy records, while emphasising uncertainties over earlier periods. The principal component analysis methodology that McIntyre and McKitrick had contested had a small tendency to bias results so was not recommended—but it had little influence on the final reconstructions, and other methods produced similar results.
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