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Full Text - Oxford Academic
Full Text - Oxford Academic

... diarrhoeal diseases,1 the second leading cause of death in children under 5 years of age.2 Diarrhoea accounted for 3.6% of the global disease burden in 2010, with much of this burden concentrated in low-resource settings.3 Even modest changes in diarrhoea risk can yield large changes in morbidity an ...
2A.3 APPLICATION OF DIFFERENT WEATHER PATTERN
2A.3 APPLICATION OF DIFFERENT WEATHER PATTERN

... expected to become even drier by the end of the 21st century (as shown in the lower panel of Fig. 13). The projected drying trend for A2 is generally larger than that for B2, which might be due to the larger warming trend of A2 (IPCC, 2007). Acknowledgements. This paper includes the results obtained ...
Global patterns in lake ecosystem responses to warming based on
Global patterns in lake ecosystem responses to warming based on

... temperature data per lake (annual summer surface mean temperature) (Sharma et al., 2015). These temperature data are available for the period 1985–2009 and include both remote sensing and in situ measurements. The remote sensing data were validated using data from the Laurentian Great Lakes and were ...
Exploring the role of local adaptation in the response
Exploring the role of local adaptation in the response

... to the high temperature range limits of their species (Loehle 1998). Species of plants have increased in abundance at the higher elevation limits of their distribution while decreasing in abundance in their lower elevation limits, which demonstrates that they may be nearing the limit to which they c ...
The Need To Assess Spatial Variations In Climate Forcings - Suggestions For
The Need To Assess Spatial Variations In Climate Forcings - Suggestions For

... Change: Expanding the Concept and Addressing Uncertainties, Committee on Radiative Forcing Effects on Climate, Climate Research Committee, 224 pp. http://www.nap.edu/catalog/11175.html ...
Joint projections of temperature and precipitation change from
Joint projections of temperature and precipitation change from

... of the problem, but a quantification of the risks that are associated with it is far from straightforward. There are considerable uncertainties, in terms of limits to predicting future changes in the drivers of GHG emissions (population, economic growth, technology, international collaboration, etc.) ...
Potential areas of focus for the 2018 quadrennial reports of the
Potential areas of focus for the 2018 quadrennial reports of the

... atmosphere, noting that assessments should use consistent units and consistent terminology throughout for better comparability; (g) Estimates of the levels of ozone layer depletion related to several residual levels of global emissions of ozone-depleting substances and an indication of the level of ...
K Eʻ P AI
K Eʻ P AI

... knowledge to select the initial interview site. It is often desirable to schedule time to meet with, and potentially arrange to interview, local leaders or other community members. This serves two purposes. It helps establish community cooperation for the project and also makes it more likely that t ...
Scale-dependent regional climate predictability over North America
Scale-dependent regional climate predictability over North America

... demonstrate that a fundamental spatial scale limit might exist below which useful additional refinement of climate model predictions and projections may not be possible. That limit varies among climate variables and from region to region. We show that the uncertainty (noise) in surface temperature p ...
Research paper: Improving Communication of Uncertainty in the
Research paper: Improving Communication of Uncertainty in the

... 1. It is very likely that hot extremes, heat waves, and heavy precipitation events will continue to become more frequent. 2. Continued greenhouse gas emissions at or above current rates would cause further warming and induce many changes in the global climate system during the 21st century that woul ...
Stephen Schneider 1945–2010 A Biographical Memoir by B. D. Santer
Stephen Schneider 1945–2010 A Biographical Memoir by B. D. Santer

... their research findings in plain English, and of setting the record straight when those findings are willfully or unintentionally misinterpreted by others.7 As Steve wrote many years later about this early research: all good scientists are skeptics and should be challenging every aspect of what we d ...
Comparison of thermal transfer characteristics of wood flooring
Comparison of thermal transfer characteristics of wood flooring

... engineered flooring exhibited better thermal transfer performance than that of the laminate flooring, technically showing about 2 ◦ C difference of temperature, particularly at the beginning time. Furthermore, the air temperature of the engineered flooring is higher than that of the laminate flooring, b ...
National Research Council Report
National Research Council Report

... over the Northern Hemisphere or even the entire globe, often with time resolution as fine as decades or even individual years. This research, and especially the first of these reconstructions published in 1998 and 1999 by Michael Mann, Raymond Bradley, and Malcolm Hughes, attracted considerable atte ...
Where Are You From? Why Are You Here? An African Perspective
Where Are You From? Why Are You Here? An African Perspective

... into a branch of applied mathematics. That transformation accelerated after the former Soviet Union launched Sputnik, Earth’s first artificial satellite, in 1957. Concern that the communist countries may be scientifically more advanced than the countries of the West proved a bonanza to science in gener ...
Climate in the Heartland
Climate in the Heartland

... sustainability directors, university climate scientists, and state climatologists in November 2014. At this meeting, government directors described what types of data would be useful for planning purposes, and climate scientists described what was feasible with available data. It was determined that ...
Submission PDF Communicating the deadly consequences of
Submission PDF Communicating the deadly consequences of

... frequency explains why global heat stress should be expected to follow a non-linear relationship with global mean air temperature over the range considered here. With the area-weighted (where is the fraction of the mean heat stress defined as Earth’s land surface experiencing dangerous HI, and is th ...
Global change final
Global change final

... Image from the Thames Explorer. being washed downstream by the current. Gammarus pulex is a freshwater species, found in flowing streams with a relatively low organic matter content. They are less tolerant to environmental changes than their brackish counterpart, and so are sensitive to dissolved ox ...
Climate change science and the climate change scare Contents
Climate change science and the climate change scare Contents

... Earth’s continents, changes in the Earth’s geology, and the Earth’s continual rotation, it cannot be otherwise. CO2 is also changing. It was 15 times higher than now in the Cambrian period 550 million years ago (which saw the most glorious proliferation of life forms in the Earth’s history). It drop ...
Temperature variation makes ectotherms more sensitive to climate
Temperature variation makes ectotherms more sensitive to climate

... variation experienced by the insect in nature. We then compare the TSMs based on the fundamental thermal fitness curve with TSMs based on the realized curves. The asymmetric thermal curves for relative insect fitness (the intrinsic rate of increase scaled to 1 as a maximum) were calculated using a G ...
Minutes
Minutes

... Presentation by Dr. Diane Pataki, Department Of Earth System Science and Department of Ecology & Evolutionary Biology, University of California-Irvine, Urban Ecosystem Services as a Framework for Interdisciplinary Research ...
Why models run hot: results from an irreducibly simple climate
Why models run hot: results from an irreducibly simple climate

... DE 19716, USA W. M. Briggs New York, NY 10021, USA ...
Why models run hot: results from an irreducibly simple climate
Why models run hot: results from an irreducibly simple climate

... DE 19716, USA W. M. Briggs New York, NY 10021, USA ...
future climate uncertainty and spatial variability over tamilnadu state
future climate uncertainty and spatial variability over tamilnadu state

... 2.4. Verification of climate data Verification of climate data was done using the Climate Research Unit (CRU) data of University of East Anglia, UK prepares observed monthly climatology at a resolution of 0.5° x 0.5° over the globe. The British Atmospheric Data Centre hosts the current version of CR ...
Climate change prediction: Erring on the side of least drama?
Climate change prediction: Erring on the side of least drama?

... the Committee on Strategic Advice on the U.S. Climate Change Science Program, for the titular purpose of Restructuring Federal Climate Research to Meet the Challenges of Climate Change (NRC, 2009). The results of the three-year study, commissioned by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program (CCSP) an ...
Coherence among the Northern Hemisphere land, cryosphere, and
Coherence among the Northern Hemisphere land, cryosphere, and

... greenhouse gases, internal climatic variability, solar radiation, sunspots, and cosmic rays. While longer-term analyses (e.g. century scale) can sometimes yield better statistics, we focus on the satellite era when data quality far exceeds that of earlier years. The satellite era begins in the year ...
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North Report

The North Report was a 2006 report evaluating reconstructions of the temperature record of the past two millennia, providing an overview of the state of the science and the implications for understanding of global warming. It was produced by a National Research Council committee, chaired by Gerald North, at the request of Representative Sherwood Boehlert as chairman of the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Science.These reconstructions had been dubbed ""hockey stick graphs"" after the 1999 reconstruction by Mann, Bradley and Hughes (MBH99), which used the methodology of their 1998 reconstruction covering 600 years (MBH98). A graph based on MBH99 was featured prominently in the 2001 IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR), and became a focus of the global warming controversy over the 1997 Kyoto Protocol. It was disputed by various contrarians, and in the politicisation of this hockey stick controversy the New York Times of 14 February 2005 hailed a paper by businessman Stephen McIntyre and economist Ross McKitrick (MM05) as undermining the scientific consensus behind the Kyoto agreement. On 23 June 2005, Rep. Joe Barton, chairman of the House Committee on Energy and Commerce, with Ed Whitfield, Chairman of the Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations, wrote joint letters referring to issues raised by the Wall Street Journal article, and demanding that Mann, Bradley and Hughes provide full records on their data and methods, finances and careers, information about grants provided to the institutions they had worked for, and the exact computer codes used to generate their results. Boehlert said this was a ""misguided and illegitimate investigation"" into something that should properly be under the jurisdiction of the Science Committee, and in November 2005 after Barton dismissed the offer of an independent investigation organised by the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, Boehlert requested the review, which became the North Report.The North Report went through a rigorous review process, and was published on 22 June 2006. It concluded ""with a high level of confidence that global mean surface temperature was higher during the last few decades of the 20th century than during any comparable period during the preceding four centuries"", justified by consistent evidence from a wide variety of geographically diverse proxies, but ""Less confidence can be placed in large-scale surface temperature reconstructions for the period from 900 to 1600"". It broadly agreed with the basic findings of the original MBH studies, which subsequently been supported by other reconstructions and proxy records, while emphasising uncertainties over earlier periods. The principal component analysis methodology that McIntyre and McKitrick had contested had a small tendency to bias results so was not recommended—but it had little influence on the final reconstructions, and other methods produced similar results.
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