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Selection of Climate Models for Developing - hi
Selection of Climate Models for Developing - hi

... forcing for dynamical downscaling. This report discusses the statistical downscaling component. There are two fundamentally different methods for selecting appropriate GCMs/RCMs. The first approach aims to cover the full envelope of possible futures ranging from dry and cold projections to wet and w ...
Nitrogen Flows in Agricultural Systems: A Modeling Perspective
Nitrogen Flows in Agricultural Systems: A Modeling Perspective

... EPICA Dome C ice core together with a temperature reconstruction (relative to the average of the past millennium) based on the deuterium– hydrogen ratio of the ice, reinforce the tight coupling between greenhouse-gas concentrations and climate observed in previous, shorter records. The 100,000-year ...
Assessing the impact of Laurentide Ice Sheet topography on glacial
Assessing the impact of Laurentide Ice Sheet topography on glacial

... system. For the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and subsequent deglaciation, the existence of large Northern Hemisphere ice sheets caused profound changes in surface topography and albedo. While ice-sheet extent is fairly well known, numerous conflicting reconstructions of ice-sheet topography suggest th ...
The coupled atmosphere–chemistry–ocean model SOCOL
The coupled atmosphere–chemistry–ocean model SOCOL

... LW bands covering 10–3000 cm−1 . In the computation absorption by water vapour, CO2 , ozone, N2 O, CH4 , CFC-11, CFC-12, CFC-22, aerosols, as well as clouds are considered. With the vertical resolution used in this study (39 levels up to 0.01 hPa), the model does not produce a Quasi-Biennial Oscilla ...
How closely do changes in surface and column water vapor follow
How closely do changes in surface and column water vapor follow

... Surface specific humidity increases at a rate of 5.7% K−1 , considerably lower than the rate for global-mean water vapor. Surface specific humidity closely follows Clausius–Clapeyron scaling over ocean. But there are widespread decreases in surface relative humidity over land (by more than 1% K−1 in ...
Increased vapor pressure deficit due to higher temperature leads to
Increased vapor pressure deficit due to higher temperature leads to

... after imposing treatments, the ratio of net photosynthesis measured at 33°C divided by that measured at 30°C from the same seedling was calculated to determine the short-term effects of temperature. This ratio decreased by 12% in response to the 45% increase in VPD associated with the higher measure ...
Climate change in Australia | Murray Basin cluster report
Climate change in Australia | Murray Basin cluster report

... forecast of the exact sequence of natural variability, so they are not ‘predictions’. They do however show a plausible range of climate system responses to a given emission scenario and also show the range of natural variability for a given climate. Greenhouse gas concentrations are similar amongst ...
P:\10 Publications\Books\Why Scientists Disagree\Second Edition\(6
P:\10 Publications\Books\Why Scientists Disagree\Second Edition\(6

... production, extreme weather events, rainfall changes, etc. have not properly considered factors such as physical impacts of human activities, natural variability in climate, lopsided models used in the prediction of production estimates, etc. There is a need to look into these phenomena at local and ...
Responses of reference evapotranspiration to changes in
Responses of reference evapotranspiration to changes in

... Changes in stomatal resistance in response to increased CO2 concentration were not evaluated, nor were the changes in wind velocity and solar radiation. Different scenarios were used for estimation of future ETo in different river basins as a consequence of trends in the maximum and minimum temperat ...
Seasonal Variations in Diurnal Temperature Range From Satellites
Seasonal Variations in Diurnal Temperature Range From Satellites

... (Ts ) and compared with weather-station observations based on Ta . Geographical and seasonal differences were identified in both ground- and satellite-derived DTRs. Estimates of DTR from station-observed air temperature represent all-sky conditions while satellite estimates of DTR from surface skin ...
Mechanisms of elevation-dependent warming over the Tibetan
Mechanisms of elevation-dependent warming over the Tibetan

... CCSM model performs well in capturing the characterization of surface air temperature over East Asia and China. In this study, four of the experiments were used, including the 1990 control and 4× CO2 runs under the T85 and T31 resolutions respectively. In the 1990 control runs, the CO2 concentration ...
Flowering time of butterfly nectar food plants is more
Flowering time of butterfly nectar food plants is more

... multivoltine butterfly species) those single site–year combinations represent. We assumed that any bias in sampling relative to the population of plants or adults in a given location and year is random with respect to temperature (e.g. there is no systematic tendency to sample early/late flying/flow ...
AIP PowerPoint Enhanced version
AIP PowerPoint Enhanced version

... They differ from each other in the same way as the signals from radio stations differ. They differ only in the frequency, and because they are all waves, also in their wavelength. ...
Rohr et al. 2013 physiology
Rohr et al. 2013 physiology

... which permits unrestricted distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. ...
Global Warming and the Greenland Ice Sheet
Global Warming and the Greenland Ice Sheet

... difficult to measure, offsetting quantities (Reeh, 1999). Even the direction in which the mass of the Greenland ice sheet is currently changing is in dispute. The current network of stations, including the automated observing stations, do not provide time series of sufficient length for reliable lon ...
Introduction
Introduction

... nitrogen, and water resources (DJF, DISAT, SMHI, SYKE, UNIK) (Ongoing) Task 6.2.9: Preliminary scenario impacts and risk assessment from available climate projections for selected models of crops, runoff, permafrost, soils (DJF, DISAT, FMI, SMHI, SYKE) (Completed) Task 6.2.10: Preliminary evaluation ...
Global Warming Index - Debate Central
Global Warming Index - Debate Central

... giants are threatening the very existence of its coastal cities and hence amount to an act of war! For their part the Asian giants already suspiciously view Washington's demands concerning greenhouse gases as a thinly veiled attempt to restrict their economical development. That said, China and Indi ...
View/Open
View/Open

... This study reminds us how much modern America is wedded to the private automobile. It presents a blizzard of statistics, tables and graphs, and each one reinforces the primacy of the private automobile to Americans’ mobility. For example, during the study’s time period (1990-2000), only two “modes” ...
Sensitivity and the Carbon Budget - Apollo
Sensitivity and the Carbon Budget - Apollo

... Each doubling in concentration is represented by the same distance along the horizontal axis. The temperature change illustrates the impact of change in CO2 concentration without any of the amplifying effects of the feedback system. The 280 ppm point marks the pre-industrial benchmark. Temperature v ...
Print - Science Advances
Print - Science Advances

... cover, and humidity [with cloud cover and humidity data drawn from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Reanalysis 2 project (28)]. We included these other meteorological variables because their exclusion might bias our estimates of the effect of nighttime temperature anomalies ( ...
Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming
Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming

... A frequent claim in the debate is that a “consensus” or even “overwhelming consensus” of scientists embrace the more alarming end of the spectrum of scientific projections of future climate change. Politicians including President Barack Obama and government agencies including the National Aeronautic ...
The Changing Earth-Life System—Critical Information for
The Changing Earth-Life System—Critical Information for

... high-resolution environmental records in time. Despite the slow progress, the community has increasingly coalesced around a singular intellectual challenge: Understanding the full range of Earth-life process behaviors through all of Earth history, including deep time, is vital for addressing urgent ...
The Politicization of Climate Change and Polarization in the American
The Politicization of Climate Change and Polarization in the American

... Yet, at the same time the environmental community was honoring the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and Al Gore for receiving the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize for their efforts to increase public knowledge about climate change, the Right—conservative think tanks, media figures (such as Rus ...
Potential Impacts of Climate Change on the Broads
Potential Impacts of Climate Change on the Broads

... at  a  few  state  of  the  art  models  (then),  a  few  key  annual  variables,  and  a  single  medium-­‐high   emission  scenario.   In  2013,  the  Broads  Authority  made  a  request  for  a  more  in  depth  analysis  of  the  potential   climate  changes  projected  to  occur  in  the  regio ...
Phenological response of tundra plants to background climate
Phenological response of tundra plants to background climate

... temperature variation across sites spanning latitudinal and moisture gradients. The dataset overall did not show an advance in phenology; instead, temperature variability during the years sampled and an absence of warming at some sites resulted in mixed responses. Phenological transitions of high Ar ...
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North Report

The North Report was a 2006 report evaluating reconstructions of the temperature record of the past two millennia, providing an overview of the state of the science and the implications for understanding of global warming. It was produced by a National Research Council committee, chaired by Gerald North, at the request of Representative Sherwood Boehlert as chairman of the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Science.These reconstructions had been dubbed ""hockey stick graphs"" after the 1999 reconstruction by Mann, Bradley and Hughes (MBH99), which used the methodology of their 1998 reconstruction covering 600 years (MBH98). A graph based on MBH99 was featured prominently in the 2001 IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR), and became a focus of the global warming controversy over the 1997 Kyoto Protocol. It was disputed by various contrarians, and in the politicisation of this hockey stick controversy the New York Times of 14 February 2005 hailed a paper by businessman Stephen McIntyre and economist Ross McKitrick (MM05) as undermining the scientific consensus behind the Kyoto agreement. On 23 June 2005, Rep. Joe Barton, chairman of the House Committee on Energy and Commerce, with Ed Whitfield, Chairman of the Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations, wrote joint letters referring to issues raised by the Wall Street Journal article, and demanding that Mann, Bradley and Hughes provide full records on their data and methods, finances and careers, information about grants provided to the institutions they had worked for, and the exact computer codes used to generate their results. Boehlert said this was a ""misguided and illegitimate investigation"" into something that should properly be under the jurisdiction of the Science Committee, and in November 2005 after Barton dismissed the offer of an independent investigation organised by the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, Boehlert requested the review, which became the North Report.The North Report went through a rigorous review process, and was published on 22 June 2006. It concluded ""with a high level of confidence that global mean surface temperature was higher during the last few decades of the 20th century than during any comparable period during the preceding four centuries"", justified by consistent evidence from a wide variety of geographically diverse proxies, but ""Less confidence can be placed in large-scale surface temperature reconstructions for the period from 900 to 1600"". It broadly agreed with the basic findings of the original MBH studies, which subsequently been supported by other reconstructions and proxy records, while emphasising uncertainties over earlier periods. The principal component analysis methodology that McIntyre and McKitrick had contested had a small tendency to bias results so was not recommended—but it had little influence on the final reconstructions, and other methods produced similar results.
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