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Addition & Multiplication Rules BUSA 2100, Section 4.3 Special Addition Rule Example 1: In Lowndes County, 25% of the cars owned were made by GM and 20% were made by Ford. What is the probability that a randomly chosen car was made by GM or Ford? Special Addition Rule, p. 2 Draw a Venn diagram for Example 1. Can be extended to more than 2 events. General Addition Rule Ex. 2: Among junior VSU Business majors, 35% are taking BUSA 2100 this term, and 45% are taking MGNT 3250. What is the probability that a junior Business student is taking Statistics or Management? Can we just add the probabilities? Draw a Venn diagram. General Addition Rule, Page 2 If in doubt, use the General Add. Rule. Independent and Dependent Events Definition: Two events are independent if the occurrence of one event has no effect on whether or not the other event occurs. Two events are dependent if the occurrence of one event has some effect on whether or not the other event occurs. Independent and Dependent Events, Page 2 If 2 events are dep., it doesn’t mean 1 event causes or requires the other. Dependence means the occurrence of 1 event affects (increases, decreases) the probability that the other will occur. Ex. 1: A = “family with annual income > $100,000”; B = “family with luxury car < 2 years old”. Are A, B indep. or dep.? Independent and Dependent Events, Page 3 Example 2: C = “man with a shoe size > 10”; D = “man with IQ > 115”. Are C, D independent or dependent? Why? Example 1: A coin is flipped and a die is rolled. What is the probability of a head on the coin and a six on the die? Special Multiplication Rule Special Multiplication Rule, Page 2 Example 2: At a gas station, 70% of the customers use credit cards. For the next 2 customers, what is the probability that the 1st one uses a credit card and the 2nd one does not?