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SP 225 Lecture 13 Advanced Topics in Hypothesis Testing Alternative Hypotheses Based on research claims Researchers may claim: A subpopulation mean is not equal to a population mean A subpopulation mean is greater than a population mean A subpopulation mean is less than a population mean Alternative Hypotheses H1 : 1 2 H1 : 1 2 H1 : 1 2 Results of the Alternative Hypothesis Choice Only some portions of the distribution support the alternative hypothesis ‘Usual’ Values may be: At the lower end of the distribution At the upper end of the distribution At both ends of the distribution Writing Hypothesis Subtract value of the mean from both sides of the hypothesis statement SPSS T-test Are the extreme conservatives sampled in GSS the same age on average as the general population? Meaning of the confidence interval changes Testing Option 1 You know: Population Mean Population Standard Deviation Sample Mean Option 1 Calculations Calculate the standard deviation of the sampling distribution x n Testing Option 2 You know: Population Mean Sample Mean Sample Standard Deviation Option 2 Calculations Calculate the standard deviation of the sampling distribution sx s n -1 T-Distribution Differences in the sample mean and population mean cause the standard score to be t-distributed instead of normally distributed We call the new standard score t instead of z T-distribution (cont.) K = df = degree of freedom = n-1 As k gets bigger, the t-distribution gets closer to the normal distribution T statistic Similar to z-score t x Sx Reading SPSS Output One-sample t-test Reading SPSS Output One-sample t-test Hypothesized value of the mean Test Value Test value is zero Hypothesis: the difference between the related data points has a mean of zero Alternative Hypothesis: the difference between the related data points has a mean that is not zero Reading SPSS Output One-sample t-test Value of the tstatistic Reading SPSS Output One-sample t-test Degrees of Freedom n-1 Reading SPSS Output One-sample t-test Area under the curve in a twotailed test Significance The area under the t-distribution Distribution of the differences X-t*s X X+t*s Reading SPSS Output One-sample t-test Difference between the mean of the data and the test value Reading SPSS Output One-sample t-test Confidence interval around the mean difference Errors in Hypothesis Testing Type I Error Type II Error Type I Error Rejecting the null hypothesis when it is true Confidence interval percentage is the chance this doesn’t happen 100-ci = Type I error rate Often called α (alpha) Type II Error Not rejecting null hypothesis when should have Much larger than type I error Not easily calculable Power of test Types of Error The null hypothesis is: Your Action True False Reject Type 1 error Correct Don’t Reject Correct Type 2 error Decreasing Overall Error Reducing type I increases type II Reducing type II increases type I Increasing the sample size, reduces both