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Research Design: Quantitative Methods: Elementary Statistics Dr Sng Bee Bee Taught by Dr. Sng Bee Bee • Singapore Bible College Files in many languages for free download at BibleStudyDownloads.org Lecture Objectives Describe the experimental and quasiexperimental research approaches Formulate appropriate questions and hypothesis Identify populations and samples Describe the principles of research tool design A Research Design collection Describe the purpose of study and kinds of questions being addressed A Research Design is an overarching plan for Analysis of data measurement The Structure of Experimental Design Involves THREE Steps STEP ONE Planning Stage • Research Aim and questions posed • Relevant theories and literature investigated • Formulate research hypothesis • Identify dependent and independent variables STEP TWO Operational Stage Conduct of the experiment STEP THREE Analysis of the data • Descriptive statistics • Inferential statistics Stages in planning of experimental and quasiexperimental research Planning Stage Identify the issue or questions of interest Review relevant literature and theories Develop questions and hypothesis Identify independent and dependent variables Source: Gray, D.E. (2009), Doing Research in the Real World (2nd ed.). London: Sage Stages in planning of experimental and quasi-experimental research Operational Stage Conduct the study Use descriptive statistics to describe data Develop questions and hypothesis Accept or reject hypothesis Source: Gray, D.E. (2009), Doing Research in the Real World (2nd ed.). London: Sage Statistics Statistics concerned with the collection, organization, and interpretation of data according to well-defined procedures. Population and sample Descriptive statistics methods summarize, organize, and simplify data. Inferential statistics consist of techniques that allow us to study samples and then make generalizations about the population from which they were selected. Descriptive Statistics: Frequency Distribution Frequency distribution : A record of the number of individuals located in each category on the scale of measurement. Proportion Percentages Central tendency Central tendency is a statistical measure that identifies a single score as representative of an entire distribution. The goal of central tendency is to find the single score that is most typical or most representative of the entire group. Central tendency Central tendency: mean, median and mode 1. Mode Most frequently occurring score(s) Example: 3 5 9 6 8 8 5 4 5 7 Mode = ? 3 4 5 5 5 6 7 8 8 9 Mode = 5 Mode (continue) It is a fast way to obtain central tendency but it is not reliable. 3 4 5 5 5 6 7 8 8 9 Mode = 5 3 4 5 5 8 6 7 8 8 9 Mode = 8 Measure Central Tendency 2. Mean Average: Add up all the scores and divide by number of scores. 3 4 5 5 5 6 7 8 8 9 Mean = (3+4+5+5+5+6+7+8+8+9)/10 = 60 / 10 = 6 It is the best way to show the central tendency of scores, since in calculating it every score is involved. For population use , for population use X Mean (continue) Extreme high or low score(s) will influence it as a good representative of central tendency. 3 4 5 5 5 6 7 8 8 9 Mean = 6 3 4 5 5 5 6 7 28 8 9 Mean = (3+4+5+5+5+6+7+28+8+9)/10 = 80 / 10 = 8 Measure Central Tendency 3. Median A point that divides a set of scores into two equal halves. There are same numbers of scores above and below it. 3 4 5 5 5|6 7 8 8 9 Median = (5 + 6)/2 = 5.5 5 5 3 6 7|8 9 4 8 5 3 4 5 5 6 7 8 8 9 Median = 6 Median (continue) It is not influenced by extreme scores. 3 4 5 5 5|6 7 8 8 9 Median = 5.5 3 4 5 5 5 6 7 28 8 9 3 4 5 5 5 | 6 7 8 9 28 Median = 5.5 Selection of Central Tendency Usually mean is the best representative If extreme value is included, median is the best representative For category information, mode is the only choice (Compare score band across classes or schools) Standard Deviation Standard Deviation is most commonly used and the most important measure of variability. It uses the mean of the distribution as a reference point. It measures variability by considering the difference between each score and the mean. Normal distribution normal distribution is standard, there is a known percentage of scores It is a symmetrical, bell-shaped distribution. Because the shape of - About 34% of the scores fall between the mean and 1 SD from the mean. - About 14% of the scores fall between 1 SD and 2 SD. - Close to 2% of the scores fall between 2 SD and 3 SD. Normal Distribution Conduct a survey In your group, use the questionnaire survey you designed earlier to investigate the following situation. Attitudes towards the use of contemporary music in worship services in your church in your country Design a set of 5 descriptors, e.g. “Must be very charismatic”; “Must have contemporary musical instruments” Design a Likert scale 1 to 5, 1 – Agree Absolutely, 2Very much agree, to 5-Totally Disagree Conduct the survey in class Compile your results Calculate the Mean, Mode, Median, Average and Standard Deviation of your results. Hypothesis testing Hypothesis testing is an inferential procedure that uses sample data to evaluate the credibility of a hypothesis about a population. Four steps are usually included in the procedure of hypothesis testing Hypothesis testing Step 1: Stating the hypothesis Null hypothesis (H0) states that the independent variable (treatment) has no effect on the dependent variable for the population. Example: H0 : final score = 70 Alternative (scientific) Hypothesis (H1) predicts that the independent variable (treatment) will have an effect on the dependent variable for the population. Hypothesis testing Step 2: Setting the criteria for a decision Set a criteria for making the right decision when we reject the null hypothesis Step 3: Collecting sample data Collecting data is the procedure to design and conduct a study. Step 4: Evaluating the null hypothesis Reject the null hypothesis Fail to reject the null hypothesis ANOVA: Analysis of Variance Single factor (one-way) experiment involves a single independent variable. One independent variable can be called as a factor in statistics. Levels of the independent variable? Correlation Correlation Correlation Correlation is a statistical technique that is used to measure and describe a relationship between two variables. Characteristics of a relationship 1. The direction of the relationship Positive, Negative, Zero 2. The degree of the relationship (correlation coefficient) (from -1 to +1) Summary Descriptive statistics Central tendency: mean, media, mode Variability: standard deviation Inferential statistics: hypothesis testing Significant and P value Z test Independent t test: two independent groups t test for related groups F test: more than 2 groups Correlation r Experimental and Quasi-Experimental Designs Quasi-Experimental Design Source: Gray, D.E. (2009), Doing Research in the Real World (2nd ed.). London: Sage Research has suggested that teenage pregnancy has significant effects on girls in terms of their later income level, educational attainment and general welfare – putting them on a lower rung of the economic ladder. But it is also acknowledged that teenage pregnancy is more common among lower income families, a potentially confounding factor. It is not possible to randomly assign teenage girls to become or not to become pregnant. This problem can be overcome by using as a non-equivalent group, the sisters of girls who became pregnant in their teens, but who themselves did not become pregnant until at least the age of 20. This allowed the researchers to control for the family economic disadvantage variable. When the data were analysed, it was found that the previously negative effects associated with teenage pregnancy were not as pronounced as expected. Discuss the following questions in relation to the previous case. 1.Why is this a quasi-experimental rather than an experimental study? 2.Why is it that the greater incidence of teenage pregnancy among lower income groups is a confounding factor for this particular study? Source: Gray, D.E. (2009), Doing Research in the Real World (2nd ed.). London: Sage Answers Source: Gray, D.E. (2009), Doing Research in the Real World (2nd ed.). London: Sage 1. This is a quasi-experimental study because there was no opportunity to randomly assign subjects to the condition (pregnancy) 2. The objective of the research is to examine the impact of teenage pregnancy on later income levels, educational attainment and general welfare. If teenage pregnancy was evenly spread across all income groups, the independent variable of income level would be controlled for. Unfortunately, as we are told, this is not the case. Lower income families tend to have higher incidences of teenage pregnancy – which could confound the results. Experimental Group with Control Subjects are randomly assigned to each of the experimental and control group All independent variables are controlled Review Basic Concepts Related to Experiment Any examples? Experiment of using new teaching method Characteristics (At least) two variables, one of them is manipulated by researcher (manipulated or independent variable) Other variables (extraneous variables) were controlled Causal relationship: effect of manipulated variable on other variable (dependent variable) Basic Steps Conducting Experiment Identify the causal research problem(s) Operationally define the manipulated variable(s) and the dependent variable(s) in the experiment Select suitable experimental design Decide the ways of controlling extraneous variables Select participants and collect data Perform statistical analysis and interpret the results Control extraneous variables While there are an infinite number of extraneous variables in any situation, we need normally worry only about those that might have an influence on the dependent variable. Four general approaches: 1. Hold extraneous variables constant or eliminate extraneous variables 2. Balance the possible extraneous variables 3. Include extraneous variable as an independent variable 4. Statistical control Example You want to study how a course on ‘Crosscultural communication’ helps your church members to be more effective in reaching people of different cultures. The experimental group would receive the treatment, i.e. the training on ‘Cross-cultural Communication’. The control group will not receive any training. If the test scores of the experimental group are higher than the control group, then the training has been effective. Factorial Design Sometimes, it is necessary to investigate the impact of changes in two or more variables Reason 1: Reason 2: Hence • there is more than one hypothesis to confirm or reject • explore relationships and interactions between variables • a factorial design is used which allows us to look at all possible combinations of selected values. Experiment For example, you want to find out which combination of factors gives rise to better attentiveness in your sanctuary Dull light, combined with both heat and cold Bright/hot conditions Interactions of brightness with cold 2 x 2 factorial design LIGHT Cold Heat Hot Dull Bright Dull/cold Bright/cold Hot/dull Hot/bright Summary The structure of experimental research generally comprises two stages: planning stage and operational stage Experimental designs begins with research question and hypothesis that the research is designed to test. Research questions should express a relationship between variables. A hypothesis is predictive and capable of being tested. Dependent variables are what experimental research designs are meant to affect through the manipulation of one or more independent variables. Summary In a true experimental design, the researcher has control over the experiment: who, what, when, where and how the experiment is conducted. This includes random sampling. Where any of these elements of control is either weak or missing, the study is known as quasiexperiment. In true experiments, it is possible to assign subjects to conditions, whereas in quasiexperiments, subjects are selected from previously existing groups. Research instruments need to be both valid and reliable. Validity means that an instrument measures what it is intended to measure. Reliability means that an instrument is consistent Get this presentation for free! Research & Writing link at BibleStudyDownloads.org