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Population Ecology Chapter 45 Population Ecology Certain ecological principles govern the growth and sustainability of all populations--including human populations Limits to Growth A population’s growth depends on the resources of its environment  Moose/Wolf study on Isle Royal Human Population Problems  Over 6 billion people alive  About  Most 2 billion live in poverty resources are consumed by the relatively few people in developed countries Population A group of individuals of the same species occupying a given area  Can be described by demographics – Vital statistics such as size, density, distribution, and age structure Population Age Structure  Divide population into age categories  Population’s reproductive base includes members of the reproductive and pre-reproductive age categories Density & Distribution   Number of individuals in some specified area of habitat Crude density information is more useful if combined with distribution data clumped nearly uniform random Figure 45.2 Page 808 Determining Population Size  Direct counts are most accurate but seldom feasible  Can sample an area, then extrapolate  Capture-recapture mobile species method is used for Capture-Recapture Method  Capture, mark, and release individuals  Return sample  Count later and capture second the number of marked individuals and use this to estimate total population Assumptions in Capture-Recapture  Marking has no effect on mortality  Marking has no effect on likelihood to being captured  There is no immigration or emigration between sampling times Changes in Population Size  Immigration  Emigration  Births adds individuals subtracts individuals add individuals  Deaths subtract individuals Zero Population Growth  Interval in which number of births is balanced by number of deaths  Assume no change as a result of migration  Population size remains stable Per Capita Rates  Rates  Total per individual number of events in a time interval divided by the number of individuals  Per capita birth rate per month = Number of births per month Population size r  Net reproduction per individual per unit time  Variable combines per capita birth and death rates (assuming both constant)  Can be used to calculate rate of growth of a population Exponential Growth Equation G = rN G is population growth per unit time  r is net reproduction per individual per unit time  N is population size Exponential Growth   Population size expands by ever increasing increments during successive intervals The larger the population gets, the more individuals there are to reproduce Figure 45.4 Page 810 Effect of Deaths  Population grows exponentially as long as per capita death rates are lower than per capita birth rates 25% mortality between divisions Figure 45.5 Page 811 Biotic Potential  Maximum rate of increase per individual under ideal conditions  Varies  In between species nature, biotic potential is rarely reached Limiting Factors  Any essential resource that is in short supply  All limiting factors acting on a population dictate sustainable population size Carrying Capacity (K)  Maximum number of individuals that can be sustained in a particular habitat  Logistic growth occurs when population size is limited by carrying capacity Logistic Growth Equation G = rmax N (K-N/K)  G = population growth per unit time  rmax = maximum population growth rate per unit time  N = number of individuals  K = carrying capacity Logistic Growth   As size of the population increases, rate of reproduction decreases When the population reaches carrying capacity, population growth ceases Logistic Growth Graph initial carrying capacity new carrying capacity Figure 45.6 Page 812 Overshooting Capacity   Population may temporarily increase above carrying capacity Overshoot is usually followed by a crash; dramatic increase in deaths Reindeer on St. Matthew’s Island Figure 45.6 Page 812 Density-Dependent Controls  Logistic growth equation deals with density-dependent controls  Limiting factors become more intense as population size increases  Disease, competition, parasites, toxic effects of waste products Density-Independent Controls  Factors unaffected by population density  Natural disasters or climate changes affect large and small populations alike Life History Patterns  Patterns of timing of reproduction and survivorship  Vary among species  Summarized in survivorship curves and life tables Life Table  Tracks age-specific patterns  Population is divided into age categories  Birth rates and mortality risks are calculated for each age category Survivorship Curves Graph of age-specific survivorship Figure 45.8 Page 815 Predation and Life History  Guppy populations vary in life history characteristics and morphology  Differences  Variation have genetic basis seems to be result of directional selection by predators Human Population Growth  Population  Rates now exceeds 6 billion of increase vary among countries  Average annual increase is 1.26 percent  Population continues to increase exponentially Side-Stepping Controls  Expanded into new habitats  Agriculture increased carrying capacity; use of fossil fuels aided increase  Hygiene and medicine lessened effects of density-dependent controls Future Growth  Exponential growth cannot continue forever  Breakthroughs in technology may further increase carrying capacity  Eventually, density-dependent factors will slow growth Fertility Rates  Worldwide, average annual rate of increase is 1.26%  Total fertility rate (TFR) is average number of children born to a woman  Highest in developing countries, lowest in developed countries Age Structure Diagrams Show age distribution of a population Figure 45.14 Page 821 Rapid Growth Slow Growth Zero Growth Negative Growth Population Momentum  Lowering fertility rates cannot immediately slow population growth rate  Why? There are already many future parents alive  If every couple had just two children, population would still keep growing for another 60 years Slowing Growth in China  World’s most extensive family planning program  Government rewards small family size, penalizes larger families, provides free birth control, abortion, sterilization  Since 5.7 1972, TFR down to 1.8 from Effects of Economic Development  Total fertility rates (TFRs) are highest in developing countries, lowest in developed countries  When individuals are economically secure, they are under less pressure to have large families Population Sizes in 2001 Asia 3.7 billion Europe 727 million Africa 816 million Latin America 525 million North America 316 million Oceania 31 million Resource Consumption  United States has 4.7 percent of the world’s population  Americans have a disproportionately large effect on the world’s resources  Per capita, Americans consume more resources and create more pollution than citizens of less developed nations
 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
									 
                                             
                                             
                                             
                                             
                                             
                                             
                                             
                                             
                                             
                                             
                                            