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Weak Approximation of
β
Yan Dolinsky
Marcel Nutz
πΊ-Expectations
β
β‘
H. Mete Soner
March 2, 2011
Abstract
We introduce a notion of volatility uncertainty in discrete time and
dene the corresponding analogue of Peng's πΊ-expectation. In the
continuous-time limit, the resulting sublinear expectation converges
weakly to the πΊ-expectation. This can be seen as a Donsker-type
result for the πΊ-Brownian motion.
Keywords πΊ-expectation, volatility uncertainty, weak limit theorem
AMS 2000 Subject Classications 60F05, 60G44, 91B25, 91B30
JEL Classications G13, G32
Acknowledgements Research supported by European Research Council Grant
228053-FiRM, Swiss National Science Foundation Grant PDFM2-120424/1,
Swiss Finance Institute and ETH Foundation.
1 Introduction
The so-called
πΊ-expectation
[12, 13, 14] is a nonlinear expectation advanc-
ing the notions of backward stochastic dierential equations (BSDEs) [10]
π -expectations [11]; see also [2, 16] for a related theory of second order
πΊ
BSDEs. A πΊ-expectation π 7β β° (π) is a sublinear function which maps random variables π on the canonical space Ξ© = πΆ([0, π ]; β) to the real numbers.
The symbol πΊ refers to a given function πΊ : β β β of the form
and
1
1
πΊ(πΎ) = (π
πΎ + β ππΎ β ) =
sup ππΎ,
2
2 πβ[π,π
]
0 β€ π β€ π
< β are xed numbers. More generally, the interval [π, π
]
D of nonnegative matrices in the multivariate case. The
extension to a random set D is studied in [9].
πΊ
The construction of β° (π) runs as follows. When π = π (π΅π ), where π΅π
is the canonical process at time π and π is a suciently regular function,
πΊ
then β° (π) is dened to be the initial value π’(0, 0) of the solution of the nonlinear backward heat equation ββπ‘ π’ β πΊ(π’π₯π₯ ) = 0 with terminal condition
where
is replaced by a set
β
β
β‘
ETH Zurich, Dept. of Mathematics, CH-8092 Zurich,
ETH Zurich, Dept. of Mathematics, CH-8092 Zurich,
yan.dolinsky@math.ethz.ch
marcel.nutz@math.ethz.ch
ETH Zurich, Dept. of Mathematics, CH-8092 Zurich, and Swiss Finance Institute,
mete.soner@math.ethz.ch
1
π’(β
, π ) = π . The mapping β° πΊ can be extended to random variables of the
form π = π (π΅π‘1 , . . . , π΅π‘π ) by a stepwise evaluation of the PDE and then to
1
1
the completion ππΊ of the space of all such random variables. The space ππΊ
consists of so-called quasi-continuous functions and contains in particular all
bounded continuous functions on
functions are included (cf. [3]).
Ξ©;
however, not all bounded measurable
While this setting is not based on a sin-
πΊ-Brownian
gle probability measure, the so-called
motion is given by the
πΊ (cf. [14]). It reduces to the standard
canonical process π΅ seen under β°
πΊ is then the (linear) expectation
Brownian motion if π = π
= 1 since β°
under the Wiener measure.
In this note we introduce a discrete-time analogue of the
πΊ-expectation
and we prove a convergence result which resembles Donsker's theorem for
the standard Brownian motion; the main purpose is to provide additional
intuition for
πΊ-Brownian
point is the dual view on
motion and volatility uncertainty.
πΊ-expectation
Our starting
via volatility uncertainty [3, 4]: We
consider the representation
β° πΊ (π) = sup πΈ π [π],
(1.1)
π βπ«
where
π«
is a set of probabilities on
Ξ©
such that under any
π β π«,
the
π΅ is a martingale with volatility πβ¨π΅β©/ππ‘ taking values in
D = [π, π
], π × ππ‘-a.e. Therefore, D can be understood as the domain of
πΊ as the corresponding worst-case
(Knightian) volatility uncertainty and β°
canonical process
expectation. In discrete-time, we translate this to uncertainty about the conditional variance of the increments. Thus we dene a sublinear expectation
β°π
on the
π-step canonical space in the spirit of
(1.1), replacing
π«
by a suit-
able set of martingale laws. A natural push-forward then yields a sublinear
expectation on
the domain
D
Ξ©,
which we show to converge weakly to
of uncertainty is scaled by
1/π
β°πΊ
as
π β β,
if
(cf. Theorem 2.2). The proof
relies on (linear) probability theory; in particular, it does not use the central
limit theorem for sublinear expectations [14, 15]. The relation to the latter
is nontrivial since our discrete-time models do not have independent increments. We remark that quite dierent approximations of the
πΊ-expectation
(for the scalar case) can be found in discrete models for nancial markets
with transaction costs [8] or illiquidity [5].
The detailed setup and the main result are stated in Section 2, whereas
the proofs and some ramications are given in Section 3.
2 Main Result
π β β and denote by β£ β
β£ the Euclidean norm on βπ .
π
π
we denote by π the space of π × π symmetric matrices and by π+
We x the dimension
Moreover,
its subset of nonnegative denite matrices. We x a nonempty, convex and
2
compact set
D β ππ+ ;
the elements of
D
will be the possible values of our
volatility processes.
Continuous-Time Formulation.
Let
Ξ© = πΆ([0, π ]; βπ )
be the space of
π-dimensional continuous paths π = (ππ‘ )0β€π‘β€π with time horizon π β (0, β),
β₯πβ₯β = sup0β€π‘β€π β£ππ‘ β£. We denote by π΅ =
(π΅π‘ )0β€π‘β€π the canonical process π΅π‘ (π) = ππ‘ and by β±π‘ := π(π΅π , 0 β€ π β€ π‘)
the canonical ltration. A probability measure π on Ξ© is called a martingale
law if π΅ is a π -martingale and π΅0 = 0 π -a.s. (All our martingales will start
endowed with the uniform norm
at the origin.) We set
{
π«D = π
where
β¨π΅β©
martingale law on
}
Ξ© : πβ¨π΅β©π‘ /ππ‘ β D, π × ππ‘-a.e. ,
denotes the matrix-valued process of quadratic covariations. We
can then dene the sublinear expectation
β°D (π) := sup πΈ π [π]
for any random variable
π βπ«D
π:Ξ©ββ
β±π -measurable and πΈ π β£πβ£ < β for all π β π«D . The mapping
β°D coincides with the πΊ-expectation (on its domain π1πΊ ) if πΊ : ππ β β
is (half ) the support function of D; i.e., πΊ(Ξ) = supπ΄βD trace(Ξπ΄)/2. In-
such that
π
is
deed, this follows from [3] with an additional density argument as detailed
in Remark 3.6 below.
(βπ )π+1 as the
canonical space of π-dimensional paths in discrete time π = 0, 1, . . . , π. We
π
π
π π
denote by π = (ππ )π=0 the canonical process dened by ππ (π₯) = π₯π for
π₯ = (π₯0 , . . . , π₯π ) β (βπ )π+1 . Moreover, β±ππ = π(πππ , π = 0, . . . , π) denes
π π
the canonical ltration (β±π )π=0 . We also introduce 0 β€ πD β€ π
D < β such
that [πD , π
D ] is the spectrum of D; i.e.,
Discrete-Time Formulation.
Given
πD = inf β₯Ξβ1 β₯β1
ΞβD
β₯β
β₯
π β β,
and
we consider
π
D = sup β₯Ξβ₯,
ΞβD
πD := 0 if D has an
element which is not invertible. We note that [πD , π
D ] = D if π = 1.
π π+1 is called a martingale law if π π
Finally, a probability measure π on (β )
π
π
π
π
is a π -martingale and π0 = 0 π -a.s. Denoting by Ξππ = ππ β ππβ1 the
π
increments of π , we can now set
{
}
π martingale law on (βπ )π+1 : for π = 1, . . . , π,
π
π«D =
π ] β D and π2 π β€ β£Ξπ π β£2 β€ π2 π
, π -a.s. ,
πΈ π [Ξπππ (Ξπππ )β² β£β±πβ1
D
D
π
where
denotes the operator norm and we set
β²
Ξπππ is a column vector, so
π
π+ . We introduce the sublinear expectation
where prime ( ) denotes transposition. Note that
π
π β²
that Ξπ (Ξπ ) takes values in
π
β°D
(π) := sup πΈ π [π]
π
π βπ«D
for any random variable
3
π : (βπ )π+1 β β
π is β±ππ -measurable and πΈ π β£πβ£ < β for all π β
π
of β°D as a discrete-time analogue of the πΊ-expectation.
such that
Remark 2.1. The second condition in the denition of
the desire to generate the volatility uncertainty by a
π,
π«D
π
π«D
and we think
is motivated by
small set of scenarios;
we remark that the main results remain true if, e.g., the lower bound
π
D
omitted and the upper bound
πD
is
replaced by any other condition yielding
tightness. Our bounds are chosen so that
{
π
π«D
= π
martingale law on
Continuous-Time Limit.
(βπ )π+1 : Ξπ π (Ξπ π )β² β D, π -a.s.
if
π = 1.
To compare our objects from the two formu-
lations, we shall extend any discrete path
π₯
Λβ Ξ©
}
by linear interpolation.
π₯ β (βπ )π+1
to a continuous path
More precisely, we dene the interpolation
operator
Λ : (βπ )π+1 β Ξ©,
π₯ = (π₯0 , . . . , π₯π ) 7β π₯
Λ = (Λ
π₯π‘ )0β€π‘β€π ,
where
π₯
Λπ‘ := ([ππ‘/π ] + 1 β ππ‘/π )π₯[ππ‘/π ] + (ππ‘/π β [ππ‘/π ])π₯[ππ‘/π ]+1
[π¦] := max{π β β€ : π β€ π¦} for π¦ β β. In particular, if π π is the
π π+1 and π is a random variable on Ξ©, then π(π
Λπ )
canonical process on (β )
π
π+1
denes a random variable on (β )
. This allows us to dene the following
π
push-forward of β°D to a continuous-time object,
and
π
π
Λπ ))
β°ΜD
(π) := β°D
(π(π
for
π:Ξ©ββ
being suitably integrable.
Our main result states that this sublinear expectation with discrete-time
volatility uncertainty converges to the
πΊ-expectation
as the number
π
of
periods tends to innity, if the domain of volatility uncertainty is scaled as
D/π := {πβ1 Ξ : Ξ β D}.
Theorem 2.2. Let π : Ξ© β β be a continuous function satisfying β£π(π)β£ β€
π (π) β β° (π) as π β β;
π(1+β₯πβ₯β )π for some constants π, π > 0. Then β°ΜD/π
D
that is,
Λπ )] β sup πΈ π [π].
sup πΈ π [π(π
π
π βπ«D/π
(2.1)
π βπ«D
We shall see that all expressions in (2.1) are well dened and nite.
Moreover, we will show in Theorem 3.8 that the result also holds true for a
strong formulation of volatility uncertainty.
Remark 2.3. Theorem 2.2 cannot be extended to the case where π is
1
merely in ππΊ , which is dened as the completion of πΆπ (Ξ©; β) under the
π
norm β₯πβ₯πΏ1 := sup{πΈ β£πβ£, π β π«D }. This is because β₯ β
β₯πΏ1 does not see
πΊ
πΊ
the discrete-time objects, as illustrated by the following example. Assume
4
0 β
/ D and let π΄ β Ξ©
π (π΄) = 0 for any π β π«D ,
for simplicity that
be the set of paths with nite
variation. Since
we have
π := 1 β 1π΄ = 1
in
and the right hand side of (2.1) equals one. However, the trajectories of
lie in
π΄,
so that
Λπ ) β‘ 0
π(π
and the left hand side of (2.1) equals zero.
In view of the previous remark, we introduce a smaller space
as the completion of
β₯πβ₯β := sup πΈ π β£πβ£,
πβπ¬
If
π
π1πΊ
Λπ
π
πΆπ (Ξ©; β)
π1β ,
dened
under the norm
}
{
Λπ )β1 : π β π« π , π β β .
π¬ := π«D βͺ π β (π
D/π
is as in Theorem 2.2, then
π β π1β
(2.2)
by Lemma 3.4 below and so the
following is a generalization of Theorem 2.2.
Corollary 2.4. Let
π (π) β β° (π) as π β β.
π β π1β . Then β°ΜD/π
D
Proof. This follows from Theorem 2.2 by approximation, using that
sup{πΈ π β£πβ£
: π β π«D } +
Λπ )β£
sup{πΈ π β£π(π
:π β
π ,
π«D/π
π β β}
β₯πβ₯β and
are equivalent
norms.
3 Proofs and Ramications
In the next two subsections, we prove separately two inequalities that jointly
imply Theorem 2.2 and a slightly stronger result, reported in Theorem 3.8.
3.1
First Inequality
In this subsection we prove the rst inequality of (2.1), namely that
Λπ )] β€ sup πΈ π [π].
lim sup sup πΈ π [π(π
π
πββ π βπ«D/π
(3.1)
π βπ«D
The essential step in this proof is a stability result for the volatility (see
Lemma 3.3(ii) below); the necessary tightness follows from the compactness
of
D;
i.e., from
π
D < β.
We shall denote
πD = {πΞ : Ξ β D}
for
π β β.
Lemma 3.1. Given
π β [1, β), there exists a universal constant πΎ > 0 such
π,
that for all 0 β€ π β€ π β€ π and π β π«D
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
πΈ π [supπ=0,...,π β£πππ β£2π ] β€ πΎ(ππ
D )π ,
2 (π β π)2 ,
πΈ π β£πππ β πππ β£4 β€ πΎπ
D
πΈ π [(πππ β πππ )(πππ β πππ )β² β£β±ππ ] β (π β π)D π -a.s.
π := π π to ease the notation.
(i) Let π β [1, β). By the Burkholder-Davis-Gundy (BDG)
there exists a universal constant πΆ = πΆ(π, π) such that
[
]
π
π 2π
πΈ
sup β£ππ β£
β€ πΆπΈ π β₯[π]π β₯π .
Proof. We set
π=0,...,π
5
inequalities
In view of
π,
π β π«D
we have
β₯[π]π β₯ = β₯
βπ
β²
π=1 Ξππ (Ξππ ) β₯
(ii) The BDG inequalities yield a universal constant
πΆ
β€ ππ2 π
D π -a.s.
such that
πΈ π β£ππ β ππ β£4 β€ πΆπΈ π β₯[π]π β [π]π β₯2 .
Similarly as in (i),
π
π β π«D
implies that
β₯[π]π β [π]π β₯ β€ (π β π)π2 π
D π -a.s.
(iii) The orthogonality of the martingale increments yields that
π
πΈ [(ππ β ππ )(ππ β
β²
ππ ) β£β±ππ ]
=
π
β
πΈ π [Ξππ (Ξππ )β² β£β±ππ ].
π=π+1
Since
π ] β D π -a.s.
πΈ π [Ξππ (Ξππ )β² β£β±πβ1
and since
D
is convex,
]
[
π π
πΈ π [Ξππ (Ξππ )β² β£β±ππ ] = πΈ π πΈ π [Ξππ (Ξππ )β² β£β±πβ1
] β±π
again takes values in
D.
Ξ1 + β
β
β
+ Ξπ β πD
by convexity.
It remains to observe that if
Ξ1 , . . . , Ξπ β D,
then
The following lemma shows in particular that all expressions in Theorem 2.2 are well dened and nite.
Lemma 3.2. Let
π : Ξ© β β be as in Theorem 2.2. Then β₯πβ₯β < β; that is,
Λπ )β£ < β
sup sup πΈ π β£π(π
π
πββ π βπ«D/π
sup πΈ π β£πβ£ < β.
and
(3.2)
π βπ«D
π . By the assumption on π , there
π β β and π β π«D/π
constants π, π > 0 such that
[
]
]
[
π π
Λπ )β£ β€ π + ππΈ π sup β£π
Λπ β£π β€ π + ππΈ π
πΈ π β£π(π
β£
.
sup
β£π
π
π‘
Proof. Let
0β€π‘β€π
exist
π=0,...,π
π
D/π = π
D /π yield that
π/2
Λπ )β£ β€ πΎπ
πΈ π β£π(π
D and the rst claim follows. The second claim similarly
π
π
follows from the estimate that πΈ [sup0β€π‘β€π β£π΅π‘ β£ ] β€ πΆπ for all π β π«D ,
Hence Lemma 3.1(i) and the observation that
which is obtained from the BDG inequalities by using that
D is bounded.
We can now prove the key result of this subsection.
Λπ
Lemma 3.3. For each π β β, let {π π = (πππ )π
π=0 , π } be a martingale
π
Λπ on Ξ©. Then
with law π π β π«D/π
on (βπ )π+1 and let ππ be the law of π
(i) the sequence (ππ ) is tight on Ξ©,
(ii) any cluster point of
(ππ ) is an element of π«D .
6
Proof. (i) Let
0 β€ π β€ π‘ β€ π.
As
π
D/π = π
D /π,
Lemma 3.1(ii) implies that
π
Λπ Λ
2
π
Λπ 4
πΈ π β£π΅π‘ β π΅π β£4 = πΈ π β£π
π‘ β ππ β£ β€ πΆβ£π‘ β π β£
πΆ > 0.
for a constant
(ii) Let
π
Hence
(ππ )
is tight by the moment criterion.
be a cluster point, then
π΅
is a
π-martingale
as a consequence
of the uniform integrability implied by Lemma 3.1(i) and it remains to show
that
πβ¨π΅β©π‘ /ππ‘ β D
holds
scalar inequalities: given
π × ππ‘-a.e. It will be
Ξ β ππ , the separating
useful to characterize
D
by
hyperplane theorem implies
that
ΞβD
if and only if
β
β(Ξ) β€ πΆD
:= sup β(π΄)
for all
β β (ππ )β ,
(3.3)
π΄βD
(ππ )β is the set of all linear functionals β : ππ β β.
Let π» : [0, π ] × Ξ© β [0, 1] be a continuous and adapted function and let
β β (ππ )β . We x 0 β€ π < π‘ β€ π and denote Ξπ ,π‘ π := ππ‘ β ππ for a process
π = (ππ’ )0β€π’β€π . Let π > 0 and let DΜ be any neighborhood of D, then for π
where
suciently large,
Λπ
πΈπ
(
[
)]
π, 0 β€ π’ β€ π β π
Λπ )(Ξπ ,π‘ π
Λπ )β² π π
Λ
β (π‘ β π )DΜ πΛ π -a.s.
(Ξπ ,π‘ π
π’
as a consequence of Lemma 3.1(iii). Since
DΜ was arbitrary, it follows by (3.3)
that
{ (
)
}]
π[
β
lim sup πΈ π π»(π β π, π΅) β (Ξπ ,π‘ π΅)(Ξπ ,π‘ π΅)β² β πΆD
(π‘ β π )
πββ
Λπ [
= lim sup πΈ π
πββ
{ (
)
}]
Λπ ) β (Ξπ ,π‘ π
Λπ )(Ξπ ,π‘ π
Λπ )β² β πΆ β (π‘ β π ) β€ 0.
π»(π β π, π
D
π(π) = β₯πβ₯2β , we may pass to the limit and conclude that
[
(
)]
[
]
β
πΈ π π»(π β π, π΅) β (Ξπ ,π‘ π΅)(Ξπ ,π‘ π΅)β² β€ πΈ π π»(π β π, π΅) πΆD
(π‘ β π ) . (3.4)
Using (3.2) with
Since
π»(π β π, π΅)
is
β±π -measurable
and
πΈ π [(Ξπ ,π‘ π΅)(Ξπ ,π‘ π΅)β² β£β±π ] = πΈ π [π΅π‘ π΅π‘β² β π΅π π΅π β² β£β±π ] = πΈ π [β¨π΅β©π‘ β β¨π΅β©π β£β±π ]
as
π΅
π-martingale, (3.4) is equivalent to
(
)]
[
]
β
π»(π β π, π΅) β β¨π΅β©π‘ β β¨π΅β©π β€ πΈ π π»(π β π, π΅) πΆD
(π‘ β π ) .
is a square-integrable
πΈ
[
π
π» and dominated convergence as π β 0, we
[
(
)]
[
]
β
πΈ π π»(π , π΅) β β¨π΅β©π‘ β β¨π΅β©π β€ πΈ π π»(π , π΅) πΆD
(π‘ β π )
Using the continuity of
and then it follows that
πΈπ
[β«
π
]
[β«
π»(π‘, π΅) β(πβ¨π΅β©π‘ ) β€ πΈ π
0
0
7
π
]
β
π»(π‘, π΅)πΆD
ππ‘ .
obtain
π» which
β holds
β(πβ¨π΅β©π‘ /ππ‘) β€ πΆD
π × ππ‘-a.e., and since β β (ππ )β was arbitrary, (3.3) shows that πβ¨π΅β©π‘ /ππ‘ β D
holds π × ππ‘-a.e.
By an approximation argument, this inequality extends to functions
are measurable instead of continuous. It follows that
We can now deduce the rst inequality of Theorem 2.2 as follows.
Proof of (3.1). Let
π
be as in Theorem 2.2 and let
π
there exists an π-optimizer π
Ξ©
under
ππ ,
β
π ; i.e., if
π«D/π
π
π
By Lemma 3.3, the sequence
π«D .
For each
(ππ )
Λπ )] β π.
sup πΈ π [π(π
π
π βπ«D/π
is tight and any cluster point belongs
π is continuous and (3.2) implies supπ πΈ ππ β£πβ£ < β,
π
lim supπ πΈ π [π] β€ supπ βπ«D πΈ π [π]. Therefore,
Since
yields that
πββ
Λπ on
π
then
Λπ )] β₯
πΈ π [π] = πΈ π [π(π
to
π > 0.
ππ denotes the law of
tightness
Λπ )] β€ sup πΈ π [π] + π.
lim sup sup πΈ π [π(π
π
πββ π βπ«D/π
Since
π>0
π βπ«D
was arbitrary, it follows that (3.1) holds.
Finally, we also prove the statement preceding Corollary 2.4.
Lemma 3.4. Let
π : Ξ© β β be as in Theorem 2.2. Then π β π1β .
Proof. We show that π π
π in the norm β₯ β
β₯β as
sup{πΈ π [ β
] : π β π¬}
π
is continuous along the decreasing sequence β£π β π β£, where π¬ is as in (2.2).
Indeed, π¬ is tight by (the proof of ) Lemma 3.3. Using that β₯πβ₯β < β by
π β β,
:= (π β§ π) β¨ π
converges to
or equivalently, that the upper expectation
Lemma 3.2, we can then argue as in the proof of [3, Theorem 12] to obtain
the claim.
3.2
Second Inequality
The main purpose of this subsection is to show the second inequality β₯
of (2.1). Our proof will yield a more precise version of Theorem 2.2. Namely,
we will include strong formulations of volatility uncertainty both in discrete
and in continuous time; i.e., consider laws generated by integrals with respect
to a xed random walk (resp. Brownian motion). In the nancial interpretation, this means that the uncertainty can be generated by
models.
8
complete market
Strong Formulation in Continuous Time.
nian martingales: with
{
π¬D =
π0 β
(β«
π0
Here we shall consider
Brow-
denoting the Wiener measure, we dene
π (π‘, π΅) ππ΅π‘
)β1
β )
: π β πΆ [0, π ] × Ξ©; D
(
}
,
adapted
β
β
β
D = { Ξ : Ξ β D}. (For Ξ β ππ+ , Ξ denotes the unique squareπ
root in π+ .) We note that π¬D is a (typically strict) subset of π«D . The
elements of π¬D with nondegenerate π have the predictable representation
where
property; i.e., they correspond to a complete market in the terminology of
mathematical nance.
We have the following density result; the proof is
deferred to the end of the section.
Proposition 3.5. The convex hull of
π¬π· is a weakly dense subset of π«D .
We can now deduce the connection between
associated with
β°D
and the
πΊ-expectation
D.
Remark 3.6. (i) Proposition 3.5 implies that
sup πΈ π [π] = sup πΈ π [π],
π βπ¬D
π βπ«D
π β πΆπ (Ξ©; β).
πΊ-expectation
π β
7 supπ βπ¬βD πΈ π [π]
(3.5)
In [3, Section 3] it is shown that the
as introduced in [12,
13] coincides with the mapping
for a certain set
satisfying
π¬D β
π¬βD
β π«D .
π¬βD
In particular, we deduce that the right hand
side of (3.5) is indeed equal to the
πΊ-expectation,
as claimed in Section 2.
(ii) A result similar to Proposition 3.5 can also be deduced from [17,
Proposition 3.4.], which relies on a PDE-based verication argument of
stochastic control. We include a (possibly more enlightening) probabilistic
proof at the end of the section.
Strong Formulation in Discrete Time.
For xed
π β β,
we consider
{
}
Ξ©π := π = (π1 , . . . , ππ ) : ππ β {1, . . . , π + 1}, π = 1, . . . , π
equipped with its power set and let
ππ := {(π + 1)β1 , . . . , (π + 1)β1 }π
be
the product probability associated with the uniform distribution. Moreover,
π1 , . . . , ππ be an i.i.d. sequence of βπ -valued random variables on Ξ©π such
2
that β£ππ β£ = π and such that the components of ππ are orthonormal in πΏ (ππ ),
βπ
for each π = 1, . . . , π. Let ππ =
π=1 ππ be the associated random walk.
π
Then, we consider martingales π which are discrete-time integrals of π of
let
the form
πππ =
π
β
π (π β 1, π)Ξππ ,
π=1
9
where
by
π;
π¬πD
π
is measurable and adapted with respect to the ltration generated
i.e.,
π (π, π)
depends only on
πβ£{0,...,π} .
We dene
{
β
= ππ β(π π )β1 ; π : {0, . . . , πβ1}×(βπ )π+1 β D
To see that
π,
π¬πD β π«D
we note that
measurable,
Ξπ π π = π (π β 1, π)ππ
}
adapted .
and the or-
ππ yield
[
(
)β²
]
πΈ ππ Ξπ π π Ξπ π π π(π1 , . . . , ππβ1 ) = π (π β 1, π)2 β D ππ -a.s.,
thonormality property of
while
β£ππ β£ = π and π 2 β D imply that
(
)
[
]
Ξπ π π Ξπ π π β² = β£π (π β 1, π)ππ β£2 β π2 πD , π2 π
D ππ -a.s.
Remark 3.7. We recall from [7] that such
π1 , . . . , ππ can be constructed as
follows. Let π΄ be an orthogonal (π + 1) × (π + 1) matrix whose last row
β1/2 , . . . , (π + 1)β1/2 ) and let π£ β βπ be column vectors such
is ((π + 1)
π
that [π£1 , . . . , π£π+1 ] is the matrix obtained from π΄ by deleting the last row.
1/2 π£
Setting ππ (π) := (π + 1)
ππ for π = (π1 , . . . , ππ ) and π = 1, . . . , π, the
above requirements are satised.
We can now formulate a result which includes Theorem 2.2.
Theorem 3.8. Let
lim
π : Ξ© β β be as in Theorem 2.2. Then
Λπ )] = lim
sup πΈ π [π(π
πββ π βπ¬π
Λπ )]
sup πΈ π [π(π
πββ π βπ« π
D/π
D/π
π
= sup πΈ [π]
π βπ¬D
= sup πΈ π [π].
(3.6)
π βπ«D
Proof. Since
π
π¬πD/π β π«D/π
for each
π β₯ 1,
the inequality (3.1) yields that
Λπ )] β€ sup πΈ π [π].
lim sup sup πΈ π [π(π
πββ π βπ¬π
D/π
π βπ«D
As the equality in (3.6) follows from Proposition 3.5, it remains to show that
lim inf
Λπ )] β₯ sup πΈ π [π].
sup πΈ π [π(π
πββ π βπ¬π
D/π
To this end, let
π β π¬D ;
i.e.,
π
π βπ¬D
is the law of a martingale of the form
β«
π=
π (π‘, π ) πππ‘ ,
10
where
π
function. We shall construct
tend to
For
β )
(
π β πΆ [0, π ] × Ξ©; D is an adapted
(π) whose laws are in π¬π
martingales π
D/π and
is a Brownian motion and
π.
π β₯ 1,
let
(π)
ππ
=
βπ
π=1 ππ be the random walk on
(Ξ©π , ππ )
as intro-
duced before Remark 3.7. Let
[ππ‘/π ]
(π)
ππ‘
:= π
β1/2
β
ππ ,
0β€π‘β€π
π=1
be the piecewise constant càdlàg version of the scaled random walk and let
(π)
Λ (π) := πβ1/2 πΛ
π
be its continuous counterpart obtained by linear interpo-
lation. It follows from the central limit theorem that
(
)
Λ (π) β (π, π )
π (π) , π
π·([0, π ]; β2π ),
on
the space of càdlàg paths equipped with the Skorohod topology. Moreover,
since
(
π
is continuous, we also have that
(
))
Λ (π) β (π, π (π‘, π ))
π (π) , π [ππ‘/π ]π /π, π
on
2
π·([0, π ]; βπ+π ).
Thus, if we introduce the discrete-time integral
(π)
ππ
:=
π
)
β
)( (π)
(
Λ
Λ (π)
Λ (π) π
β
π
π (π β 1)π /π, π
ππ /π
(πβ1)π /π ,
π=1
it follows from the stability of stochastic integrals (see [6, Theorem 4.3 and
Denition 4.1]) that
(
(π)
π[ππ‘/π ]
)
0β€π‘β€π
βπ
Moreover, since the increments of
π (π)
on
π·([0, π ]; βπ ).
uniformly tend to
0
as
π β β,
it
also follows that
Λ(π) β π
π
As
π 2 /π
takes values in
D/π,
the law of
on
π (π)
Ξ©.
is contained in
π¬πD/π
and the
proof is complete.
It remains to give the proof of Proposition 3.5, which we will obtain by
a randomization technique. Since similar arguments, at least for the scalar
case, can be found elsewhere (e.g., [8, Section 5]), we shall be brief.
Proof of Proposition 3.5. We may assume without loss of generality that
there exists an invertible element
(3.7)
D is a convexβ© subset of ππ+ , we observe that (3.7) is
πΎ = {0} for πΎ := ΞβD ker Ξ. If π = dim πΎ > 0, a change
Indeed, using that
equivalent to
Ξβ β D.
11
of coordinates bring us to the situation where
π
coordinates of
βπ .
πΎ
corresponds to the last
We can then reduce all considerations to
βπβπ
and
thereby recover the situation of (3.7).
1. Regularization. We rst observe that the set
{
π β π«D : πβ¨π΅β©π‘ /ππ‘ β₯ π1π π × ππ‘-a.e.
is weakly dense in
π«D .
(Here
a martingale whose law is in
for some
1π denotes the unit matrix.)
π«D .
Recall (3.7) and let
π
}
π>0
(3.8)
Indeed, let
π
be
be an independent
continuous Gaussian martingale with
πβ¨π β©π‘ /ππ‘ = Ξβ .
ππ + (1 β π)π
D is convex.
and is contained in the set (3.8), since
tends to the law of
π
For
π β 1,
the law of
2. Discretization. Next, we reduce to martingales with piecewise constant
volatility. Let
π
be a martingale whose law belongs to (3.8). We have
β«
π=
where
π (π)
ππ‘ πππ‘
ππ‘ :=
for
β
β«
πβ¨π β©/ππ‘
and
π :=
ππ‘β1 πππ‘ ,
π is a Brownian motion by Lévy's theorem. For π β₯ 1, we introduce
β« (π)
= ππ‘ πππ‘ , where π (π) is an ππ+ -valued piecewise constant process
satisfying
(
(π) )2
ππ‘
[(
= Ξ D
π
π
β«
ππ /π
)2 ]
ππ ππ
,
(
]
π‘ β ππ /π, (π + 1)π /π
(πβ1)π /π
π β D is the Euclidean projection.
π = 1, . . . , π β 1, where Ξ D : πβ
(π)
[0, π /π] one can take, e.g., π := Ξβ . We then have
β« π
β©
βͺ ππ‘ β π (π) 2 ππ‘ β 0
πΈ π β π (π) π = πΈ
π‘
for
On
0
and in particular
π (π)
converges weakly to
π.
3. Randomization. Consider a martingale of the form
where
π
π
π =
β«
ππ‘ πππ‘ ,
is a Brownian motion on some given ltered probability space and
β
is an adapted
π=
πβ1
β
D-valued
process which is piecewise constant; i.e.,
1[π‘π ,π‘π+1 ) π(π)
for some
0 = π‘0 < π‘1 < β
β
β
< π‘π = π
π=0
π β₯ 1. Consider also a second probability space carrying a BrowΛ and a sequence π 1 , . . . , π π of βπ×π -valued random variables
π
π
such that the components {πππ : 1 β€ π, π β€ π; 1 β€ π β€ π} are i.i.d. uniformly
Λ.
distributed on (0, 1) and independent of π
and some
nian motion
Using the existence of regular conditional probability distributions, we
β
2
2
Ξπ : πΆ([0, π‘π ]; βπ ) × (0, 1)π × β
β
β
× (0, 1)π β D
Λ β£[0,π‘ ] , π 1 , . . . , π π ) satisfy
that the random variables π
Λ (π) := Ξπ (π
π
{
} {
}
Λ ,π
π
Λ (0), . . . , π
Λ (π β 1) = π, π(0), . . . , π(π β 1)
in law.
(3.9)
can construct functions
such
12
We can then consider the volatility corresponding to a xed realization of
π 1, . . . , π π.
2
π’ = (π’1 , . . . , π’π ) β (0, 1)ππ , let
(
)
Λ β£[0,π‘ ] , π’1 , . . . , π’π
π
Λ (π; π’) := Ξπ π
π
β« π’
β
Λπ’ = π
Λ π‘ , where π
π
Λπ‘ ππ
Λ π’ := πβ1
Λ (π; π’).
π=0 1[π‘π ,π‘π+1 ) π
Indeed, for
and consider
(
πΉ β πΆπ Ξ©; β),
For any
the equality (3.9) and Fubini's theorem yield that
[ ( (π 1 ,...,π π ) )]
Λ
πΈ[πΉ (π )] = πΈ πΉ π
=
β€
β«
(0,1)ππ2
Λ π’ )] ππ’
πΈ[πΉ (π
sup
Λ π’ )].
πΈ[πΉ (π
π’β(0,1)ππ2
π is contained in the weak
Λ π’ : π’ β (0, 1)ππ2 }. We note
{
π
β«
Λ π’ is of the form π
Λ π’ = π(π‘, π
Λ ) ππ
Λ π‘ with a measurable, adapted,
that π
β
D-valued function π , for each xed π’.
4. Smoothing. As π¬π· is dened through continuous functions, it remains
β
to approximate π by a continuous function π . Let π : [0, π ] × Ξ© β
D be
a measurable adapted function and πΏ > 0. By standard density arguments
(
)
π such that
there exists πΛ β πΆ [0, π ] × Ξ©; π
Hence, by the Hahn-Banach theorem, the law of
closure of the convex hull of the laws of
β«
πΈ
π
Λ ) β π(π‘, π
Λ )β₯2 ππ‘ β€ πΏ.
β₯πΛ(π‘, π
0
Let
π (π‘, π₯) :=
β (
)
Ξ D πΛ(π‘, π₯)2 .
Then
β )
(
π β πΆ [0, π ] × Ξ©; D
and
β₯π β πβ₯2 β€ β₯π 2 β π 2 β₯ β€ β₯πΛ2 β π 2 β₯ β€ (β₯πΛβ₯ + β₯πβ₯)β₯πΛ β πβ₯ β€ 2
β
π
D β₯πΛ β πβ₯
(see [1, Theorem X.1.1] for the rst inequality). By Jensen's inequality we
conclude that
πΈ
β«π
0
β
Λ ) β π(π‘, π
Λ )β₯2 ππ‘ β€ 2 π π
D πΏ ,
β₯π (π‘, π
which, in view of
the above steps, completes the proof.
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