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Welcome back! 1/6/2015 Letβs review some of the topics we have discussed so far this yearβ¦ 7.3a The table below lists the amounts of leading farm products that the United States exported to other countries in the year 2000. Product Amount in millions of metric tons Corn 50.5 Cotton 6.8 Rice 2.8 Soybeans 26.5 Wheat 30.0 50.5 + 6.8 + 2.8 + 26.5 + 30 = 116.6 What is the total amount, in millions of metric tons, of farm products the United States exported in the year 2000? A 79.6 B 89.6 C 114.6 D 116.6 7.4b Haley bought 1.6 pounds of almonds for $13.20. How much did she pay per pound for the almonds? 13.20 ÷ 1.6 = $8.25 per pound $13.20 1.6 πππ = $? 1 ππ 7.4d Thomas observed that his friend blinked an average of three times every 15 seconds. How many times should his friend blink in 65 seconds? 3 x 65 = _____ 15x = 195 X = 13 3 ππππππ 15 π ππππππ = π₯ ππππππ 65 π ππππππ 7.4e Gordon went mountain biking and rode 23 miles in 4 hours. At this rate, what was the approximate number of miles he can ride in 30 minutes? 23 x .5 = ______ 4x = 11.5 X = 2.875 A B C D 5 miles 4 miles 3 miles 2 miles 23 πππππ 4 βππ’ππ = π₯ πππππ .5 βππ’ππ 7.4e Bell Ringer 1/7/2015 A 3.2 pound package of ground beef costs $8.16. What is the price per pound? 8.16 ÷ 3.2 = $ 2.55 $8.16 3.2 πππ = $π₯ 1 ππ Great ournals (Your notes should look like this) 1. Your pages should be full (No wasted space). 2. You should write the question, the answer, and the work showing how to solve it. 3. You should be able to read it (If you give your notebook to the person next to you, can they read it? If not, we have a problem) 7.11a Consider the inequality: 3x + 2 > β1 Use the model to of the inequality to find the solution. 3x + 2 > β1 β2 β2 A B x > β1 x>1 3x + 0 > β 3 C 1 x> 3 3x > β 3 3 3 D 1 x>β 5 X > β1 7.13b The table below shows a portion of the planned budget for the Jones family. Their monthly income is $6,500. BUDGET ITEM Retirement Savings Emergency Savings Housing Expenses AMOUNT $700 $550 $1,300 Which of the following shows the percentage of income used for housing expenses? 1,300 A 20% = .2 = 20% B 18% 6,500 C 23% D 10% 7.13a Bell Ringer 1-8-15 Kevin is an employee at Good Electronics. The electricity is not working one day after a thunderstorm, but Kevin still has to charge customers for their purchases. He writes up the following sales ticket by hand. Good Electronics 972-555-5555 Wireless Router $89.00 Ethernet Cable $15.00 Wire Cutters $6.00 Subtotal Tax (8.25%) $110.00 $9.075 = $9.08 Total $119.08 How much should Kevin charge the customer for their total? A $110.00 B $9.08 C $118.25 D $119.08 Decimal Rules When Adding and Subtracting: Line up the decimals. When Multiplying: Do NOT line up the decimals. When Dividing: Remember the dog and cat move together. Review is done! We start probability tomorrowβ¦ - A grocery store flyer this week included the 7.3b #13 following sale price information: Product Prices Red grapes 5 lbs for $5.50 Soft drink 12-packs 3 for $9.99 Snack mix bag Buy two at $1.50 Lunch meat package $4.25 each Susan needs to buy 2 lbs of grapes, five 12-packs of soft drinks, 3 packages of lunch meat, and four bags of snack mix. How much will Susan spend on her items, not including tax? A B C D $61.46 $35.15 $40.90 $34.60 7.4d #14 There are 36 students in Mr. Barrett's math class. If 25% of the students are boys, how many students are girls? 36 π π‘π’ππππ‘π 100% X = 36 x .75 X= = π₯ πππππ 75% 7.5c #15 For an activity in class, students used pieces of string to measure roads on a map. They used a map scale to determine the distance between two cities. One group measured the distance between Fort Myers and Miami on a Florida state map. The string distance was 7.75 inches, which represents a real-life distance of about 155 miles. Another group measured the distance between Tampa and Orlando on the same map and found that distance to be 4.25 inches. What is the real-life distance to the nearest mile between Tampa and Orlando? 7.75 ππ 4.25 ππ A B C D 44 miles 85 miles 152 miles 282 miles 155 πππ = ? πππππ 7.4d If Lewis can make 2 pies with 6 apples. How many pies can he make with 15 apples? 2 X 15 = _____ 6x = 30 X=5 A B C D 3 pies 5 pies 45 pies 2 pies 2 ππππ 6 ππππππ = π₯ ππππ 15 ππππππ 7.4e A car wash sells a special package of 12 car washes for $95.40. What is the cost per car wash? 95.40 ÷ 12 = $ 7.95 12 π€ππ βππ $95.40 = 1 π€ππ β $? 7.5c Jasmine enlarged a drawing she made in art class. 2.5 πππππ‘β π₯ πππππ‘β What is the value of x? = 3.75 π€πππ‘β 60 π€πππ‘β A B C D 16 40 58.75 90 Addition 14.3 + 2.75 = _______ 15.05 + 197.3 = ________ Subtraction 191.27 - 13.52 = _______ 4,201 β 79.55 = _______ Multiplication 191.27 x 13.52 = ________ 201.1 x 9.55 = ________ Division 67.2 ÷ 22.4= ________ 500.4 ÷ 7.2 = _________ 7.10a Which equation fits the situation? Mikeβs test score was 20 points lower than Markβs. If Mark scored a 95 on the test which equation would give Mikeβs score? A B C D 95 = p + 20 p-20 = 95 90 = p +5 p-95=20 7.11b Ana tells her friends that her sister Mary is 4 less than twice her age. The friends know that Ana is 12 years old. The equation 2x β 4 = 12 represents the relationship between the sisters' ages. Each friend calculates Mary's age. Friend Answer Caleb X = 16 Which friend is correct? A Caleb B Henry C Melissa D Jeff Henry X=8 Melissa X=9 Jeff X=4 7.13f Four different stores are offering incentives to purchase headphones as shown below. Noisy Music Regular Price $250 Clearance 15% off Loud N Sharp Regular Price $200 $5 off for every $100 spent Music Mart Regular Price $300 Mail-in rebate for $115 Which store offers the lowest price? A Noisy Music B Loud N Sharp C Music Mart D Head Jamz Head Jamz Regular Price $225 Owner Special 25% off Bell Ringer 3x + 2x = 150 Combine like terms: 3x + 2x = 5x 5x = 150 X = 30 Bell Ringer 2x + 4 = 3x + 1 X=? A B C D 1 2 3 4 Bell Ringer 3x = 33 5x β 10 = 40 3x + 2x = 100 5x + 7x β 2x = 500 2x + 4 = 3x + 1 Bell Ringer 1-9-15 Convert the following into a decimal and a percent: 4 = .8 = 80% 5 3 = .375 = 37.5% 8 Multiply the following: 1 3 x 3 3 = 7 21 3 3 ÷ = 1 7 Unit 6 1-9-15 Real World Videoβs http://link.brightcove.com/services/player/bcpid10 25979414001?bckey=AQ~~,AAAA2fV0xfE~,Tmydk9U FFWVHKCAE8imrbkVx9hD5imXE&bctid=ref:TXGOM TH_RW_V7.12 http://link.brightcove.com/services/player/bcpid10 25979414001?bckey=AQ~~,AAAA2fV0xfE~,Tmydk9U FFWVHKCAE8imrbkVx9hD5imXE&bctid=ref:TXGOM TH_RW_V7.13 Cloudy with a chance ofβ¦ If you listen to weather forecasts you could hear expressions like these: βThere is a strong likelihood of rain tomorrow.β βIn the afternoon there is a possibility of thunder.β βThe rain will probably clear towards evening.β Weather forecasts are made by studying charts and weather data to tell us how likely it is, for example, that it will rain tomorrow. Definitions Probability β a ratio between the number of desired outcomes to the total possible outcomes, 0 β€ p β€1 Probability (event) = Desired outcomes Total possible outcomes Probability tells you how likely something is to happen. Probability does not tell you what exactly will happen, it is just a guide. Decimals, Fractions, Percents Probability can use decimals, fractions, or percents so you must know the following: Probabilities are written as: 1 1 = 100% = 1 Fractions from 0 to 1 3 .75 = 75% = 4 Decimals from 0 to 1 1 .5 = 50% = 2 Percents from 0% to 100% 1 .25 = 25% = 4 Bell Ringer 1-12-15 Write each fraction in simplest form. 6 10 45 54 = 9 15 = 30 33 = 14 42 = = 48 72 = Probability Scale: If an event is CERTAIN to happen, then the probability of the event is 1 or 100%. If an event will NEVER happen, then the probability of the event is 0 or 0%. If an event is just as LIKELY as UNLIKELY to happen, then the probability of the event is considered to π have an EQUAL CHANCE and is , 0.5 or 50%. π Probability Scale: Impossible Unlikely Equal Chances 0 0.5 0% 50% π π Likely Certain 1 100% Definitions Sample Space: A set of all possible outcomes for an event. Ex. 2 outcomes when a coin is flipped or 6 when rolling a number cube (die) Probability (event) = Desired outcomes Total possible outcomes Complement: The set of all outcomes in the sample space that are not included in the event. Ex. In the event of rolling a 3 on a die, the complement is rolling any number other than 3. (1, 2, 4, 5, 6) P(event) + P(complement) = 1 π π + = 1 π π Lawrence is the captain of his track team. The team is deciding on a color and all eight members wrote their choice down on equal size cards. If Lawrence picks one card at random, what is the probability that he will pick blue? Desired outcomes Total possible outcomes Number of blues = 3 Total cards = 8 3/8 or 0.375 or 37.5% blue yellow red blue green blue black black Flipping a Coin When a fair coin is flipped, there are two possible outcomes: Heads (H) or Tails (T) We can say that the probability of the coin landing on 1 H is . 2 We can say that the probability of the coin landing on 1 T is . 2 Flipping a coin When flipping a fair coin twice, the following are all the possible outcomes, or sample space: HH, HT, TT, TH What is the probability of landing on tails both times? Desired outcomes Total possible outcomes Probability = 1 4 Flipping a coin When flipping a fair coin twice, what is the probability of landing on heads and then tails? Probability = Probability = Desired outcomes Total possible outcomes 1 x 1 2 2 Landing on H Landing on T Landing on H and then T = 1 4 Bell Ringer 1-13-15 Find each probability. Write your answer in simplest form. Spinning a spinner that has 5 equal sections marked one through 5 and landing on an even number. __________ There are 4 aces and 4 kings in a standard deck of 52 cards. You pick one card at random. What is the probability of selecting an ace or a king? __________ How many sides are on a single die? 6 sides (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6) How many sides on a single die have an even number? 3 sides (2, 4, 6) How many sides have a number larger than 4? 2 sides (5 and 6) Which letters of the alphabet are vowels? A, E, I, O, U, and sometimes Y What prime numbers are between 1 & 10? 2, 3, 5, 7 Find each probability. Write your answer in simplest form. A bag contains 8 blue coins and 6 red coins. A coin is removed at random and replaced by three of the other color. a. What is the probability that the removed coin is blue? ______________ b. If the coin removed is blue, what is the probability of drawing a red coin after three red coins are put in the bag to replace the blue one? ______________ c. If the coin removed is red, what is the probability of drawing a red coin after three blue coins are put in the bag to replace the red one? ______________ Bell Ringer 1-14-15 Find each probability. Write you answer in simplest form. There are 12 pieces of fruit in a bowl. Seven of the pieces are apples and two are peaches. What is the probability that a randomly selected piece of fruit will not be an apple or a peach? π π = = _______________ ππ π For breakfast, Clarissa can choose from oatmeal, cereal, French toast, or scrambled eggs. She thinks that if she selects a breakfast at random, it is likely that it will be oatmeal. Is she correct? π = ; π΅π π _______________ And in Probability P (A and B) = π(π¨ πππ π©) π(π) n(A and B) means the number of outcomes in both A and B. n(S) means the total number of possible outcomes. And in Probability Needing 2 specific events to happen in probability decreases the chances of getting your desired outcome. βAndβ means that the outcome has to satisfy both conditions at the same time. Remember: And = Multiplication. How this works: A die is rolled. What is the probability that the number is even and less than 3? There is only one Even numbers on a die: 2, 4, 6 = π π π Numbers less than 3: 1, 2 = π number (2) that is in both events A and B. Even numbers less than 3: 2 Probability = Desired outcomes Total possible outcomes = π π Rolling dice examples With a single die being rolled twice, what is the probability that the outcome is a 2 and then a 6? Probability = Probability = Desired outcomes Total possible outcomes 1 1 6 x 6 = 1 36 If you do not see your answer right away you might have to: β’ Reduce β’ Convert into a decimal or percent And in Probability Fazio is selecting a jersey. His choices are shown below. Fazio chooses a jersey at random and then replaces it. He then selects a second jersey at random. What is the probability that Fazio selects a striped jersey both times? A. B. C. 1 100 1 16 1 25 2 10 x 2 10 = 4 100 ÷ 4 4 = 1 25 And in Probability Two fair six-sided number cubes are rolled 36 times. Which of the following predicts and explains the number of times a 2 and an even number are likely to be rolled? Number 2: There is one 2; so 1 6 Even Numbers on a die: 2, 4, 6 = 1 6 x 3 6 = 3 36 ÷ 3 3 = 1 12 x 36 1 = 3 6 36 12 1 2 or ( ) = 3 times Rolling dice When a single die is rolled, there are six possible outcomes: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 The probability of rolling any of those numbers is 1 . 6 Rolling dice examples With a single die being rolled, what is the probability that an even number will be the outcome? Probability = Desired outcomes Total possible outcomes Probability = 3 6 If you do not see your answer right away you might have to: β’ Reduce β’ Convert into a decimal or percent Bag of marbles A bag contains different color marbles; 3 red, 4 blue, and 2 green. What is the probability of grabbing a red marble? Probability = Desired outcomes Total possible outcomes Probability = 3 9 If you do not see your answer right away you might have to: β’ Reduce β’ Convert into a decimal or percent Rolling dice examples With a single die being rolled, what is the probability that the outcome is a number larger than 2? Probability = Desired outcomes Total possible outcomes Probability = 4 6 If you do not see your answer right away you might have to: β’ Reduce β’ Convert into a decimal or percent Bell Ringer 1-15-15 Two fair six-sided number cubes are rolled 36 times. What is the probability a 2 and an even number are likely to be rolled? Number 2: There is one 2; so 1 6 Even Numbers on a die: 2, 4, 6 = 1 6 x 3 6 = 3 36 ÷ 3 3 = 1 12 x 36 1 = 3 6 36 12 1 2 or ( ) = 3 times Independent Example Independent Event: The result of the second event is not affected by the result of the first event. If A and B are independent events, the probability of both events occurring is the product of the probabilities of the individual events If A and B are independent events, P(A and B) = P(A) β’ P(B). Independent Example A drawer contains 3 red paperclips, 4 green paperclips, and 5 blue paperclips. One paperclip is taken from the drawer and then replaced. Another paperclip is taken from the drawer. What is the probability that the first paperclip is red and the second paperclip is blue? 3 First Paperclip = 12 1 4 x 5 12 = π ππ = 1 4 5 Second Paperclip = 12 Bag of marbles A bag contains different color marbles; 3 red, 4 blue, and 2 green. When grabbing one marble at a time and then putting it right back in the bag, what is the probability of grabbing two green marbles? Probability = Desired outcomes Total possible outcomes Probability = 2 9 x 2 9 = 1st green marble 2nd green marble Grabbing both green marbles 4 81 Why is this 9 ? Bell Ringer 1-16-15 Answerβs must be in %βs What is the probability of getting a blue marble? 4 = .8 = 80% 5 What is the probability of getting a purple marble? 1 = .2 = 20% 5 What is the probability of getting a blue or purple marble? 5 = 1 = 100% 5 Dependent Example Dependent Event: The result of one event IS affected by the result of another event. If A and B are dependent events, the probability of both events occurring is the product of the probability of the first event and the probability of the second event once the first event has occurred. If A and B are dependent events, and A occurs first, P(A and B) = P(A) β’ P(B,once A has occurred) ... and is written as ... P(A and B) = P(A) β’ P(B|A) Dependent Example A drawer contains 3 red paperclips, 4 green paperclips, and 5 blue paperclips. One paperclip is taken from the drawer and is NOT replaced. Another paperclip is taken from the drawer. What is the probability that the first paperclip is red and the second paperclip is blue? 3 First Paperclip = 12 1 4 x 5 11 = π ππ = 1 4 5 Second Paperclip = 11 Bag of marbles A bag contains different color marbles; 3 red, 4 blue, and 2 green. When grabbing one marble at a time without putting the first one back in the bag, what is the probability of grabbing two green marbles? Probability = Desired outcomes Total possible outcomes Probability = 2 9 x 1 8 = 1st green marble 2nd green marble Grabbing both green marbles 2 1 72 = 36 Why is this now 8 ? Or in Probability Having the choice of βorβ in probability increases the chances of getting your desired outcome. Remember: Or means to ADD. How this works: What is the probability of picking a red marble? Probability = Desired outcomes Total possible outcomes = 1 3 What is the probability of picking a red or a purple 1 2 1 Desired outcomes marble? Total possible outcomes 3 + 3 = 3 Bag of marbles A bag contains different color marbles; 3 red, 4 blue, and 2 green. What is the probability of not grabbing a red marble? Probability = Desired outcomes Total possible outcomes Probability = 6 9 If you do not see your answer right away you might have to: β’ Reduce β’ Convert into a decimal or percent Rolling dice examples With a single die being rolled, what is the probability that the outcome is a 1 or a 6? Probability = Desired outcomes Total possible outcomes Probability = 1 6 + 1 6 = 2 6 If you do not see your answer right away you might have to: β’ Reduce β’ Convert into a decimal or percent A number is chosen at random from 1 to 25. Find the probability of selecting an odd number or multiple of 5. Odd Numbers: 13 1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 13, 15, 17, 19, 21, 23, 25 = 25 Multiple of 5: 5 5, 10, 15, 20, 25 = 25 Same Number in both events A and B. 3 5, 15, 25 = 25 13 Answer: 25 5 + 25 - 3 25 = 15 5 ÷ 25 5 = 3 5 Experimental vs. Theoretical probability Example: toss a coin 100 times, how many Heads will come up? Theoretical probability: 1 2 Probability says that Heads have a chance, so we can expect 50 Heads. Experimental probability: But when we actually try it we might get 48 heads, or 55 heads ... or anything really, but in most cases it will be a number near 50. Experimental vs. Theoretical probability Experimental data β the data collected or observed from the outcomes of an experiment Experimental probability β the likelihood of an event occurring from the outcomes of an experiment Theoretical data β the possible outcomes of an event without conducting an experiment Theoretical probability β the likelihood of an event occurring without conducting an experiment Definitions Random sample β a subset of the population selected without bias in order to make inferences about the entire population Sample β a subset of the population selected in order to make inferences about the entire population Sample space β a set of all possible outcomes of one or more events Simple event β an event that consists of a single outcome Simulation β an experiment or model used to test the outcomes of an event Outcome β the result of an action or event Bell Ringer Which of the following numbers are prime? 1 , 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 Which letters in the alphabet are vowels? A, E, I, O, U, & sometimes Y What is the probability of choosing the letter i from the word probability? A bag contains 5 green shirts, 9 blue shirts, and 10 red shirts and you ask a friend to pick one without looking. What is the probability that the shirt will be green? Mark rolls a number cube that has sides labeled 1 to 6 and then flips a coin. What is the probability that she rolls an even number and flips heads? A. 1 8 B. 1 4 C. 1 2 D. 3 4 The experimental probability that Pedro will hit a hole 2 in one at the golf course is . If Pedro goes golfing 40 5 times in a year, how many times can he expect to hit a hole in one? A. 16 B. 24 C. 25 D. 40 Wendy noticed that out of 345 cars that passed by her house 56 were SUVs. About how many SUVs could she expect to see pass by if 2,100 cars were to pass her house? A. 200 B. 300 C. 400 D. 500 Maurico conducted an experiment in which he drew marbles out of a bag and recorded the color. The results of the experiment are shown to the right. What is the probability that Mauricio drew a yellow marble? A. 1 12 B. 3 10 C. 7 30 D. 4 15 The probability of an event is 0.001. Which of the following best describes the event? A. The event will never occur. B. There is a small chance that the event will occur. C. The event is likely to occur. D. The event will definitely occur. The experimental probability that Josieβs dad gets home from work between 5 P.M. and 6 P.M. is equal 5 to . About what percent of the time will Josieβs dad 8 get home from work between 5 P.M. and 6 P.M.? A. 37.5% B. 58% C. 62.5% D. 85% Kathleen rolled a number cube that has sides labeled 1 to 6. What is the probability that she rolled a 2 or a 4? A. 1 6 B. 1 4 C. 1 3 D. 3 4 Tyler recorded the hair color and eye color of students walking in the hallway outside her homeroom. What is the experimental probability that the next student she sees will have blue eyes? A. 15 45 B. 19 20 C. 5 19 D. 19 40