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Multi-Basin Modelling of Future Hydrological Fluxes in the Indian
Multi-Basin Modelling of Future Hydrological Fluxes in the Indian

... basin scale (10–50 km), the output often shows large bias in the magnitude and spatial distribution of precipitation and, to a lesser extent, temperature [15]. RCM data are, therefore, not considered to be directly useful for assessing hydrological impacts at the regional and/or local scale [16]. A ...
Word - Council of Europe
Word - Council of Europe

... biodiversity/ecosystems in climate change adaptation, and the role of biodiversity and ecosystems in climate change mitigation. Their current work includes a project on the impacts of climate change on Natura 2000 sites; work for the CBD AHTEG on Biodiversity and Climate Change, including scientific ...
Climate Change and First Nations: Recommendations for Action
Climate Change and First Nations: Recommendations for Action

... that First Nations may take to adapt to climate changes in First Nations. As such, the primary focus of recommendations will be on adaptation responses. The recommendations offered below do not represent an exhaustive list of needs, but are meant catalyze discussions among First Nation and other gov ...
Arunanondchai, P., C.C. Fei, A.C. Fisher, B.A. McCarl, W.W. Wang
Arunanondchai, P., C.C. Fei, A.C. Fisher, B.A. McCarl, W.W. Wang

... One is that they omit the potential increase in global mean temperature (GMT) due to Arctic permafrost melting and release of carbon dioxide and methane. This omission may be defensible on the grounds that the cumulative release is uncertain at this time, but it is already occurring on a small scale ...
Selecting and Using Climate Change Scenarios for British Columbia
Selecting and Using Climate Change Scenarios for British Columbia

... changes to climate variables are used to illustrate how something of interest (e.g., streamflow) is sensitive to changes in climate variables such as annual temperature or summer precipitation. A time series analysis requires monthly or daily data for a number of years and is particularly useful for ...
Empirical evidence for Thailand surface temperature changes and
Empirical evidence for Thailand surface temperature changes and

... 1970s have been in phase with the persistent and exceptionally strong warm phase of ENSO cycles. Furthermore, the EOF1 coefficient series of T min and T amin have monotonically increased at a faster rate than those of T max , and T amax since the mid 1950s that resemble the greenhouse warming finger ...
The influence of climate change on flood risks in France
The influence of climate change on flood risks in France

... to calibrate models. And economic valuation is made even more difficult by uncertainty on future changes in vulnerability and on future adaptation to climate change, and by valuation problems and ethical issues (e.g. concerning the discount rate or the valuation of life and ecosystems). In this pape ...
Vulnerability to climate change and sea
Vulnerability to climate change and sea

... fragmented nature of this hotspot, combined with a growing human population promoting species invasions and pollution, suggests a potentially high vulnerability to the effects of climate change and sea-level rise. Indeed, only 23.3% of residual and naturally bare areas remain in the hotspot, while t ...
Economics of PGRFA Management for Adaptation to Climate Change: A Review of Selected Literature
Economics of PGRFA Management for Adaptation to Climate Change: A Review of Selected Literature

... change has very significant implications for agriculture. Many developing countries, which have economies largely based on weather-sensitive agricultural productions systems, are particularly vulnerable to climate change (Kurukulasuriya et al., 2007; Seo and Mendelsohn, 2007). But the magnitude of s ...
Exploring Climate Patterns Embedded in Global Climate Change
Exploring Climate Patterns Embedded in Global Climate Change

... explore and compare spatial and temporal patterns associated with three climate change scenarios. An implementation of an algorithm for the spatiotemporal aggregation of the anomalies is required to mine such spatiotemporal regions from a large data set of the IPCC scenarios. Recognizing emergence a ...
Contropedia: Case Study on Global Warming
Contropedia: Case Study on Global Warming

... a few scientists disagree about the primary causes of the observed warming”.10 By the end of 2007, the POV template is removed, the link to the IPCC has moved up to the first paragraph of the lede, and the sentence containing the link now reads: “The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) ...
A review of the consideration of climate change in the planning of
A review of the consideration of climate change in the planning of

... There may also be complacency in certain parts of the continent because the results of several GCMs for certain regions of sub-Saharan Africa predict an increase in annual average precipitation under various scenarios. However, these figures mask the temporal variability of the data that indicates t ...
copenhagen, climate change `refugees` and the need for a global
copenhagen, climate change `refugees` and the need for a global

... Working Group on Further Commitments for Annex I parties [developed state parties] under Kyoto  (AWG‐KP 10); and (b) the 8th session of the Ad Hoc Working Group on Long‐Term Cooperative Action  under the UNFCCC (AWG‐LCA 8). The former was established in 2005 under Kyoto Article 3.9 and  considers e ...
Intermodel variability of the poleward shift of the austral jet stream in
Intermodel variability of the poleward shift of the austral jet stream in

... negative correlation between position and shift in all seasons suggests that the equatorward bias in the climatology increases the sensitivity to climate forcing throughout the year. The correlation, however, effectively disappears in austral summer. The breakdown of the relationship in summer is li ...
Ensemble modeling, uncertainty and robust predictions
Ensemble modeling, uncertainty and robust predictions

... oday, many studies of future climate change take an ensemble modeling approach in which simulations of future conditions are produced with multiple climate models (or model versions), rather than just one. The need for multiple models stems from uncertainty about how to represent the climate system ...
Climate Change Class at Osher Lifelong Learning
Climate Change Class at Osher Lifelong Learning

... These findings distill important results that arise from this National Climate Assessment. They do not represent a full summary of all of the chapters’ findings, but rather a synthesis of particularly noteworthy conclusions. ...
s1|2008 protected areas and biodiversity conservation special issue
s1|2008 protected areas and biodiversity conservation special issue

... perceptions for the management of climate change. The authors demonstrated that it is not feasible to define danger in relation to climate change solely by means of “external” risk analyses and assessments of system characteristics. To inform risk management, expert risk perception is rather supplem ...
Tried and tested: Learning from farmers on adaptation to
Tried and tested: Learning from farmers on adaptation to

... provide a solid grounding for how best to adapt to current and future climate change. Many of these strategies and knowledge have been documented and supported by the International Institute for Environment and Development (IIED) over the last 40 years, working alongside vulnerable communities and l ...
Quantitative summer temperature reconstruction derived from a
Quantitative summer temperature reconstruction derived from a

... The catchment area of the lake extends over 129 km2. In 1998, about 6 km2 (5%) of the catchment area were glaciated (Blass et al., 2007a). The most important inflow is the Fedacla River, which has a mean discharge rate of 1.5 m3 s1, is fed mainly by glacial meltwater and carries a high load of suspe ...
How much disease could climate change cause?
How much disease could climate change cause?

... Given the clear evidence that many health outcomes are highly sensitive to climate variations, it is inevitable that long-term climate change will have some effect on global population health. Climate change is likely to affect not only health but also many aspects of ecological and social systems, ...
How limiting factors drive agricultural adaptation to climate change.
How limiting factors drive agricultural adaptation to climate change.

... on other agronomic and socio-economic limiting factors. For example, a farmer’s debt load may have a profound effect on their ability to implement irrigation, which may help them respond to water as a limiting factor. We hope that future work can assess the interaction of these potential factors and ...
On Applying the Test of a False Prophet to the
On Applying the Test of a False Prophet to the

... I do recognize, however, that this passage does not concern itself with whether or not the words spoken by these prophets are words which YHWH placed in their mouth. It is possible, given that the words of these prophets function as a divine test of loyalty (verse 3 [MT 4]), that their message origi ...
selvaraju
selvaraju

... factors determining the rainy season characteristics, farming systems, field crop production and livestock rearing. Both interannual and intraseasonal rainfall variability constrains crop production in the tropics and subtropics. In semi-arid tropics, unreliable rainfall combined with high evaporati ...
Resource Guide to NGO Climate Adaptation Resources and Tools
Resource Guide to NGO Climate Adaptation Resources and Tools

... Resources for Data Compilation and Analysis Data Basin http://databasin.org/ Data Basin is a science-based mapping and analysis platform that supports learning, research, and sustainable environmental stewardship. It was created for uploading, using, and visualizing conservation-related spatial data ...
Predicting regional climate change: living with uncertainty
Predicting regional climate change: living with uncertainty

... human societies to climate change in different regions of the world, which was to provide: ‘A common base of information regarding the potential costs and benefits of climatic change, including the evaluation of uncertainties, to help the COP [Conference of the Parties to the UN/FCCC] determine what ...
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Michael E. Mann



Michael E. Mann (born 1965) is an American climatologist and geophysicist, currently director of the Earth System Science Center at Pennsylvania State University, who has contributed to the scientific understanding of historic climate change based on the temperature record of the past thousand years. He has pioneered techniques to find patterns in past climate change, and to isolate climate signals from ""noisy data"".As lead author of a paper produced in 1998 with co-authors Raymond S. Bradley and Malcolm K. Hughes, Mann introduced innovative statistical techniques to find regional variations in a hemispherical climate reconstruction covering the past 600 years. In 1999 the same team used these techniques to produce a reconstruction over the past 1,000 years (MBH99) which was dubbed the ""hockey stick graph"" because of its shape. He was one of 8 lead authors of the ""Observed Climate Variability and Change"" chapter of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Scientific Assessment Report published in 2001. A graph based on the MBH99 paper was highlighted in several parts of the report, and was given wide publicity. The IPCC acknowledged that his work, along with that of the many other lead authors and review editors, contributed to the award of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize, which was won jointly by the IPCC and Al Gore.He was organizing committee chair for the National Academy of Sciences Frontiers of Science in 2003 and has received a number of honors and awards including selection by Scientific American as one of the fifty leading visionaries in science and technology in 2002. In 2012 he was inducted as a Fellow of the American Geophysical Union and was awarded the Hans Oeschger Medal of the European Geosciences Union. In 2013 he was elected a Fellow of the American Meteorological Society, and awarded the status of distinguished professor in Penn State's College of Earth and Mineral Sciences.Mann is author of more than 160 peer-reviewed and edited publications, and has published two books: Dire Predictions: Understanding Global Warming in 2008 and The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars: Dispatches from the Front Lines, published in early 2012. In 2013 the European Geosciences Union described his publication record as ""outstanding for a scientist of his relatively young age"". He is also a co-founder and contributor to the climatology blog RealClimate.
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