Public perception of cold weather events as evidence for
... A reliance on personal experiences such as with the weather may help anchor the abstract nature of climate change to the familiar and concrete (Smith and Joffe 2013). Perceived personal experience of climate consequences can also bring about acceptance of climate change as a genuine concern (Myers e ...
... A reliance on personal experiences such as with the weather may help anchor the abstract nature of climate change to the familiar and concrete (Smith and Joffe 2013). Perceived personal experience of climate consequences can also bring about acceptance of climate change as a genuine concern (Myers e ...
IPCC reasons for concern regarding climate change risks
... identification of key risks. Key risks reflect potentially severe adverse consequences for socio-ecological systems that could be used to inform the interpretation of “dangerous” in the UNFCCC Article 2 objective. Criteria for identifying key risks include6,102,103: high probability of significant r ...
... identification of key risks. Key risks reflect potentially severe adverse consequences for socio-ecological systems that could be used to inform the interpretation of “dangerous” in the UNFCCC Article 2 objective. Criteria for identifying key risks include6,102,103: high probability of significant r ...
Climate Predictions and Projections Program
... • Improve climate models to reduce uncertainty in the projections of Earth’s climate • Improve knowledge of observed variability and change of the Earth’s past and present climate and environment • Understand and predict long-term climate change and evaluate its impacts on the coastal zone ...
... • Improve climate models to reduce uncertainty in the projections of Earth’s climate • Improve knowledge of observed variability and change of the Earth’s past and present climate and environment • Understand and predict long-term climate change and evaluate its impacts on the coastal zone ...
Personal Efficacy, the Information Environment
... But information about global warming—though still far from complete—has recently become both more widely available and more dramatic. Antarctic ice shelves collapse and fall into the ocean; an increasing number of hurricanes striking the coastlines of America raise the question of whether warmer oce ...
... But information about global warming—though still far from complete—has recently become both more widely available and more dramatic. Antarctic ice shelves collapse and fall into the ocean; an increasing number of hurricanes striking the coastlines of America raise the question of whether warmer oce ...
Uncertainty, scepticism and attitudes towards climate change
... that is, the attitudes of these two groups did not diverge. The results are the first application of the well-established assimilation and polarisation paradigm to attitudes about climate change, with important implications for anticipating how uncertainty – in the form of conflicting information – ...
... that is, the attitudes of these two groups did not diverge. The results are the first application of the well-established assimilation and polarisation paradigm to attitudes about climate change, with important implications for anticipating how uncertainty – in the form of conflicting information – ...
Climate influences the demography of three dominant sagebrush
... Abstract. Climate change could alter the population growth of dominant species, leading to profound effects on community structure and ecosystem dynamics. Understanding the links between historical variation in climate and population vital rates (survival, growth, recruitment) is one way to predict ...
... Abstract. Climate change could alter the population growth of dominant species, leading to profound effects on community structure and ecosystem dynamics. Understanding the links between historical variation in climate and population vital rates (survival, growth, recruitment) is one way to predict ...
Publications
... Manabe, S., and J.L. Holloway,Jr., The Seasonal Variation of the Hydrologic Cycle as Simulated by a Global Model of the Atmosphere, Journal of Geophysical Research, 80(12):1617-1649, 1975. Hahn, D.G., and S. Manabe, The Role of Mountains in the South Asian Monsoon Circulation, Journal of the Atmosph ...
... Manabe, S., and J.L. Holloway,Jr., The Seasonal Variation of the Hydrologic Cycle as Simulated by a Global Model of the Atmosphere, Journal of Geophysical Research, 80(12):1617-1649, 1975. Hahn, D.G., and S. Manabe, The Role of Mountains in the South Asian Monsoon Circulation, Journal of the Atmosph ...
21st century climate change in the European Alps—A review
... driven by lateral boundary conditions from 8 different GCMs, and therefore mainly addresses model uncertainty. Uncertainty due to natural variability is implicitly considered by using different GCMs. Concerning future GHG emissions, only the A1B emission scenario is used. Hence, three of the four ma ...
... driven by lateral boundary conditions from 8 different GCMs, and therefore mainly addresses model uncertainty. Uncertainty due to natural variability is implicitly considered by using different GCMs. Concerning future GHG emissions, only the A1B emission scenario is used. Hence, three of the four ma ...
Climate change and European forests: What do we know, what are
... regional compared to the continental and global level. Average ensemble climate data should not be interpreted as the most likely scenario at the regional level because in reality, climate change will not happen uniformly across the continent. Depending on the (unpredictable) future location of atmo ...
... regional compared to the continental and global level. Average ensemble climate data should not be interpreted as the most likely scenario at the regional level because in reality, climate change will not happen uniformly across the continent. Depending on the (unpredictable) future location of atmo ...
Climate change and European forests: What do we
... regional compared to the continental and global level. Average ensemble climate data should not be interpreted as the most likely scenario at the regional level because in reality, climate change will not happen uniformly across the continent. Depending on the (unpredictable) future location of atmo ...
... regional compared to the continental and global level. Average ensemble climate data should not be interpreted as the most likely scenario at the regional level because in reality, climate change will not happen uniformly across the continent. Depending on the (unpredictable) future location of atmo ...
Estimating the impact of traffic on the UTLS QUANTIFY
... CECILIA, EC FP6, 2006-2009, http://www.cecilia-eu.org ...
... CECILIA, EC FP6, 2006-2009, http://www.cecilia-eu.org ...
Regional Climate Adaptation Planning Alliance
... most threatened by future increases in flooding, wildfire risk and energy disruptions. The report finds that the biggest concern for the public health sector is likely to be the increase in heat-related morbidity and mortality over the coming decades. Although the secondary impacts to the regional e ...
... most threatened by future increases in flooding, wildfire risk and energy disruptions. The report finds that the biggest concern for the public health sector is likely to be the increase in heat-related morbidity and mortality over the coming decades. Although the secondary impacts to the regional e ...
Adaptation to climate change in Israel
... Adaptation to the adverse effects of climate change is vital in order to reduce its impacts. Therefore, the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change have identified adaptation as “one of the five key building blocks” required to strengthen future response to climate chang ...
... Adaptation to the adverse effects of climate change is vital in order to reduce its impacts. Therefore, the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change have identified adaptation as “one of the five key building blocks” required to strengthen future response to climate chang ...
Enhancing Climate Change Mitigation Efforts
... binding treaty whose terms would be agreed upon by 2015 for implementation by 2020. The parties also agreed to create a Green Climate Fund that would distribute US$100 billion each year to impoverished countries to assist with their climate impact adaptation. Finally, as this article was about to be ...
... binding treaty whose terms would be agreed upon by 2015 for implementation by 2020. The parties also agreed to create a Green Climate Fund that would distribute US$100 billion each year to impoverished countries to assist with their climate impact adaptation. Finally, as this article was about to be ...
Community based adaptation to climate change
... to adaptation considers how far processes of adaptation can reduce dangerous impacts of climate change and therefore defines the highest acceptable thresholds of green- house gas concentrations. This approach also supports adaptation practices that aim to lessen the impacts of increased atmospheric ...
... to adaptation considers how far processes of adaptation can reduce dangerous impacts of climate change and therefore defines the highest acceptable thresholds of green- house gas concentrations. This approach also supports adaptation practices that aim to lessen the impacts of increased atmospheric ...
151725 Public Policy Text - A Convention For Persons Displaced By
... The UNFCCC and Kyoto UNFCCC The UNFCCC – the foundation of international cooperative efforts dealing with climate change – does not establish legally binding limits on GHG emissions for state parties to it (see, generally, Hodgkinson and Garner 2008: 34-39). Rather, parties commit to mitigate climat ...
... The UNFCCC and Kyoto UNFCCC The UNFCCC – the foundation of international cooperative efforts dealing with climate change – does not establish legally binding limits on GHG emissions for state parties to it (see, generally, Hodgkinson and Garner 2008: 34-39). Rather, parties commit to mitigate climat ...
The Adaptation Coalition Toolkit
... Adaptation Coalitions are groups of individuals or organizations that form alliances around climate change issues in order to achieve shared desired futures that a community or group of individuals is willing to plan for. The basis of this approach is to build Bonding and Bridging Social Capital. Bo ...
... Adaptation Coalitions are groups of individuals or organizations that form alliances around climate change issues in order to achieve shared desired futures that a community or group of individuals is willing to plan for. The basis of this approach is to build Bonding and Bridging Social Capital. Bo ...
Financing an efficient adaptation programme to climate change: A
... Organization (FAO, 2015) predicts that grain and maize yields could drop by up to 10% in South-East Asia by 2030 due to the poor rains and heatwave conditions. Similar findings have been reached by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) recent publications and reports (IPPC, 2014). On the ...
... Organization (FAO, 2015) predicts that grain and maize yields could drop by up to 10% in South-East Asia by 2030 due to the poor rains and heatwave conditions. Similar findings have been reached by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) recent publications and reports (IPPC, 2014). On the ...
The IPCC`s Fifth Assessment Report
... In all scenarios, carbon dioxide concentrations are higher in 2100 than they are today. The low-emissions scenario (RCP2.6) assumes substantial and sustained reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. The high-emissions scenario (RCP8.5) assumes continued high rates of emissions. The two intermediate s ...
... In all scenarios, carbon dioxide concentrations are higher in 2100 than they are today. The low-emissions scenario (RCP2.6) assumes substantial and sustained reductions in greenhouse gas emissions. The high-emissions scenario (RCP8.5) assumes continued high rates of emissions. The two intermediate s ...
Coral Reef Monitoring for Climate Change Impact Assessment and
... associated climate change due to their inherent management of those activities. The overvulnerability to natural disasters. The most exploitation of the reef resources, excessive recent assessment of the consequences of, and domestic and agricultural pollution, increased adaptation responses to, cli ...
... associated climate change due to their inherent management of those activities. The overvulnerability to natural disasters. The most exploitation of the reef resources, excessive recent assessment of the consequences of, and domestic and agricultural pollution, increased adaptation responses to, cli ...
Making Climate Data Relevant to Decision Making:
... adaptation planning. However, a big gap exists between the well-developed state of climate science and decision-makers preparing for a future climate. There is no shortage of scientific data that has been produced about climate change, but very little of this information is relevant to on-the-ground ...
... adaptation planning. However, a big gap exists between the well-developed state of climate science and decision-makers preparing for a future climate. There is no shortage of scientific data that has been produced about climate change, but very little of this information is relevant to on-the-ground ...
Fairness on the Day after Tomorrow: Justice, Reciprocity and Global
... justice are generated as ‘a rational constraint from the non-moral premises of rational choice’ (Gauthier, 1986, p. 4). The idea is that norms of justice are defensible only in so far as they can be shown to be rational, and they are rational only if they are in the interests of the individuals they ...
... justice are generated as ‘a rational constraint from the non-moral premises of rational choice’ (Gauthier, 1986, p. 4). The idea is that norms of justice are defensible only in so far as they can be shown to be rational, and they are rational only if they are in the interests of the individuals they ...
Did the Stern Review underestimate climate damages
... foundations of the Stern analysis was the use of the PAGE2002 model (Alberth and Hope 2007; Hope 2006; Wahba and Hope 2006) to estimate the damages that would be expected under business-asusual conditions (i.e., in the absence of effective new climate policies). Based on PAGE, Stern estimated that t ...
... foundations of the Stern analysis was the use of the PAGE2002 model (Alberth and Hope 2007; Hope 2006; Wahba and Hope 2006) to estimate the damages that would be expected under business-asusual conditions (i.e., in the absence of effective new climate policies). Based on PAGE, Stern estimated that t ...
Science - Global Policy Lab
... For centuries, thinkers have considered whether and how climatic conditions—such as temperature, rainfall, and violent storms—influence the nature of societies and the performance of economies. A multidisciplinary renaissance of quantitative empirical research is illuminating important linkages in t ...
... For centuries, thinkers have considered whether and how climatic conditions—such as temperature, rainfall, and violent storms—influence the nature of societies and the performance of economies. A multidisciplinary renaissance of quantitative empirical research is illuminating important linkages in t ...
Michael E. Mann
Michael E. Mann (born 1965) is an American climatologist and geophysicist, currently director of the Earth System Science Center at Pennsylvania State University, who has contributed to the scientific understanding of historic climate change based on the temperature record of the past thousand years. He has pioneered techniques to find patterns in past climate change, and to isolate climate signals from ""noisy data"".As lead author of a paper produced in 1998 with co-authors Raymond S. Bradley and Malcolm K. Hughes, Mann introduced innovative statistical techniques to find regional variations in a hemispherical climate reconstruction covering the past 600 years. In 1999 the same team used these techniques to produce a reconstruction over the past 1,000 years (MBH99) which was dubbed the ""hockey stick graph"" because of its shape. He was one of 8 lead authors of the ""Observed Climate Variability and Change"" chapter of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Scientific Assessment Report published in 2001. A graph based on the MBH99 paper was highlighted in several parts of the report, and was given wide publicity. The IPCC acknowledged that his work, along with that of the many other lead authors and review editors, contributed to the award of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize, which was won jointly by the IPCC and Al Gore.He was organizing committee chair for the National Academy of Sciences Frontiers of Science in 2003 and has received a number of honors and awards including selection by Scientific American as one of the fifty leading visionaries in science and technology in 2002. In 2012 he was inducted as a Fellow of the American Geophysical Union and was awarded the Hans Oeschger Medal of the European Geosciences Union. In 2013 he was elected a Fellow of the American Meteorological Society, and awarded the status of distinguished professor in Penn State's College of Earth and Mineral Sciences.Mann is author of more than 160 peer-reviewed and edited publications, and has published two books: Dire Predictions: Understanding Global Warming in 2008 and The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars: Dispatches from the Front Lines, published in early 2012. In 2013 the European Geosciences Union described his publication record as ""outstanding for a scientist of his relatively young age"". He is also a co-founder and contributor to the climatology blog RealClimate.