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... Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss, Zurich, Switzerland Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland ...
Climate Risk Screening and Management Tool for Strategy Design
Climate Risk Screening and Management Tool for Strategy Design

... (pg. 13). These are the elements you will be screening. If you refine or modify your DO or IR, simply update that column. Screening at the IR level is recommended. However, screening can also be done at the DO level, especially in low-risk areas. OR… ● If DOs and IRs have not yet been drafted, you m ...
http://www.fao.org/docrep/meeting/019/k7582e.pdf
http://www.fao.org/docrep/meeting/019/k7582e.pdf

... The Global Partnership for Climate, Fisheries and Aquaculture (PaCFA), comprising 20 international organizations and sector bodies (http://www.climatefish.org/index_en.htm), was borne from a mutual desire to draw together potentially fragmented and redundant climate change activities through a multi ...
Climate variability and change and their health effects in small
Climate variability and change and their health effects in small

... Many small island states suffer negative health impacts from current climate variability, particularly extreme weather events. The El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle is one of Earth’s dominant modes of climate variability that affects small island states. ENSO is the strongest natural fluctu ...
Developing and Implementing Climate Change Adaptation
Developing and Implementing Climate Change Adaptation

... theorganizations.  last decadeThe  ...
Adaptation to Climate Change in the Baltic Countries
Adaptation to Climate Change in the Baltic Countries

... activity of the Estonian environmental policy (Ministry of the Environment of the Republic of Estonia 2007 and 2008). On national level, the focus so far has been on greenhouse gases mitigation policy and crisis management, the latter one being regulated by the Emergency Act from 2009 and emergencie ...
PDF
PDF

... ever faced. Dessei et al. (2007) introduce an edition of Global Environmental Change dedicated to uncertainty and climate change, with an editorial which explains that uncertainty is pervasive in the climate change policy debate. The opinions range from the position of Patrinos and Bamzai (2005), wh ...
Functional and Phylogenetic Approaches to Forecasting Species
Functional and Phylogenetic Approaches to Forecasting Species

... of whole-organism performance—such as rates of locomotion, growth, and feeding—and components of fitness—such as survival, reproductive rate, and generation time (Figure 2). The temperature dependence of performance and fitness is typically unimodal with a single optimal temperature and asymmetric suc ...
appendix - UA Atmospheric Sciences
appendix - UA Atmospheric Sciences

... Without research activities during this period, Herman’s biosketch is not included ...
Applying the VFM framework to business case design and appraisal
Applying the VFM framework to business case design and appraisal

... through the wider development budgets, there is a need for DFID to select and prioritise those activities that provide Value-for-Money (VfM). Since 2011, DFID has produced guidance for the economic appraisal of ICF climate change interventions. This includes guidance for appraising resilience-orient ...
“There is new and stronger evidence that most of the warming
“There is new and stronger evidence that most of the warming

... organisation’s services, assets and infrastructure. If organisations do not plan for and respond to these pressures appropriately, costly remedial action which could have been avoided is likely to be required. ...
The physical concept of climate forcing
The physical concept of climate forcing

... composition, and so on. Therefore, climatologists study not solely weather pattern but the entire climate system that encompasses the atmosphere, hydrosphere (oceans and land water masses), biosphere (living organisms), cryosphere (sea, land ice, and snow), and lithosphere (rocks and geological form ...
PDF
PDF

... While climate change is widely regarded as a threat to food security in southern Africa, few studies attempt to link the science of climate change impacts on agriculture with the specificities of smallholder livelihoods. In this paper, we build a series of linear programming (LP) farm-household mode ...
Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming
Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming

... # The articles and surveys most commonly cited as showing support for a “scientific consensus” in favor of the catastrophic man-made global warming hypothesis are without exception methodologically flawed and often deliberately misleading. # There is no survey or study showing “consensus” on the mos ...
Climate Change impaCts on australia
Climate Change impaCts on australia

... will depend on exposure to changes in the climate system, sensitivity to those exposures and the capacity to adapt to the changes to which we are sensitive. These components of vulnerability to climate change are illustrated in Figure 6.1. Australia’s level of exposure and sensitivity to the impacts ...
Preparing for and managing change: climate adaptation for
Preparing for and managing change: climate adaptation for

... as a fixed endpoint. Actions undertaken to prepare for anticipated climate-change impacts can be referred to as proactive or anticipatory adaptation, whereas actions in response to climate-related impacts can be referred to as reactive adaptation (Adger et al. 2005). For example, © The Ecological So ...
T M Target Atmospheric Greenhouse Gas Concentrations
T M Target Atmospheric Greenhouse Gas Concentrations

... climate change) (IPCC, 2007c). Consequently, the 2007 IPCC estimates are considered very conservative and under-estimate climate sensitivity and climate forcing mechanisms and feedback cycles. In December 2008, the Copenhagen Climate Science Congress concluded "the worst-case IPCC scenario trajector ...
Word version of course outline - Vula
Word version of course outline - Vula

... vulnerability assessments. Building on the theory and method sections it focuses on why the concept of vulnerability is important in the field of environmental change with a focus on climate change. The international process of assessing the science is explored followed by material addressing adapta ...
4.3.1. Atmospheric changes - Ensembles RT3
4.3.1. Atmospheric changes - Ensembles RT3

... is directly reflected in downscaling studies. Figure 4.3.2 shows an example results from 16 regional climate change simulations with the Rossby Centre regional climate model (Kjellström et al., 2011). These simulations include different emission scenarios, different forcing global climate models and ...
ENDI Warming File - 4 wk
ENDI Warming File - 4 wk

... widespread Dust-Bowlification, large oceanic dead zones, and 9°F warming — much of which could be all but irreversible for centuries. And that’s not the worst-case scenario! The consequences for human health and well being would be extreme. That’s no surprise to anybody who has talked to leading cli ...
PDF
PDF

... methods are used to reduce the number of variables (Kaufmann and Snell, 1997; Tannura, Irwin, and Good, 2008). A disadvantage of statistical variable selection methods is that they exclusively lean on data while ignoring the agronomic implications of different months within a growing season; it is p ...
Preparing for Climate Change in the Great Lakes Region
Preparing for Climate Change in the Great Lakes Region

... benefits
even
if
climate
change
impacts
are
different
than
expected.
For
example,
addressing
 the
regulation
and
management
of
Great
Lakes
shorelines
as
water
levels
fluctuate
will
have
 positive
impacts
on
habitat
regardless
of
climate
change
impacts.

 Pursue
policies
that
achieve
both
mitigation
 ...
Print - Climate Change Knowledge Portal
Print - Climate Change Knowledge Portal

... associated landslides. Togo has increased its vulnerability to landslides in the past decades as more erosion and unsustainable deforestation and agriculture of marginal areas persist. Future events could be even more damaging without effective disaster risk reduction and adaptation measures in plac ...
The Business of AdApTing To ClimATe ChAnge
The Business of AdApTing To ClimATe ChAnge

... those companies with the foresight and capacity to respond. In our constantly changing business and social environment, tomorrow’s successful companies must think beyond quarterly profits and focus on contributing to collaborative, long-term solutions to global challenges. It is for this reason that ...
Protecting Cultural Heritage and Adapting to Climate Change
Protecting Cultural Heritage and Adapting to Climate Change

... By analysing past hydrological structures in the city of Lund, Sweden, this paper highlights  the contexts in which knowledge of the dynamic landscape in its origin, and the subsequent  integration of human implementation and perception, will provide a complementary guidance to  sustainable planning ...
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Michael E. Mann



Michael E. Mann (born 1965) is an American climatologist and geophysicist, currently director of the Earth System Science Center at Pennsylvania State University, who has contributed to the scientific understanding of historic climate change based on the temperature record of the past thousand years. He has pioneered techniques to find patterns in past climate change, and to isolate climate signals from ""noisy data"".As lead author of a paper produced in 1998 with co-authors Raymond S. Bradley and Malcolm K. Hughes, Mann introduced innovative statistical techniques to find regional variations in a hemispherical climate reconstruction covering the past 600 years. In 1999 the same team used these techniques to produce a reconstruction over the past 1,000 years (MBH99) which was dubbed the ""hockey stick graph"" because of its shape. He was one of 8 lead authors of the ""Observed Climate Variability and Change"" chapter of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Scientific Assessment Report published in 2001. A graph based on the MBH99 paper was highlighted in several parts of the report, and was given wide publicity. The IPCC acknowledged that his work, along with that of the many other lead authors and review editors, contributed to the award of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize, which was won jointly by the IPCC and Al Gore.He was organizing committee chair for the National Academy of Sciences Frontiers of Science in 2003 and has received a number of honors and awards including selection by Scientific American as one of the fifty leading visionaries in science and technology in 2002. In 2012 he was inducted as a Fellow of the American Geophysical Union and was awarded the Hans Oeschger Medal of the European Geosciences Union. In 2013 he was elected a Fellow of the American Meteorological Society, and awarded the status of distinguished professor in Penn State's College of Earth and Mineral Sciences.Mann is author of more than 160 peer-reviewed and edited publications, and has published two books: Dire Predictions: Understanding Global Warming in 2008 and The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars: Dispatches from the Front Lines, published in early 2012. In 2013 the European Geosciences Union described his publication record as ""outstanding for a scientist of his relatively young age"". He is also a co-founder and contributor to the climatology blog RealClimate.
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