Observational constraints on future climate: distinguishing robust from model-dependent statements of uncertainty in climate forecasting
... assessed probability of a particular outcome or that a statement is true. This needs to be resolved in AR4, because we need to communicate the fact that we may have very different levels of confidence in various probabilistic statements. For example, we might wish to argue we have a much higher leve ...
... assessed probability of a particular outcome or that a statement is true. This needs to be resolved in AR4, because we need to communicate the fact that we may have very different levels of confidence in various probabilistic statements. For example, we might wish to argue we have a much higher leve ...
Nepal - UN
... • Increase in pests, diseases and invasive species owing to temperature change affect agricultural productivity resulting in food insecurity and loss of livelihoods. • Atmospheric CO2 concentration will reduce Nepal’s forest types from 15 to 12, and habitats and ecosystem • The adverse impacts on th ...
... • Increase in pests, diseases and invasive species owing to temperature change affect agricultural productivity resulting in food insecurity and loss of livelihoods. • Atmospheric CO2 concentration will reduce Nepal’s forest types from 15 to 12, and habitats and ecosystem • The adverse impacts on th ...
Overlooked Issues in the Climate Change Debate Professor Roger A. Pielke Sr.
... ¾$15/year subscription pays printing and mailing costs ...
... ¾$15/year subscription pays printing and mailing costs ...
PR_INI - European Parliament
... consequence of worsening natural climate variability as well as man-made influence on weather conditions; 3. Considers that these events represent an escalating cost to the global economy, not only for developing countries but also for the world economy, both as a direct cost in terms of rebuilding ...
... consequence of worsening natural climate variability as well as man-made influence on weather conditions; 3. Considers that these events represent an escalating cost to the global economy, not only for developing countries but also for the world economy, both as a direct cost in terms of rebuilding ...
Impact of climate change on mountain environment dynamics
... This issue includes seven contributions, which encompass a wide variety of methodological approaches and themes applied to different mountain systems situated in four continents, with a special place given to the French Alps. The first contribution by Einhorn et al. is an overview of the results ach ...
... This issue includes seven contributions, which encompass a wide variety of methodological approaches and themes applied to different mountain systems situated in four continents, with a special place given to the French Alps. The first contribution by Einhorn et al. is an overview of the results ach ...
Talk 1
... 4. Recent Climate Change The human impact on global temperature change emerged from climate data around the middle of the 20th Century soon after WWII. This was a period of unprecedented industrial expansion and massive economic growth. In the 1970’s scientists warned society that the excessive use ...
... 4. Recent Climate Change The human impact on global temperature change emerged from climate data around the middle of the 20th Century soon after WWII. This was a period of unprecedented industrial expansion and massive economic growth. In the 1970’s scientists warned society that the excessive use ...
Does climate change knowledge really matter?
... to a certain baseline level (equal to their emissions in 1990) and according to certain timetables, using a variety of policy levers such as the creation of markets for carbon emissions, and the investment of rich country funds in advanced energy technology projects in poor countries. As such, the I ...
... to a certain baseline level (equal to their emissions in 1990) and according to certain timetables, using a variety of policy levers such as the creation of markets for carbon emissions, and the investment of rich country funds in advanced energy technology projects in poor countries. As such, the I ...
based Climate Change Policy in Japan
... The presentation will include information of IPCC-AR5, progress of researches supported by Environment Research and Technology Development Fund (e.g. S-8 project), situation of national adaptation plan, supports for developing countries (e.g. adaptation initiative), GOSAT and so on. GOSAT (Greenhous ...
... The presentation will include information of IPCC-AR5, progress of researches supported by Environment Research and Technology Development Fund (e.g. S-8 project), situation of national adaptation plan, supports for developing countries (e.g. adaptation initiative), GOSAT and so on. GOSAT (Greenhous ...
Presentazione di PowerPoint
... – Promotes harmonization of official statistics and inventories in close collaboration with UNFCCC, Eurostat, EEA, IEA, FAO… – Organizes Expert Forums for statisticians, inventory compilers, environment agencies and international organizations • UNECE Task Force, chaired by Italy – Develops an inter ...
... – Promotes harmonization of official statistics and inventories in close collaboration with UNFCCC, Eurostat, EEA, IEA, FAO… – Organizes Expert Forums for statisticians, inventory compilers, environment agencies and international organizations • UNECE Task Force, chaired by Italy – Develops an inter ...
Summary - World Bank Group
... The climate is changing; and the Europe and Central Asia (ECA) region is vulnerable to the consequences.1 Many of the region’s countries are facing warmer temperatures, a changing hydrology and more extremes—droughts, floods, heat waves, windstorms, and forest f ...
... The climate is changing; and the Europe and Central Asia (ECA) region is vulnerable to the consequences.1 Many of the region’s countries are facing warmer temperatures, a changing hydrology and more extremes—droughts, floods, heat waves, windstorms, and forest f ...
The Future for Rural Areas of Europe
... future might hold for different kinds of rural area in Europe. Objective: To consider how future developments may reconfigure the territorial capital and socio-economic development of different types of rural regions over the next two decades. Approach: Foresight techniques used to consider how a ra ...
... future might hold for different kinds of rural area in Europe. Objective: To consider how future developments may reconfigure the territorial capital and socio-economic development of different types of rural regions over the next two decades. Approach: Foresight techniques used to consider how a ra ...
MAR 115
... science education. In this course, students are introduced to the many elements of Earth's climate system in a dynamic and highly motivational environment where they investigate Earth's climate system using real-world environmental data. Students will be exposed to scientific literature regarding cl ...
... science education. In this course, students are introduced to the many elements of Earth's climate system in a dynamic and highly motivational environment where they investigate Earth's climate system using real-world environmental data. Students will be exposed to scientific literature regarding cl ...
PDF
... Cost-benefit analysis Analysis of potential mitigation measures has been effected through cost-benefit analysis for some time. A prominent early example is Nordhaus (1991). Cost-benefit analysis is probably the most appropriate tool available in this context, but it suffers from two key drawbacks. F ...
... Cost-benefit analysis Analysis of potential mitigation measures has been effected through cost-benefit analysis for some time. A prominent early example is Nordhaus (1991). Cost-benefit analysis is probably the most appropriate tool available in this context, but it suffers from two key drawbacks. F ...
Policy and Actions: Disaster Management, Natural Resources
... challenges in terms of transitioning to a low carbon economy • Government to support transition in key sectors Climate Change resilience a criterion for sustainable development • Sustainable development is also climate-friendly development ...
... challenges in terms of transitioning to a low carbon economy • Government to support transition in key sectors Climate Change resilience a criterion for sustainable development • Sustainable development is also climate-friendly development ...
Prerequisite skills Holyoke Catholic High School Chicopee, MA
... changed color later in 2011. I did not expect tree number 4 to be different from everyone else’s, but I am now thinking that I only checked with the classmates who had their tree on the opposite side then mine. In conclusion, the reason for the different ways all the trees have fallen or changed fas ...
... changed color later in 2011. I did not expect tree number 4 to be different from everyone else’s, but I am now thinking that I only checked with the classmates who had their tree on the opposite side then mine. In conclusion, the reason for the different ways all the trees have fallen or changed fas ...
Climate change and state fragility in the Sahel
... The Sahel will get hotter. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change expects temperatures in the region to increase by nearly 1oC over the next 20 years, 2.1oC by 2065, and 4.0oC by the end of the century. It is unclear how these temperature changes will influence rainfall; climate models cannot ...
... The Sahel will get hotter. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change expects temperatures in the region to increase by nearly 1oC over the next 20 years, 2.1oC by 2065, and 4.0oC by the end of the century. It is unclear how these temperature changes will influence rainfall; climate models cannot ...
Adaptation to climate change in the World Bank - An
... The rainfall is expected to change in either amount or vegetables or herbs. variability at the site of your project. You should check whether current crops and any planned introductions will remain suitable in the changed climate. ..... Higher temperatures are expected at the site of your project. Y ...
... The rainfall is expected to change in either amount or vegetables or herbs. variability at the site of your project. You should check whether current crops and any planned introductions will remain suitable in the changed climate. ..... Higher temperatures are expected at the site of your project. Y ...
Stephen Schneider 1945–2010 A Biographical Memoir by B. D. Santer
... and ecosystems. His research helped to show that human beings are now active agents of changes in the climate system—not just innocent bystanders—and that we are already influencing the distributions and abundances of most plants and animals. In a number of different areas, from oceans to clouds and ...
... and ecosystems. His research helped to show that human beings are now active agents of changes in the climate system—not just innocent bystanders—and that we are already influencing the distributions and abundances of most plants and animals. In a number of different areas, from oceans to clouds and ...
Evidence that local land use practices influence regional climate
... ways. Mesoscale climate model simulations using the Colorado State University Regional Atmospheric Modelling System (RAMS) projected that modifications to natural vegetation in the plains, primarily due to agriculture and urbanization, could produce lower summer temperatures in the mountains. We cor ...
... ways. Mesoscale climate model simulations using the Colorado State University Regional Atmospheric Modelling System (RAMS) projected that modifications to natural vegetation in the plains, primarily due to agriculture and urbanization, could produce lower summer temperatures in the mountains. We cor ...
National Climate Change Stakeholder Consultations
... • INDC has to be country driven as the implementation of the commitment will ultimately be done at a local and provincial levels. • It could be binding – subject to the level of ambition projected, especially by developed countries/ durability of the 2015 agreement. • Each country will be expected t ...
... • INDC has to be country driven as the implementation of the commitment will ultimately be done at a local and provincial levels. • It could be binding – subject to the level of ambition projected, especially by developed countries/ durability of the 2015 agreement. • Each country will be expected t ...
2015_06_24_ppt03_DEA Gauteng INDC Stakeholder Consultations
... • INDC has to be country driven as the implementation of the commitment will ultimately be done at a local and provincial levels. • It could be binding – subject to the level of ambition projected, especially by developed countries/ durability of the 2015 agreement. • Each country will be expected t ...
... • INDC has to be country driven as the implementation of the commitment will ultimately be done at a local and provincial levels. • It could be binding – subject to the level of ambition projected, especially by developed countries/ durability of the 2015 agreement. • Each country will be expected t ...
Meehl, GA, R. Moss, KE Taylor, V. Eyring, RJ Stouffer, S. Bony, and
... collaboratively to establish appropriate national capabilities and policies that are aligned ...
... collaboratively to establish appropriate national capabilities and policies that are aligned ...
ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE Should We Be Worried? www.whoi.edu Robert B. Gagosian
... What can disrupt the Ocean Conveyor? Solving this puzzle requires an understanding of what launches and drives the Conveyor in the first place. The answer, to a large degree, is salt. For a variety of reasons, North Atlantic waters are relatively salty compared with other parts of the world ocean. S ...
... What can disrupt the Ocean Conveyor? Solving this puzzle requires an understanding of what launches and drives the Conveyor in the first place. The answer, to a large degree, is salt. For a variety of reasons, North Atlantic waters are relatively salty compared with other parts of the world ocean. S ...
Michael E. Mann
Michael E. Mann (born 1965) is an American climatologist and geophysicist, currently director of the Earth System Science Center at Pennsylvania State University, who has contributed to the scientific understanding of historic climate change based on the temperature record of the past thousand years. He has pioneered techniques to find patterns in past climate change, and to isolate climate signals from ""noisy data"".As lead author of a paper produced in 1998 with co-authors Raymond S. Bradley and Malcolm K. Hughes, Mann introduced innovative statistical techniques to find regional variations in a hemispherical climate reconstruction covering the past 600 years. In 1999 the same team used these techniques to produce a reconstruction over the past 1,000 years (MBH99) which was dubbed the ""hockey stick graph"" because of its shape. He was one of 8 lead authors of the ""Observed Climate Variability and Change"" chapter of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Scientific Assessment Report published in 2001. A graph based on the MBH99 paper was highlighted in several parts of the report, and was given wide publicity. The IPCC acknowledged that his work, along with that of the many other lead authors and review editors, contributed to the award of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize, which was won jointly by the IPCC and Al Gore.He was organizing committee chair for the National Academy of Sciences Frontiers of Science in 2003 and has received a number of honors and awards including selection by Scientific American as one of the fifty leading visionaries in science and technology in 2002. In 2012 he was inducted as a Fellow of the American Geophysical Union and was awarded the Hans Oeschger Medal of the European Geosciences Union. In 2013 he was elected a Fellow of the American Meteorological Society, and awarded the status of distinguished professor in Penn State's College of Earth and Mineral Sciences.Mann is author of more than 160 peer-reviewed and edited publications, and has published two books: Dire Predictions: Understanding Global Warming in 2008 and The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars: Dispatches from the Front Lines, published in early 2012. In 2013 the European Geosciences Union described his publication record as ""outstanding for a scientist of his relatively young age"". He is also a co-founder and contributor to the climatology blog RealClimate.