Tall tales and fat tails: the science and economics of extreme warming
... The physical basis of Eq. 4 makes it easier to relate different sources of uncertainty in Eq. 1 to the various sources of uncertainty discussed in the physical science literature. We focus here on uncertainty about the climate sensitivity, S, and the heat capacities, Ceff and Cup . 2.1 Climate sensi ...
... The physical basis of Eq. 4 makes it easier to relate different sources of uncertainty in Eq. 1 to the various sources of uncertainty discussed in the physical science literature. We focus here on uncertainty about the climate sensitivity, S, and the heat capacities, Ceff and Cup . 2.1 Climate sensi ...
Communicating climate change to mass public audiences
... been demonstrated on numerous occasions – and participants in these projects consistently point to a sense of mutual learning and support as a key reason for making and maintaining changes in behaviour (Nye and Burgess, 2008). There are few influences more powerful than an individual’s social networ ...
... been demonstrated on numerous occasions – and participants in these projects consistently point to a sense of mutual learning and support as a key reason for making and maintaining changes in behaviour (Nye and Burgess, 2008). There are few influences more powerful than an individual’s social networ ...
In Search of Refuge: Pacific Islands, Climate - East
... Climate-induced migration is already occurring and significantly contributes to migration worldwide. According to the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) and the Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre (IDMC), more than 20 million people were displaced in 2008 by climate-re ...
... Climate-induced migration is already occurring and significantly contributes to migration worldwide. According to the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) and the Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre (IDMC), more than 20 million people were displaced in 2008 by climate-re ...
Box 1.3
... The reason surface temperature changes in different models are not usually compared directly is that the climate sensitivity is poorly known and varies by a factor of three between different climate models (IPCC, 2001, Chapter 9). Further, climate model studies have shown that, for many forcing mech ...
... The reason surface temperature changes in different models are not usually compared directly is that the climate sensitivity is poorly known and varies by a factor of three between different climate models (IPCC, 2001, Chapter 9). Further, climate model studies have shown that, for many forcing mech ...
Phillip_Staddon___Winter_Mortality
... This has been attempted in air pollution over four decades, and much can be learned from those approaches. ...
... This has been attempted in air pollution over four decades, and much can be learned from those approaches. ...
PDF - sudan academy of sciences
... 2011; Antle, 2011). The model uses statistical description of a heterogeneous farm population to simulate adoption and impacts of a new technology or change in environmental conditions (Seth, 2012). TOA-MD model was used to assess the impact of technology and climate changes using economic, environm ...
... 2011; Antle, 2011). The model uses statistical description of a heterogeneous farm population to simulate adoption and impacts of a new technology or change in environmental conditions (Seth, 2012). TOA-MD model was used to assess the impact of technology and climate changes using economic, environm ...
What is global warming?
... technology and the use of cleaner fuels. And scientists continue to develop new ways to modernize power plants, generate cleaner electricity, and burn less gasoline while we drive. The challenge is to be sure these solutions are put to use and widely adopted. NRDC article—global warming 101 Q: How i ...
... technology and the use of cleaner fuels. And scientists continue to develop new ways to modernize power plants, generate cleaner electricity, and burn less gasoline while we drive. The challenge is to be sure these solutions are put to use and widely adopted. NRDC article—global warming 101 Q: How i ...
outreach materials for climate day partners
... Climate Day is co-hosted by New Hope and the Climate Collaborative, a project of OSC2 and SFTA, and is a wonderful opportunity to share new ideas, learn proven solutions, make connections, and spread HOPE. Please join us to get our industry in gear to reverse climate change. All Climate Day events a ...
... Climate Day is co-hosted by New Hope and the Climate Collaborative, a project of OSC2 and SFTA, and is a wonderful opportunity to share new ideas, learn proven solutions, make connections, and spread HOPE. Please join us to get our industry in gear to reverse climate change. All Climate Day events a ...
7 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
... temperature, precipitation, drought and floods. These factors are all susceptible to and influenced by climate change, and hence will impact on the demand, source and quality of Johannesburg’s water supply. In addition, these aspects will also be affected by factors such as urbanisation, migration, ...
... temperature, precipitation, drought and floods. These factors are all susceptible to and influenced by climate change, and hence will impact on the demand, source and quality of Johannesburg’s water supply. In addition, these aspects will also be affected by factors such as urbanisation, migration, ...
presentation - Prairie Adaptation Research Collaborative
... 1. Climate Change Prediction and Scenarios Program (EC, $29.8M – continuation of an existing program) 2. Aquatic Climate Change Adaptation Services Program (DFO, $16.6M – new program) 3. Understanding Climate-Driven Ecological Changes in Canada’s North (PCA, $2.4M – new program) 4. Heat Alert and Re ...
... 1. Climate Change Prediction and Scenarios Program (EC, $29.8M – continuation of an existing program) 2. Aquatic Climate Change Adaptation Services Program (DFO, $16.6M – new program) 3. Understanding Climate-Driven Ecological Changes in Canada’s North (PCA, $2.4M – new program) 4. Heat Alert and Re ...
Cash transfer programs in sub-Saharan Africa: measuring the impact on climate change adaptation
... However, we would expect these programs to have impacts on the economic livelihoods of beneficiaries as well, and help protect those most vulnerable to climate risks, with low levels of adaptive capacity. Cash transfers influence the livelihood strategies of the poor, who in rural areas often depend ...
... However, we would expect these programs to have impacts on the economic livelihoods of beneficiaries as well, and help protect those most vulnerable to climate risks, with low levels of adaptive capacity. Cash transfers influence the livelihood strategies of the poor, who in rural areas often depend ...
Environmental, Economical and Social Impacts of Climate Change
... (GHGs) into the atmosphere that leads to warming effects (Government of Canada, 2015; EPA, 2016). ...
... (GHGs) into the atmosphere that leads to warming effects (Government of Canada, 2015; EPA, 2016). ...
Interactive comment on “Relationship between climate
... pioneer of climatic-determinist Huntington (1907), the great historian Toynbee (1937), palaeoclimatic scientist Lamb (1972), geographer Lattimore (1938), and anthropologist Barfield (1989). Various hypotheses have been put forward to explain the causes that responsible for the occurrence of pastora ...
... pioneer of climatic-determinist Huntington (1907), the great historian Toynbee (1937), palaeoclimatic scientist Lamb (1972), geographer Lattimore (1938), and anthropologist Barfield (1989). Various hypotheses have been put forward to explain the causes that responsible for the occurrence of pastora ...
Predicting Hydrological Response to Climate Change in the White
... These residuals are minimal. These errors may be caused by errors in measuring the input data and errors associated with the model. The under-estimation of the low flows may be attributed to more than one aquifer contributing to baseflow which can be handled in the SWAT model. By considering the res ...
... These residuals are minimal. These errors may be caused by errors in measuring the input data and errors associated with the model. The under-estimation of the low flows may be attributed to more than one aquifer contributing to baseflow which can be handled in the SWAT model. By considering the res ...
Spanning `not-implausiblea futures to assess relative vulnerability to
... relatively more open systems like agriculture, they are even more involved. To see why, simply recall that uncertainty, which cascades throughout our understanding of the climate system, exacerbates the di$culty of assessing impact cum adaptation in every case, but especially in those cases where cl ...
... relatively more open systems like agriculture, they are even more involved. To see why, simply recall that uncertainty, which cascades throughout our understanding of the climate system, exacerbates the di$culty of assessing impact cum adaptation in every case, but especially in those cases where cl ...
IOSR Journal of Research & Method in Education (IOSR-JRME)
... and, which alters the composition of the global atmosphere, in addition to natural climate variability observed over comparable time periods. From the definition, the idea that climate change is human induced and the concept ‘climate variability’ emerges. United Nations Framework Convention on Clima ...
... and, which alters the composition of the global atmosphere, in addition to natural climate variability observed over comparable time periods. From the definition, the idea that climate change is human induced and the concept ‘climate variability’ emerges. United Nations Framework Convention on Clima ...
4. Climate Change Scenarios
... The instrumental record will often be a complete multi-decadal record of often daily or subdaily weather observations. The advantage of these data is that they will be recorded at each observation station and thus could provide better information on regional distribution of climate than many climate ...
... The instrumental record will often be a complete multi-decadal record of often daily or subdaily weather observations. The advantage of these data is that they will be recorded at each observation station and thus could provide better information on regional distribution of climate than many climate ...
Smallholder Farmers` Perception of Climate Change
... The earth’s average surface temperature has increased by almost 0.740C over the past century (IPCC, 2007a). The consequences of this alteration are now becoming more visible as climatic conditions and ecosystems change (IPCC, 2007b). Climate refers to the characteristic conditions of the earth’s low ...
... The earth’s average surface temperature has increased by almost 0.740C over the past century (IPCC, 2007a). The consequences of this alteration are now becoming more visible as climatic conditions and ecosystems change (IPCC, 2007b). Climate refers to the characteristic conditions of the earth’s low ...
A 700 Year Record of Southern Hemisphere Extratropical Climate
... circumpolar trough consistent with solar-insolation-induced deglaciation of Antarctica over the last several thousand years. During this same period the ASL and EAH also display inverse behavior at the multi-decadal scale (Fig. 2). This seesaw pattern maintained between the ASL and EAH from AD 1200 ...
... circumpolar trough consistent with solar-insolation-induced deglaciation of Antarctica over the last several thousand years. During this same period the ASL and EAH also display inverse behavior at the multi-decadal scale (Fig. 2). This seesaw pattern maintained between the ASL and EAH from AD 1200 ...
Freeman Dyson, Debunked
... http://www2.sunysuffolk.edu/mandias/global_warming/natural_causes_climate _change.html ...
... http://www2.sunysuffolk.edu/mandias/global_warming/natural_causes_climate _change.html ...
KNOWLEDGE OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND CAUSES OF CLIMATE
... *Note: changes that were made to the dataset in Cycle 6 were not reflected in the CATI until Cycle 7 (January 2011) QUESTION: Now I would like to ask you about climate change. Would you say that you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree that the world's climate is ch ...
... *Note: changes that were made to the dataset in Cycle 6 were not reflected in the CATI until Cycle 7 (January 2011) QUESTION: Now I would like to ask you about climate change. Would you say that you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree or strongly disagree that the world's climate is ch ...
Final review - UCLA: Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences
... Summary of predicted climate change Temperature • The lower atmosphere and Earth's surface warm (the stratosphere cools). • The surface warming at high latitudes is greater than the global average in winter but smaller in summer. (In time dependent simulations with a full ocean, there is less warmi ...
... Summary of predicted climate change Temperature • The lower atmosphere and Earth's surface warm (the stratosphere cools). • The surface warming at high latitudes is greater than the global average in winter but smaller in summer. (In time dependent simulations with a full ocean, there is less warmi ...
teacher pages - Lab Aids | Store
... in improving the accuracy of global climate models and making better predictions about the future. In this chapter, students explore climate change that has happened in Earth’s past and think about its relevance to climate change happening now. They study data about changes currently happening relat ...
... in improving the accuracy of global climate models and making better predictions about the future. In this chapter, students explore climate change that has happened in Earth’s past and think about its relevance to climate change happening now. They study data about changes currently happening relat ...
1 - Terranova
... immediate challenges to the ongoing viability and sustainability of primary industries than any anticipated changes to the regions climate to 2030. For example, extremes of climate such as prolonged drought, late frosts and consecutive hot days already pose significant risk to agricultural profitabi ...
... immediate challenges to the ongoing viability and sustainability of primary industries than any anticipated changes to the regions climate to 2030. For example, extremes of climate such as prolonged drought, late frosts and consecutive hot days already pose significant risk to agricultural profitabi ...
Michael E. Mann
Michael E. Mann (born 1965) is an American climatologist and geophysicist, currently director of the Earth System Science Center at Pennsylvania State University, who has contributed to the scientific understanding of historic climate change based on the temperature record of the past thousand years. He has pioneered techniques to find patterns in past climate change, and to isolate climate signals from ""noisy data"".As lead author of a paper produced in 1998 with co-authors Raymond S. Bradley and Malcolm K. Hughes, Mann introduced innovative statistical techniques to find regional variations in a hemispherical climate reconstruction covering the past 600 years. In 1999 the same team used these techniques to produce a reconstruction over the past 1,000 years (MBH99) which was dubbed the ""hockey stick graph"" because of its shape. He was one of 8 lead authors of the ""Observed Climate Variability and Change"" chapter of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Scientific Assessment Report published in 2001. A graph based on the MBH99 paper was highlighted in several parts of the report, and was given wide publicity. The IPCC acknowledged that his work, along with that of the many other lead authors and review editors, contributed to the award of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize, which was won jointly by the IPCC and Al Gore.He was organizing committee chair for the National Academy of Sciences Frontiers of Science in 2003 and has received a number of honors and awards including selection by Scientific American as one of the fifty leading visionaries in science and technology in 2002. In 2012 he was inducted as a Fellow of the American Geophysical Union and was awarded the Hans Oeschger Medal of the European Geosciences Union. In 2013 he was elected a Fellow of the American Meteorological Society, and awarded the status of distinguished professor in Penn State's College of Earth and Mineral Sciences.Mann is author of more than 160 peer-reviewed and edited publications, and has published two books: Dire Predictions: Understanding Global Warming in 2008 and The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars: Dispatches from the Front Lines, published in early 2012. In 2013 the European Geosciences Union described his publication record as ""outstanding for a scientist of his relatively young age"". He is also a co-founder and contributor to the climatology blog RealClimate.