451kB - Surrey Research Insight Open Access
... I have described these mis-attributions in detail not simply to offer an object lesson in the portability of provenance, but to suggest that this pithy aphorism has been so durable, so willingly and wishfully assigned to a range of wise and venerable sources, because it strikes a deep and resonant ...
... I have described these mis-attributions in detail not simply to offer an object lesson in the portability of provenance, but to suggest that this pithy aphorism has been so durable, so willingly and wishfully assigned to a range of wise and venerable sources, because it strikes a deep and resonant ...
The climate of the Mediterranean region: research progress and
... at regional or even local scales. For the Mediterranean area, an increasing number of downscaling studies based on different statistical techniques have been published in the last two decades with a broad range of sometimes differing results relating to different variables and regional domains. Jaco ...
... at regional or even local scales. For the Mediterranean area, an increasing number of downscaling studies based on different statistical techniques have been published in the last two decades with a broad range of sometimes differing results relating to different variables and regional domains. Jaco ...
Impacts of climate variability and future climate change on harmful
... The ocean is a core component of the climate system, such that perturbations to climate regimes can cause dramatic shifts in the structure and function of marine ecosystems [22-24]. This is demonstrated by examining the ecosystem responses to phase shifts of large-scale patterns of climate variabili ...
... The ocean is a core component of the climate system, such that perturbations to climate regimes can cause dramatic shifts in the structure and function of marine ecosystems [22-24]. This is demonstrated by examining the ecosystem responses to phase shifts of large-scale patterns of climate variabili ...
Midterm review - UCLA: Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences
... At the top of the atmosphere, in the global average and for a steady climate: • IR emitted balances incoming solar. Global warming involves a slight imbalance: • a change in the greenhouse effect slightly less IR emitted from the top (chap. 6). • small imbalance slow warming. Three roles f ...
... At the top of the atmosphere, in the global average and for a steady climate: • IR emitted balances incoming solar. Global warming involves a slight imbalance: • a change in the greenhouse effect slightly less IR emitted from the top (chap. 6). • small imbalance slow warming. Three roles f ...
PDF
... used in econometric analysis. Previous studies have used various assets as stand-alone for instance education, income access to credit (Silvestri et al. 2012; Bryan et al. 2011; Deressa et al. 2008). Assets in this study are categorized according to Behrman et al. (2011) and DFID (2008). The study h ...
... used in econometric analysis. Previous studies have used various assets as stand-alone for instance education, income access to credit (Silvestri et al. 2012; Bryan et al. 2011; Deressa et al. 2008). Assets in this study are categorized according to Behrman et al. (2011) and DFID (2008). The study h ...
The Changing Himalayas
... Himalayan and inner Asian ranges have the most highly glaciated areas outside the polar regions (Owen et al., 2002; Dyurgerov and Meier, 2005). Glaciated areas in the greater Himalayan region cover an area of more than 112,000 km2 (Table 2). The Himalayan Range alone (a sub-region) has a total area ...
... Himalayan and inner Asian ranges have the most highly glaciated areas outside the polar regions (Owen et al., 2002; Dyurgerov and Meier, 2005). Glaciated areas in the greater Himalayan region cover an area of more than 112,000 km2 (Table 2). The Himalayan Range alone (a sub-region) has a total area ...
Print - Climate Change Knowledge Portal
... Climate impact models display a high degree of concurrence in simulating an increase in rainfall extremes over East Africa. An increase of more than 20% in the very extreme (once-in-100-years) rainfall events is expected in southern Ethiopia by the year 2100. A rise in extreme rainfall events during ...
... Climate impact models display a high degree of concurrence in simulating an increase in rainfall extremes over East Africa. An increase of more than 20% in the very extreme (once-in-100-years) rainfall events is expected in southern Ethiopia by the year 2100. A rise in extreme rainfall events during ...
Assessment of fishers perception in developing
... benefits of CA is that, it can simplify complex sets into a simpler display of categorical variables while preserving all of the valuable information. In addition CA becomes useful © Marine Biological Association of India ...
... benefits of CA is that, it can simplify complex sets into a simpler display of categorical variables while preserving all of the valuable information. In addition CA becomes useful © Marine Biological Association of India ...
Demographic models and IPCC climate projections predict the
... Although climate models differ on the sign of Antarctic sea ice trends at the end of the 20th century (25) (see SI Text and Table S1), suggesting a strong influence of natural variability, nearly all models project that sea ice will shrink in future global warming scenarios (26). To project the cons ...
... Although climate models differ on the sign of Antarctic sea ice trends at the end of the 20th century (25) (see SI Text and Table S1), suggesting a strong influence of natural variability, nearly all models project that sea ice will shrink in future global warming scenarios (26). To project the cons ...
The Strategic Threat of Inevitable Climate Change
... and supported by so many independent observations and results, that their likelihood of subsequently being found to be wrong is vanishingly small. Such conclusions and theories are then regarded as settled facts. This is the case for the conclusions that the Earth system is warming and that much of ...
... and supported by so many independent observations and results, that their likelihood of subsequently being found to be wrong is vanishingly small. Such conclusions and theories are then regarded as settled facts. This is the case for the conclusions that the Earth system is warming and that much of ...
1 - EconStor
... Summarising the literature, some studies employ international data but most use data from a single country. 7 Particularly in cross-country studies data are frequently aggregated over large, climatically diverse regions. Most studies include temperature and precipitation but far fewer include other ...
... Summarising the literature, some studies employ international data but most use data from a single country. 7 Particularly in cross-country studies data are frequently aggregated over large, climatically diverse regions. Most studies include temperature and precipitation but far fewer include other ...
Infosylva Special COP 17
... Uganda's water and environment minister, Maria Mutagamba, has said a global agreement should be designed to help cut down deforestation that contributes to global warming. Mutagamba was speaking at the high level segment of the United Nations (UN) climate talks in Durban attended by top UN diplomats ...
... Uganda's water and environment minister, Maria Mutagamba, has said a global agreement should be designed to help cut down deforestation that contributes to global warming. Mutagamba was speaking at the high level segment of the United Nations (UN) climate talks in Durban attended by top UN diplomats ...
Durham Research Online
... computers; the goal is to simulate how Earth’s climate would change if greenhouse gas emissions were to rise at particular rates in the future. But there is uncertainty about how to build these climate models in such a way that predictions of future climate change will have desired accuracy. The unc ...
... computers; the goal is to simulate how Earth’s climate would change if greenhouse gas emissions were to rise at particular rates in the future. But there is uncertainty about how to build these climate models in such a way that predictions of future climate change will have desired accuracy. The unc ...
Linking Indigenous and Scientific Knowledge of Climate Change
... homogenous indigenous communities. Our aim is to contribute to the thoughtful and respectful integration of indigenous knowledge with scientific data and analysis so that this rich body of knowledge can inform science, and science can in turn perhaps contribute tools and methods that will allow indi ...
... homogenous indigenous communities. Our aim is to contribute to the thoughtful and respectful integration of indigenous knowledge with scientific data and analysis so that this rich body of knowledge can inform science, and science can in turn perhaps contribute tools and methods that will allow indi ...
Managing climate risk using climate-smart agriculture
... There is a growing consensus in the scientific literature that the earth is warming due to anthropogenic increases in greenhouse gas emissions into the atmosphere (IPCC, 2014) (see Fig. 1). There is considerable reason to be concerned about the effects on food security. We have seen several periods ...
... There is a growing consensus in the scientific literature that the earth is warming due to anthropogenic increases in greenhouse gas emissions into the atmosphere (IPCC, 2014) (see Fig. 1). There is considerable reason to be concerned about the effects on food security. We have seen several periods ...
Response to the NATIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE RESPONSE …
... We face an economic and environmental crisis: we need solutions to both; Trade unions, social movements and environmental organisations have formed an alliance to campaign for the creation of one million climate jobs, now. Our initial research shows that more than three million new climate jobs can ...
... We face an economic and environmental crisis: we need solutions to both; Trade unions, social movements and environmental organisations have formed an alliance to campaign for the creation of one million climate jobs, now. Our initial research shows that more than three million new climate jobs can ...
A normative account of dangerous climate change
... the attendees of the conference the task of establishing the threshold of danger: “What level of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is self-evidently too much?” ...
... the attendees of the conference the task of establishing the threshold of danger: “What level of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is self-evidently too much?” ...
Observations: Surface and Atmospheric Climate Change
... al., 1997; Rayner et al., 2003). Optimal averaging (OA) yields large-area averages with error-bars (Folland et al., 2001). Global estimates are less reliable before 1900 (by a factor of two) than since 1951, but this is principally expressed on the interannual timescale. The sparser grids of the lat ...
... al., 1997; Rayner et al., 2003). Optimal averaging (OA) yields large-area averages with error-bars (Folland et al., 2001). Global estimates are less reliable before 1900 (by a factor of two) than since 1951, but this is principally expressed on the interannual timescale. The sparser grids of the lat ...
Physical and economic consequences of climate change in Europe
... from different and possibly inconsistent climate scenarios. They also lack the necessary geographical resolution for assessing regional impacts and prioritizing adaptation policies. Moreover, only the average temperature and precipitation usually are included, ignoring other moments of the probabili ...
... from different and possibly inconsistent climate scenarios. They also lack the necessary geographical resolution for assessing regional impacts and prioritizing adaptation policies. Moreover, only the average temperature and precipitation usually are included, ignoring other moments of the probabili ...
Climate, Climate Change Nuclear Power and the Alternatives
... The great climate experiment: A PETMPETM-like event within a glacial climate ...
... The great climate experiment: A PETMPETM-like event within a glacial climate ...
Future climate in the Pacific Northwest
... the mean change but some measure of uncertainty, we considered using all 112 (Maurer et al. 2007) available runs from the PCMDI archive but this approach complicates the statistics in two ways. First, some models offer only one simulation and others as many as 6, so combining them could inappropriat ...
... the mean change but some measure of uncertainty, we considered using all 112 (Maurer et al. 2007) available runs from the PCMDI archive but this approach complicates the statistics in two ways. First, some models offer only one simulation and others as many as 6, so combining them could inappropriat ...
On the Chopping Block - Allegheny Highlands Climate Change
... A West Virginia Division of Natural Resources study (Byers et al. 2011) discusses climate change vulnerability for dozens of animals and plants in the Highlands. In a state that takes pride in being "Wild and Wonderful," this paper is a wake-up call for conservation lovers! Another excellent resourc ...
... A West Virginia Division of Natural Resources study (Byers et al. 2011) discusses climate change vulnerability for dozens of animals and plants in the Highlands. In a state that takes pride in being "Wild and Wonderful," this paper is a wake-up call for conservation lovers! Another excellent resourc ...
Projecting Climate Change in Hawaii
... interpolated from a large number of individual rain gauges, are similar to results shown by Giambelluca et al. (2013) in their more sophisticated spatial analysis of 30 years of station data. For the last few years IPRC’s regional climate modeling experts, led by faculty member Yuqing Wang, have bee ...
... interpolated from a large number of individual rain gauges, are similar to results shown by Giambelluca et al. (2013) in their more sophisticated spatial analysis of 30 years of station data. For the last few years IPRC’s regional climate modeling experts, led by faculty member Yuqing Wang, have bee ...
Good practice for the usage of climate model simulation results
... considered the state-of-the-art for reanalysis-driven simulations of Regional Climate Models (RCM). 2. 20C: These runs of the Global Climate Models (GCM) aim to statistically reproduce the climate conditions of the 20th century. They are driven by all or a selection of (i) natural climate drivers: v ...
... considered the state-of-the-art for reanalysis-driven simulations of Regional Climate Models (RCM). 2. 20C: These runs of the Global Climate Models (GCM) aim to statistically reproduce the climate conditions of the 20th century. They are driven by all or a selection of (i) natural climate drivers: v ...
climate variable mapping and agriculture
... period of time, average temperatures can remain constant while there can be changes to the variability of the data reflecting an increased magnitude of extreme temperature events. To ascertain if the variability of temperature has changed over time, an analysis has been undertaken to determine if th ...
... period of time, average temperatures can remain constant while there can be changes to the variability of the data reflecting an increased magnitude of extreme temperature events. To ascertain if the variability of temperature has changed over time, an analysis has been undertaken to determine if th ...
Michael E. Mann
Michael E. Mann (born 1965) is an American climatologist and geophysicist, currently director of the Earth System Science Center at Pennsylvania State University, who has contributed to the scientific understanding of historic climate change based on the temperature record of the past thousand years. He has pioneered techniques to find patterns in past climate change, and to isolate climate signals from ""noisy data"".As lead author of a paper produced in 1998 with co-authors Raymond S. Bradley and Malcolm K. Hughes, Mann introduced innovative statistical techniques to find regional variations in a hemispherical climate reconstruction covering the past 600 years. In 1999 the same team used these techniques to produce a reconstruction over the past 1,000 years (MBH99) which was dubbed the ""hockey stick graph"" because of its shape. He was one of 8 lead authors of the ""Observed Climate Variability and Change"" chapter of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Scientific Assessment Report published in 2001. A graph based on the MBH99 paper was highlighted in several parts of the report, and was given wide publicity. The IPCC acknowledged that his work, along with that of the many other lead authors and review editors, contributed to the award of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize, which was won jointly by the IPCC and Al Gore.He was organizing committee chair for the National Academy of Sciences Frontiers of Science in 2003 and has received a number of honors and awards including selection by Scientific American as one of the fifty leading visionaries in science and technology in 2002. In 2012 he was inducted as a Fellow of the American Geophysical Union and was awarded the Hans Oeschger Medal of the European Geosciences Union. In 2013 he was elected a Fellow of the American Meteorological Society, and awarded the status of distinguished professor in Penn State's College of Earth and Mineral Sciences.Mann is author of more than 160 peer-reviewed and edited publications, and has published two books: Dire Predictions: Understanding Global Warming in 2008 and The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars: Dispatches from the Front Lines, published in early 2012. In 2013 the European Geosciences Union described his publication record as ""outstanding for a scientist of his relatively young age"". He is also a co-founder and contributor to the climatology blog RealClimate.