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Climate change in the Sahel
Climate change in the Sahel

... After the droughts of the 70s and 80s, the West African countries, especially those in the Sahel, are suffering today the effects of heavy rains and devastating floods. Damage and losses related to these extreme hydro climatic events have been evaluated at several hundreds of billions of Francs. In a ...
ST 2011 02
ST 2011 02

... made by these models. These include trends such as the rising of the global mean surface air temperature (SAT) as driven mainly by anthropogenic greenhouse emissions and associated radiative forcing as previously discussed (Meehl et al., 2007). Historically, the IPCC provided the first characterizat ...
Climate in the Heartland
Climate in the Heartland

... This project was designed to supplement existing climate change data for the Heartland Regional Network area. Resources such as the National Climate Assessment (NCA) (Walsh and Wuebbles 2014) provide information about future impacts expected across regions of the United States. The NCA and other pro ...
The Climate Change Challenge
The Climate Change Challenge

... each individual country can choose its own target? What will stop countries from choosing low, achievable targets? ...
Global Commitment: Achieving the Less than 2
Global Commitment: Achieving the Less than 2

... nuclear  power  complemented  by  carbon  capture  and  storage.  Significant  improvements  in  energy  efficiency for transport, industrial processes and buildings are also called for, together with a range  of other measures. Following Schaeffer and Vuuren [2012], we extend the IEA scenarios out  ...
The Impact of Climate Change and Variability on Heavy
The Impact of Climate Change and Variability on Heavy

How California`s Climate Shapes Water Resources
How California`s Climate Shapes Water Resources

... In other words, increased evaporation and snow loss due to warming outpace any increases in incoming moisture, leading to overall drying. Overall drying occurs even in RCP 4.5, the “mitigation” scenario. This result points to the likelihood of more severe future droughts and fire seasons, similar to ...
Macro Policies For Climate Change: Free
Macro Policies For Climate Change: Free

... profession). The first has attempted to show that the economy is Pareto efficient under much more general conditions than those originally used by Arrow and Debreu. The second has attempted to show that there were assumptions in Arrow and Debreu’s analysis which, while perhaps mentioned, did not rec ...
Lecture 1.1 - The Natural Edge Project
Lecture 1.1 - The Natural Edge Project

... stressed urban water supply and the effects of changes in temperature and water availability on agriculture. Already all major cities and many regional centres are feeling the strain of declining rainfall and runoff into streams. Some cities are commencing the development of high-cost infrastructure ...
Terrestrial Ecosystem Adaptation
Terrestrial Ecosystem Adaptation

... For plants and animals, the climate extremes may be more important than changes in averages.  Both high and low temperatures are potential mortality points on which natural selection will act  for different organisms. Low‐temperature mortality points typically involve late spring or early  autumn fr ...
Global Change and Coral Reefs
Global Change and Coral Reefs

... Global change here is defined as change due to increasing greenhouse gases, mainly CO2, in the atmosphere. This chart illustrates the main ways that this affects coral reefs. The best-known effect is global warming, which is the main problem behind the phenomenon of coral bleaching; and also the dri ...
Dialogue on Long Term Persistence
Dialogue on Long Term Persistence

submission for the carbon tax bill
submission for the carbon tax bill

... with science. Climate prediction is not science, it is pseudo-science, and sooner or later more real scientists are going to wake up to this fact.”…..“If the IPCC were a pharmaceutical company it could face fraud charges for doing this. This is a good analogy. The IPCC claims to have diagnosed a pla ...
Changing Climate Changing Understanding
Changing Climate Changing Understanding

... Hoegh-Guldberg, O., Bruno, J. Science, 328, p 1523, 18 June 2010 ...
Climate change means days are getting longer: Harvard University
Climate change means days are getting longer: Harvard University

Temperature variation makes ectotherms more sensitive to climate
Temperature variation makes ectotherms more sensitive to climate

... (e.g., ability of an insect to right itself). In our experiments, we define CTmin and CTmax more ecologically as those temperatures at which mosquito survival through to adulthood is zero (which could still mean larvae surviving for many days but failing to emerge from pupae). This measure is not eq ...
appeal to authority
appeal to authority

... authority”, whereby the stature of a person allows statements made by that person to be taken as absolute fact when such statements are only opinions based on perception and have never been verified. Einstein’s equation e=mc2 is just as valid if stated by Al Gore as by Steven Chu, but only Chu would ...
How do carbon cycle uncertainties affect IPCC temperature
How do carbon cycle uncertainties affect IPCC temperature

... to shift upwards. This could potentially be explored further using the C4MIP or Bodman et al. (2013) distributions, deriving upper and lower bounds for the CO2 concentrations which could then be modeled by the AOGCMs. Table 2 shows that the our MAGICC CC-on median CO2 concentration values at 2100 co ...
Monitoring - Australian Institute of Alpine Studies
Monitoring - Australian Institute of Alpine Studies

... impacts of climate change on natural and managed systems in Australia. The alpine regions of Australia are considered by the IPCC to be highly vulnerable to climate change. The Australian Greenhouse Office is developing a work plan dealing with climate change impacts and adaptation which, among othe ...
WCRP OSC Presentation
WCRP OSC Presentation

... Jim Hurrell, Chair, NCAR, USA Ghassem Asrar, WCRP, Switzerland ...
CONFRONTING THE CRISIS OF GLOBAL GOVERNANCE
CONFRONTING THE CRISIS OF GLOBAL GOVERNANCE

... international actors seeking to prevent, react to, and rebuild after mass atrocities. Second, with each successive report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the need to take extraordinary and decisive action addressing the causes and impact of climate change becomes more eviden ...
Changing weather and climate in Northern Ghana
Changing weather and climate in Northern Ghana

Climate Change News 25 February 12
Climate Change News 25 February 12

... on "Climate Justice"; Deadline 15 February 2012 Poster Contest: Climate Justice Germanwatch calls for a poster contest presenting prizes for the most original, artistically high qualitative and meaningful poster on climate justice. The three winners will be awarded total prize money of 1800€. Closin ...
Guidebook 2 Vfinal.1.FH11 - Centre for Indigenous Environmental
Guidebook 2 Vfinal.1.FH11 - Centre for Indigenous Environmental

... Winter Roads Access to First Nation Communities Many First Nations located throughout Canada’s north rely on the winter road systems during the winter months to transport essential goods and supplies. Many of these Nations have been negatively affected by mild winters (e.g. in 2005-2006) because of ...
Seminar Bibliography/Literature List
Seminar Bibliography/Literature List

... Mahendra Shah, Jan Sendzimir ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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