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publication - rr369
publication - rr369

... are now wintering in the UK rather than moving to their more traditional wintering grounds in the Mediterranean Basin. An easterly and northerly shift in the distribution of waders such as Ringed Plover (Charadrius hiaticula) and Dunlin (Calidris alpina) wintering in Britain has also been demonstrat ...
Complementary explanation of temperature response in the lower
Complementary explanation of temperature response in the lower

... from ERA-Interim reanalysis and climate models for the period 1979–1999. We have chosen this period because it is the overlap in temporal coverage between the ERA-Interim reanalysis and the CMIP3 20th century climate model runs. Over the latter half of the 20th century Tmin increased more rapidly th ...
Climate Change, Water Supplies and Health Report
Climate Change, Water Supplies and Health Report

... Climate change scenarios may have wider impacts on the health and well-being of groups and individuals. For example, increased severity and/or frequency of extreme events such as floods, droughts or storms can have major impacts on safety (e.g., risk of drowning or trees falling) and on stress level ...
characterizing the phenology of southwest landscapes
characterizing the phenology of southwest landscapes

... Department of Geosciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, jlweiss@email.arizona.edu The growing importance of phenological monitoring and modeling in the face of climate change is manifest in ongoing implementation of a U.S.A.-National Phenology Network (NPN) with regional branches. Subtropical ...
Tropospheric adjustment induces a cloud component in
Tropospheric adjustment induces a cloud component in

... The cloud components of forcing are surprising. Though of a smaller magnitude than FLN , both FLC and FSC are significantly different from zero at the 5% level; FLC < 0 and FSC > 0. As these terms have similar sizes, the net F = 3.3 ± 0.2 W m−2 is not very different from the clear-sky forcing. The p ...
Mangrove ecosystem under climate change conditions
Mangrove ecosystem under climate change conditions

... biospheric processes. Regulation functions maintain a “healthy” ecosystem at different scale levels and, at the biosphere level, provide and maintain the conditions for life on Earth. In many ways, these regulation functions provide the necessary pre-conditions for all other functions. (2) Habitat f ...
Ecosystem services - International Risk Governance Council
Ecosystem services - International Risk Governance Council

... people have been ultimately dependent upon the world’s ecosystems and the benefits that flow from them, and this dependence will continue. But as the human population has flourished, ecosystems have suffered in order to meet the accelerating demands for food, water, timber, and other natural resourc ...
26112015-Pielke-Jr-VWN presentation
26112015-Pielke-Jr-VWN presentation

... potential to change his earlier conclusions – at least about the absence of a trend in US Cat losses.” ...
First Greenhouse Gas Inventory
First Greenhouse Gas Inventory

... Need for a National Communication The ultimate objective of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) is to reduce the atmospheric concentrations of GHG to a stable level, within a specific timeframe, to ensure no adverse human-induced interference with the climate system. As part of it ...
Deep-ocean contribution to sea level and energy budget - e
Deep-ocean contribution to sea level and energy budget - e

... significant. Therefore, we find no significant global ocean warming below 2,000 m. Nevertheless, by performing a more rigorous and conservative error analysis, it is possible to estimate an upper bound on the rate of deep-ocean warming (2,000-bottom) in terms of its contribution to global mean sea-l ...
National Park Service - UAF SNAP
National Park Service - UAF SNAP

... The National Park Service Natural Resource Stewardship and Science office in Fort Collins, Colorado publishes a range of reports that address natural resource topics of interest and applicability to a broad audience in the National Park Service and others in natural resource management including sc ...
Natural Hazards and Climate Change in European Regions
Natural Hazards and Climate Change in European Regions

... example flood, forest fires and heat waves is actually not fully understood. However, these events occur with apparent increasing frequency and magnitude. As a response, recent political priorities include (a) provision of the fullest protection to European citizens and their property, (b) maintenan ...
Programme Plan - Norges forskningsråd
Programme Plan - Norges forskningsråd

... KlimaProg covers natural science research that has the goal of increasing understanding of the climate system and climate changes. It is a goal-oriented programme that is focused on solving clearly defined research problems with results that can be further applied. In the following chapters, it will ...
Programme plan - Norges forskningsråd
Programme plan - Norges forskningsråd

... KlimaProg covers natural science research that has the goal of increasing understanding of the climate system and climate changes. It is a goal-oriented programme that is focused on solving clearly defined research problems with results that can be further applied. In the following chapters, it will ...
Here - MtnClim 2016
Here - MtnClim 2016

... human visitors and wildflower blooms in subalpine meadow ecosystems at Mt. Rainier National Park, where these blooms are a key visitor draw. Our analysis uses a large, field-validated dataset derived from the Flickr photo sharing service and volunteer citizen scientists to simultaneously track spati ...
Climate Change in the African Small Island Developing States: From
Climate Change in the African Small Island Developing States: From

... water (Briguglio, 2003; Guillaumont, 2007; Wong, 2011; Boto and Biasca, 2012). In 2005, the parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change acknowledged that, paradoxically, although SIDS produce less than one per cent of global greenhouse gases, they would be disproportionately ...
Publications
Publications

... Manabe, S., J. Ploshy, and N-C Lau, Seasonal variation of surface temperature change during the last several decades. Journal of Climate, 24, 3817-3821, 2011. Tsushima, Y., and S. Manabe, Assessment of radiative feedback in climate models using satellite observation of annual flux variation. Proceed ...
Climatic warming strengthens a positive feedback between alpine
Climatic warming strengthens a positive feedback between alpine

... flammable fuels will accumulate at a faster rate, have higher landscape connectivity, and ultimately lead to increases in the likelihood of fire. The consequence of which will further increase shrub recruitment opportunities. Thus, warming could strengthen an existing climate-disturbance feedback, t ...
ENVSEC Project “Reducing vulnerability to extreme floods and
ENVSEC Project “Reducing vulnerability to extreme floods and

... Since the beginning of the century floods have affected the lives of many people. In recent years, the number of frequent catastrophic floods has increased; their economic, social and environmental impacts have worsened leading to the increased casualties. In this very serious situation, the expansi ...
Print this article
Print this article

... To forecast projected states of the future economy using an IO model requires estimating the exogenous factors that are likely to affect the local economy. Once these variables are estimated, the IO model calculates point estimates of the endogenous repercussions of the likely exogenous evolutions. ...
US Virgin Islands Climate Change Ecosystem
US Virgin Islands Climate Change Ecosystem

... solutions on the shore and in the water and supporting communities in their climate change adaptation efforts. Limitations of EBA should be recognized including the variability and likely natural changes in the ecosystem; difficulty in differentiating between natural and human-induced changes, insuf ...
An assessment of the foundational assumptions in high-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09
An assessment of the foundational assumptions in high-resolution climate projections: the case of UKCP09

... organisms) occurs at a local scale, and so ideally one would like to know what changes one has to expect in one’s immediate environment. For instance, how will the precipitation change in central London by the end of this century? Having reliable answers to such questions would have significant impl ...
April 2013 News - South Asian Dialogues on Ecological Democracy
April 2013 News - South Asian Dialogues on Ecological Democracy

... sediments -- to reconstruct temperature back through time using a Bayesian statistical approach," Tingley said. "What we are trying to do is put statistical inference of past changes in temperature on a more solid and complete footing.”… Source: http://www.countercurrents.org/cc130413.htm Arctic Wil ...
Permafrost-and-Climate
Permafrost-and-Climate

... Permafrost Distribution • Global warming predicted to result in: – reduced permafrost extent ...
ECOSYSTEM-BASED ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE: THE
ECOSYSTEM-BASED ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE: THE

... restoration enhances carbon stocks. Moreover, it is an efficient approach to climate change adaptation, defined as an adjustment in natural or human systems in response to actual or expected climatic stimuli or their effects, which moderates harm or exploits beneficial opportunities (Intergovernment ...
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