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The Copenhagen Diagnosis - Climate Change Research Centre
The Copenhagen Diagnosis - Climate Change Research Centre

... comprise previous IPCC lead authors familiar with the rigor and completeness required for a scientific assessment of this nature. This report is freely available on the web at: ...
Forecasting global climate change: A scientific approach Kesten C
Forecasting global climate change: A scientific approach Kesten C

... By 2007, there still had been no proper validation of the IPCC’s forecasts. To generate interest in the importance of validation, one of us (Armstrong) proposed a bet to former U.S. Vice President Al Gore that a “no-change” forecast of global average temperature would be more accurate than any mode ...
Using a maximum simplicity paleoclimate model to simulate
Using a maximum simplicity paleoclimate model to simulate

... glacial period. A further comparison is carried out against the planktonic oxygen isotope of north Atlantic core ODP 980. There is agreement between the records on the existence of similar millennial-scale variability during the last three glacial periods with very similar characteristics to the var ...
Republican and Democratic Views on Climate Change
Republican and Democratic Views on Climate Change

... and their subsequent follow-up survey of December 1997 to February 1998, but only a limited change in overall attitudes.28 The limited change, however, hid opposing trends between adherents of the two parties, as Krosnick and colleagues found that, “Democratic citizens moved toward the administratio ...
speaking out on global warming: public attitudes toward the papal
speaking out on global warming: public attitudes toward the papal

... opinion of Pope Francis say it’s somewhat or very favorable. Sixty-three percent of non-Catholic Christians with an opinion of the pope say it’s somewhat or very favorable. Among those who are not religious and who have formed an opinion on the pope, 78 percent say they view him somewhat or very fav ...
Report of the President`s Advisory Committee on Divestment from
Report of the President`s Advisory Committee on Divestment from

... and intensify past the completion and submission of this report; the Committee hopes that some of the recommendations and principles articulated here will help inform that future. Not everyone will agree. The debate will carry on, into the laboratories, common rooms, offices, and ultimately into cla ...
Exceptional twentieth-century slowdown in Atlantic
Exceptional twentieth-century slowdown in Atlantic

... persistent subpolar North Atlantic cooling anomaly is a conspicuous feature of the overall global warming pattern (Fig. 1). Model simulations indicate the largest cooling response to a weakening of the AMOC in this same region1 , suggesting this area has so far defied global warming owing to a weake ...
The Climate counter consensus, review - Brians
The Climate counter consensus, review - Brians

... The author has been described as a sceptic and a denier 4  but both cannot be true. The former seeks  to find the scientific truth while the latter does not 5 . How then should the author be described using  this  dichotomy?  Drivers  of  denial 6   include  special  interest  groups  whose  motivat ...
influence of surface/free-air decoupling on temperature trend patterns
influence of surface/free-air decoupling on temperature trend patterns

... Figure 4. The mean monthly A–C index over the domain for 0000 UTC (1948–2006). often inversely correlated with geopotential height contours [Lundquist and Cayan, 2007; Lundquist et al., 2008]. This implies that surface temperatures (in decoupled locations) are less strongly controlled by the thermal ...
Overlooked Science Issues in Climate Change
Overlooked Science Issues in Climate Change

... Estimated radiative forcings since preindustrial times for the Earth and Troposphere system (TOA) radiative forcing with adjusted stratospheric temperatures). The height of the rectangular bar denotes a central or best estimate of the forcing, while each vertical line is an estimate of the uncertai ...
Projection of Climate Change Scenarios in Different Temperature
Projection of Climate Change Scenarios in Different Temperature

... maximum value of R, and SDgcm and SDobs are the standard deviations of the GCM simulation and observation, respectively. When SDgcm and R are close to SDobs and R0 , respectively, the skill scores will be close to 1, which indicates better performance of the model. Conversely, if the ratio of SDgcm ...
View Full Text-PDF - International Journal of Current Research in
View Full Text-PDF - International Journal of Current Research in

... The effect of temperature immediately after anthesis on potential grain number within spikelets and florets of Fusarium infected wheat spike was investigated in controlled environment. Four wheat cultivars; two each of elite cultivars (Oakley and Soissons) and near isogenic lines (NIL) of Mercia bac ...
'Sensitivity of climate change detection and attribution to the characterization of internal climate variability'
'Sensitivity of climate change detection and attribution to the characterization of internal climate variability'

... full characterization of its properties and its interplay with external forcings remains elusive ...
report of governing council meeting
report of governing council meeting

... accede to the PICES Convention. It was agreed that the Mexican IOC National Committee could be instrumental in convincing Mexico to join PICES in the near future. Active regional organizations can greatly strengthen the implementation of IOC programs, and thus by joining PICES, Mexico would not only ...
WHAT IS THE “DAMAGES FUNCTION” FOR GLOBAL WARMING
WHAT IS THE “DAMAGES FUNCTION” FOR GLOBAL WARMING

... 2. What is the Appropriate “Damages Function”? Right from the beginning, the specification of damages from climate change presents severe conceptual challenges. I think the basic problem is that with global warming the core welfare-related concepts are all so intertwined that it is difficult to dise ...
Observed Changes in Long-Term Climatic Conditions and
Observed Changes in Long-Term Climatic Conditions and

... Email: *michael.richter@hcu-hamburg.de Received November 14, 2012; revised January 1, 2013; accepted January 26, 2013 ...
Changes in climate and changing climate regions in Slovakia
Changes in climate and changing climate regions in Slovakia

... important for vegetation as the months from April to September comprise almost the entire growing season. The authors assumed that half of the total precipitation in this period is evaporated and the rest results in run-off. The index also considers winter precipitation, but only its surplus, which ...
Climate change economic growth and health
Climate change economic growth and health

... The worldwide increase of CO2 emissions has caused an increase in the concentration of CO2 (and other greenhouse gases) in the atmosphere, and this has led to higher temperatures on Earth through the greenhouse effect: global warming. The greenhouse effect is, however, not the only pollution effect. ...
Doubled length of western European summer heat waves since 1880
Doubled length of western European summer heat waves since 1880

... since 1976 [Klein Tank and Können, 2003; Klein Tank et al., 2005]. However, because published studies only utilize short data sets, there is little evidence to suggest that this recent trend in temperature variance differs from some longer-term cyclic variation of the climate system. This study aim ...
The Real Truth about Greenhouse Gases and Climate Change:
The Real Truth about Greenhouse Gases and Climate Change:

... offering similar views). Without such language, EPA is required to apply the Clean Air Act’s provisions to CO2, and they have been slowly starting to do this [disclosure: I am author of a declaration in support of EPA’s Endangerment Finding and, in a separate case, calling for EPA to take action to ...
PDF
PDF

... Sugarcane production is an important activity in the South African agriculture (Hassan & Olbrich, 2001). Based on the actual sales and selling prices in 2000/2001, it is estimated that the South African Sugar industry contributed R 1.9 billion to the country’s foreign exchange earnings. Employment w ...
Climate-change studies in the western Himalaya
Climate-change studies in the western Himalaya

... parameters associated with these events can be considered as evidence for climate change in India. Thus it is necessary to study different aspects of climate change, based on the available long-term data over the region. Several observational studies show significant temperature and precipitation ch ...
P  U  S - Center for Science and Technology Policy Research
P U S - Center for Science and Technology Policy Research

... 152). This coverage often includes specific critiques of mainstream scientists such as ‘the denigration of peer-reviewed, scholarly journals and scientific institutions by contrarian scientists’ (Dunlap and McCright, 2010: 254) or equating the content of scientific journals with the editorial page o ...
Agreeing to disagree: Uncertainty management in assessing climate
Agreeing to disagree: Uncertainty management in assessing climate

... Both objective and subjective sources of information can be precise or imprecise. Imprecision occurs in the frequentist setting when the sample size is small, and in the subjective setting when experts are deeply uncertain and cannot give precise probabilities, and hence cannot quantify risk. In cli ...
print version
print version

... PIELKE ET AL.: UNRESOLVED TEMPERATURE TRENDS ISSUES ...
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North Report

The North Report was a 2006 report evaluating reconstructions of the temperature record of the past two millennia, providing an overview of the state of the science and the implications for understanding of global warming. It was produced by a National Research Council committee, chaired by Gerald North, at the request of Representative Sherwood Boehlert as chairman of the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Science.These reconstructions had been dubbed ""hockey stick graphs"" after the 1999 reconstruction by Mann, Bradley and Hughes (MBH99), which used the methodology of their 1998 reconstruction covering 600 years (MBH98). A graph based on MBH99 was featured prominently in the 2001 IPCC Third Assessment Report (TAR), and became a focus of the global warming controversy over the 1997 Kyoto Protocol. It was disputed by various contrarians, and in the politicisation of this hockey stick controversy the New York Times of 14 February 2005 hailed a paper by businessman Stephen McIntyre and economist Ross McKitrick (MM05) as undermining the scientific consensus behind the Kyoto agreement. On 23 June 2005, Rep. Joe Barton, chairman of the House Committee on Energy and Commerce, with Ed Whitfield, Chairman of the Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations, wrote joint letters referring to issues raised by the Wall Street Journal article, and demanding that Mann, Bradley and Hughes provide full records on their data and methods, finances and careers, information about grants provided to the institutions they had worked for, and the exact computer codes used to generate their results. Boehlert said this was a ""misguided and illegitimate investigation"" into something that should properly be under the jurisdiction of the Science Committee, and in November 2005 after Barton dismissed the offer of an independent investigation organised by the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, Boehlert requested the review, which became the North Report.The North Report went through a rigorous review process, and was published on 22 June 2006. It concluded ""with a high level of confidence that global mean surface temperature was higher during the last few decades of the 20th century than during any comparable period during the preceding four centuries"", justified by consistent evidence from a wide variety of geographically diverse proxies, but ""Less confidence can be placed in large-scale surface temperature reconstructions for the period from 900 to 1600"". It broadly agreed with the basic findings of the original MBH studies, which subsequently been supported by other reconstructions and proxy records, while emphasising uncertainties over earlier periods. The principal component analysis methodology that McIntyre and McKitrick had contested had a small tendency to bias results so was not recommended—but it had little influence on the final reconstructions, and other methods produced similar results.
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