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Describing Data: Numerical Measures Chapter Three McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2006 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. In this Chapter (3), we learn to describe data using 2 numerical techniques: 1. Measures of Location 2. Measures of Dispersion 3- 3 Measure of location Often, we want to know in a set of collected data: What is a representative data or the typical value ? OR What is the center/average of the distribution ? Egs. US Family income, Price of a house in LA, Rainfall in Seattle, Batting scores. Read the inset ‘Statistics in action’ on page 58. 3 types of ‘averages’. •Mean •Median •Mode 3- 5 Population Mean is the sum of all the population values divided by the total number of population values: X N where µ “mu” is the population mean N is the total number of observations. (Note the ‘Capital’ N) X is a particular raw data value. “sigma” indicates the operation of adding. Mean=Average=Arithmetic Mean (synonyms) Two terms you should know: i) Parameter - is a measurable characteristic of a population. Hence, Population Mean μ is a Parameter. Ii) Statistic - is a measurable characteristic of a sample. Hence, Sample Mean x is a Statistic. A Parameter is a measurable characteristic of a population. The Kiers family owns four cars. The following is the current mileage on each of the four cars. X N 3- 7 56,000 42,000 23,000 73,000 Find the mean mileage for the cars. 56,000 ... 73,000 48,500 4 Example 1 3- 8 A Statistic is a measurable characteristic of a sample. Sample Mean is the sum of all the sample values divided by the number of sample values: “X bar” (not μ!) X X n where n is the total number of values in the sample. ( Note the ‘small’ n ) 3- 9 A sample of five executives received the following bonus last year ($000): 14.0, 15.0, 17.0, 16.0, 15.0 X 14 .0 ... 15 .0 77 X 15 .4 n 5 5 The sample mean here is a Statistic (ie, not a Parameter). 3- 10 Properties of the Mean • • Every set of interval-level and ratio-level data has a mean. A set of data has a unique mean. • Sum of deviations of each value from the mean is zero*. • All values included in computing the mean (a good thing).** • The mean is affected by unusually large or small outlier data values (a shortcoming). * see next slide ** not true of Median or Mode 3- 11 Consider the set of values: 3, 8, and 4. The mean is 5. Illustrating the fifth property. ie, sum of deviations is zero. ( X X ) (3 5) (8 5) (4 5) 0 Example 3 3- 12 The Median is the value at the middle location after all the data have been ordered from the smallest to the largest. For an odd set of values, the median will be the middle number and is found at (n+1)/2 of data. For an even set of values, the median will be the arithmetic average of the two middle numbers and is found around (n+1)/2 of data. 3- 13 The ages for a sample of five college students are: 21, 25, 19, 20, 22. •Arrange the data in ascending order •The median is at location (5+1)/2 19, 20, 21, 22, 25. Question: Calculate the median if the age of the 5th student is 60 years (and not 25). The heights of four basketball players, in inches, are: 76, 73, 80, 75. Arrange the data in ascending order : 73, 75, 76, 80 The median is around (4+1)/2 = 2.5th location Take the mean of 2nd & 3rd observation Thus the median is 75.5 3- 15 Properties of the Median Unique to each data set Not affected by extremely large or small values (avoids influence of outlier values) Can be computed for ordinal, interval and ratio level data Eg. A good measure for Housing Prices 3- 16 The Mode is another measure of location and represents the value of the observation that appears most frequently. Examples: The exam scores for ten students are: 81, 93, 84, 75, 68, 87, 81, 75, 81, 87. Because the score of 81 occurs the most often, it is the mode. Mode can help you with making decisions! Prof. Beatle gives out more “B”s than any other grade. If you have excess production capacity, you may make more of the product that sells most. Properties of the Mode • Can be used for all levels of data (nominal, ordinal, interval and ratio). • Not affected by extreme values Problems: • If every data value is unique, there is no mode! • You can have equal number of different values leading to multiple modes eg. Bimodal, trimodal, etc. Practice Problem #62 Page 87-88 State how you would do (a) & (b)? What is the answer to (c) 3- 19 Dispersion - spread or variability in the data. If you are told the river ahead has an average depth of 4 feet, would you begin crossing it? Mean by itself is not reliable if dispersion is high Useful in comparing two sets of data with same mean value Measures of dispersion Range Variance Standard deviation 3- 21 Range The following represents the current year’s Return on Equity of the 25 companies in an investor’s portfolio. -8.1 -5.1 -3.1 -1.4 1.2 3.2 4.1 4.6 4.8 5.7 Lowest value: -8.1 5.9 6.3 7.9 7.9 8.0 8.1 9.2 9.5 9.7 10.3 12.3 13.3 14.0 15.0 22.1 Highest value: 22.1 Range = Highest value – lowest value = 22.1-(-8.1) = 30.2 Uses just 2 values! Not useful if Range is wide 3- 22 Variance: - average of the squared deviations from the mean. - larger deviations are given higher weight when squared. Standard deviation: - square root of the variance - brings the variance to the same unit as the data 3- 23 Population Variance formula: = (X - )2 N X is the value of an observation in the population μ is the arithmetic mean of the population N is the number of observations in the population Example – Page 78 Fill me in σ is called the Population Standard Deviation (has the same unit of measure as the original data) 3- 25 Sample variance (s2) s2 = (X - X)2 n-1 (n-1) & NOT n Sample standard deviation (s) s s 2 Guaranteed question in any stat test! Watch out if data is a Population (σ) or Sample (s). 3- 26 Practice Time! The hourly wages earned by a sample of five students are: $7, $5, $11, $8, $6. Find the sample variance and standard deviation. X 37 X 7.40 n 5 X X 7 7.4 ... 6 7.4 2 s n 1 5 1 21.2 5.30 5 1 2 s s 2 2 5.30 2.30 2 Say, you conduct a study of heights of all students in class. You compute mean and standard deviation. Now you decided to compute, how many students are within mean ± 1 s.d. how many students are within mean ± 2 s.d. how many students are within mean ± 3 s.d., … etc. Chebyshev’s theorem: For any set of observations, the minimum proportion of the values that lie within k standard deviations of the mean is at least: 1 1 k2 where k is any constant greater than 1. 3- 27 Practice! Page 84 Problems: 49, 50 3- 29 Empirical Rule: For any symmetrical, bell-shaped distribution: About 68% of the observations will lie within 1 s.d. the mean About 95% of the observations will lie within 2 s.d. of the mean Virtually the mean all the observations will be within 3 s.d. of Empirical Rule See Page 496: Z Column – Values 1, 2, 3