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Chapter 7: Medical Care Production and Costs Health Economics Assessing the Productivity of Medical Firms Economists often describe production of output as a function of labor and capital : q = f(n,k) In the case of health care : q = hospital services n = nurses k = medical equipment, hospital building Assessing the Productivity of Medical Firms (cont.) Short run : k is fixed, while n is variable a) At low level of n, k is abundant. Each in nurses when combined with capital greater in services. - potential synergy effect because nurses can work in teams. b) Further in nurses service, but a decreasing rate - law of diminishing marginal productivity. c) “Too many “ nurses can cause congestion, communication problems, hospital services Graphical Representation Total product = q = f(n,k*) hospital services (q) TP n1 marginal product n1 n2 Nurses (n) n2 nurses MP = Dq / Dn MP is the slope of the TP curve. Graphical Representation AP = q / n AP is the slope of a ray from the origin to the TP curve. hospital services average product C B B TP A n3 Numerical Example # of nurses (n) Amount of k Total output (q) AP of n (q/n) MP of n (Dq/Dn) 0 10 0 --- --- 1 10 10 2 10 30 3 10 60 Practice Question People living in Boston are hospitalized about 1.5 times as often as those living in New Haven, However, the health outcomes of patients in these 2 cities appear to be identical. Does this mean that hospital care has no ability to improve health? health outcomes hospitalizations Substitutability in Production of Medical Care There may be more than one way to produce a given level of health care. Licenced practical nurses (LPNs) vs Registered Nurses (RNs) in hospitals. LPNs have less training. Maybe not as productive, but not as costly. Physician assistants vs physicians at ambulatory clinics. But physician assistants can’t prescribe meds in most states. Substitutability in Production of Medical Care (cont.) Potential for substitutability If price of 1 input increases, can minimize impact on total costs by substituting away. Elasticity of substitution : r = [D(I1/I2)/I1/I2] : [D(MP2/MP1)/MP2/MP1] % change in input ratio, divided by % change in ratio of inputs’ MPs. r=0 r= 8 no substitutability. perfect substitutability. Production Function for Hospital Admissions Jensen and Morrisey (1986) Sample : 3,450 non-teaching hospitals in 1983. q = hospital admissions inputs : physicians, nurses, other staff, hospital beds. q = a0 + a1physicians + a2nurses + …. + e Coefficients in regression are MPs. Results Annual Marginal Products for Admissions Input Physicians Nurses Other Staff Beds MP (at the means) 6.05 20.30 6.97 3.04 Each additional physician generated 6.05 more admits per year. Nurses by far the most productive Results (cont.) Elasticity of Substitution between Inputs s Input pair Physicians with nurses Physicians with beds Nurses with beds 0.547 0.175 0.124 Each inputs is a substitute for other in production process. If wages of nurses rise, can substitute away by having more hospital beds. 8 Ex. for when s = Medical Care Cost Accounting Costs Explicit costs of doing business. e.g. staff payroll, utility bills, medical supply costs. Necessary for : Comparing performance evaluation across providers/depts. Taxes Government reimbursement/rate setting Medical Care Cost (cost.) Economic Costs = Accounting Costs i.e. opportunity costs. e.g. opportunity cost of a facility being used as an outpatient clinic = rent it could earn otherwise. Necessary for : optimal business planning. allows one to consider highest returns to assets anywhere, not just vs. direct competitors, or w/in health care industry. Recall Given a production function : q = f (n,k) q = hospital services n = labor = nurse = n k = capital = medical equipment, hospital building Short-Run Total Cost STC( q ) = w n + r k* w = wage rate for nurses short run k fixed r = rental price of capital w n = variable cost r k = fixed cost . cost STC STC wn rk q0 hospital service Short-Run Total Cost (cont.) STC( q ) = w n + r k* • In the short run, k is fixed. rk* is the same, regardless of the amount of hospital services (q) produced. •As q rises, increases in STC are only due to increases in the number of nurses needed (n). Short-Run Total Cost (cont.) Recall : Production function initially exhibits IRTS Total costs rise at decreasing rate up to q0 cost STC STC wn rk q0 After q0, DTRS in production increasing rate hospital service costs rise at Marginal and Average Costs DSTC SMC = Dq = D(wn + rk*)/Dq = w(Dn/Dq) = w(1/MPn) = w/MPn The short run marginal cost of nurses depends on their marginal productivity. Marginal and Average Costs (cont). STVC SAVC = q = (wn)/q = w(1/APn) = w/APn The short average variable cost of nurses depends on their average productivity. Graphing Marginal and Average Costs SMC Costs SMC0 SATC SAVC SATC0 SAVC0 0 q0 q Graphing Marginal and Average Costs SATC and SAVC are u-shaped curves. Increasing returns to scale followed by decreasing returns to scale. SMC passes through the minimum of both SATC and SAVC. If marginal cost is greater than average cost, then the cost of one additional unit of output must cause the average to rise. Relating Product and Cost Curves MPn Cost SMC APn SAVC APn MPn 0 n1 n3 n q1 q3 q Average and Marginal Co (cont.) IRTS followed by DRTS in production leads to U shaped AC curve. Hospital doesn’t necessarily produce at q* (min. cost). Depends on hospital’s objectives. Even so, will attempt to stay on the cost curve (not above it). Determinants of Short-run Costs (cont.) 5 different measures of q ER care medical/surgical care pediatric care maternity care other inpatient care Cowing and Holtmann 1981 inputs nursing labor auxiliary labor professional labor administrative labor general labor materials and supplies Findings Found short run economies of scale Hospitals operate to left of min. on AVC curve. i.e Larger hospitals producing at lower costs than smaller hospitals. Best way to reduce aggregate hospital costs? Reduce # of hospital beds by a fixed % in all hospitals. Close the smallest hospitals in each region. Findings (cont.) Definition : Economies of scope Cost of producing 2 outputs < sum of cost of production 2 goods separately. Found Diseconomies of scope with respect to ER and other services. Larger ER’s may bring in more complex mix of patients to the hospital. OR Larger ER’s generate operating challenges for other services (e.g. communication, staffing scheduling). Cost-minimizing input choice Example - Health care providers’ choice of nursing staff mix. RN’s care for 6 patients per hour; hourly wage = $20 LPN’s care for 4 patients per hour; hourly wage = $10 TC(q0)=20RN + 10LPN If a hospital needs to hire nurses to care for growing patient volume, which should be hired? Cost Minimizing Input Choice Costs are minimized when: MPRN MPLPN wRN = wLPN Suppose that instead: MPLPN MPRN < w wRN LPN Then the last dollar spent on an LPN generates more output than the last dollar spent on a registered nurse. Are physicians “costly” to hospitals? Physicians bill insurers or their patients for care. In most cases, physician not paid a wage by a hospital. However, physicians generate other hospital costs. Review and process physician’s application. Monitor physician’s performance. Examining rooms and other supplies. MPdoc wdoc MPn wn Are physicians “costly” to hospitals? (cont.) Can solve for “shadow price” of doctors, if other variables known. wdoc = $7,012 per year. Does Higher Quality Higher Costs? Reducing costs without sacrificing quality. Improved production line. bedside access to computerized treatment guidelines. computerized patient charts. Motivated work force. involving nurses in case management reimburse physicians based on performance evaluations Does Higher Quality Higher Costs? “ In an increasingly competitive environment, hospitals must take a critical look at their product lines… Many institutions must decide between eliminating or investing in unprofitable product lines” Juran Report e.g. Hospital may have unprofitable, high quality heart surgery, but kidney surgery may be losing $, lower quality. Business opportunities in costs Companies which can synthesize complex data to improve quality and restrain cost will survive. Express Scripts Pharmacy Benefit Manager (PBM) Manages prescription claims on behalf of HMO’s, insurance companies, unions, etc. Obtains drug cost savings through drug utilization review, generic substitution, mail-order pharmacy, volume discounts from retail pharmacy. Business opportunities in costs Express ScriptsPractice Pattern Science (PPS) An information service company. Offers practice variation analysis and disease management support service linking healthcare data from all points of care. Complements PBM services Be a leader in the development of disease management, provider profiling and outcomes assessment technologies. Business opportunities in costs Express ScriptsPractice Pattern Science (PPS) (cont.) Diagnostic ClusterSM Methodology : links to a “global” pattern treatment through its patient treatment episodes (PTETM) Provider Profiling : reduce providers practice pattern variation Diseases Management Support Service : Gatekeeper of patient case mix. Scorekeeper for patterns of treatment. Pharmaceutical Information : Benchmark prescription drug patterns Track the composition of prescription drugs Report the mean and median global treatment cost Business opportunities in costs (cont.) Practice Pattern Science (PPS) subsidiary. Computerized patient profile database. Bars claims if potential dangerous interactions identified. Identifies people over-utilizing drugs by visiting multiple doctors. Long Run Costs of Production In the long run, all inputs are variable. k is no longer fixed. e.g. A hospital can build a new facility or add extra floors to increase bedsize in the long run. If all inputs are variable, what does the long run average cost curve look like? The Long Run Average Cost Curve Average Cost of Hospital Services LATC q0 q1 q2 # of patients Long Run Costs of Production Just like the short run cost curve, the long run cost curve for a firm is also ushaped. However, the short run cost curve is due to IRTS, then DRTS relative to a fixed input. e.g. In the short run, the only way to increase the number of patients treated was to hire more nurses; but the # of beds (k) was fixed. But in the long run, there are no fixed inputs. Long Run Costs of Production The u-shaped long run average cost curve is due to economies of scale and diseconomies of scale. Economies of scale Average cost per unit of output falls as the firm increases output. Due to specialization of labor and capital. Long Run Costs of Production Example of specialization and the resulting economies of scale. A large hospital can purchase a sophisticated computer system to manage its inpatient pharmaceutical needs. Although the total cost of this system is more than a small hospital could afford, these costs can be spread over a larger number of patients. The average cost per patient of dispensing drugs can be lower for the larger facility. Long Run Costs of Production Economies of scale arise due to specialization of labor and/or capital. That is, the long run relationship between average costs and output reflects the nature of the production process. This is why economies of scale (in costs) are can also be referred to as increasing returns to scale (in production). Long Run Costs of Production Increasing returns to scale An increase in all inputs results in a more than proportionate increase in output. e.g. If a hospital doubles its number of nurses and beds, it may be able to triple the number of patients it cares for. However, most economists believe that economies of scale are exhausted, and diseconomies of scale set in at some point. Long Run Costs of Production Diseconomies of scale arise when a firm becomes too large. e.g. bureaucratic red tape, or breakdown in communication flows. At this point, the average cost per unit of output rises, and the LATC takes on an upward slope. Diseconomies of scale (in costs) imply decreasing returns to scale in production. The Long Run Average Cost Curve Average Cost of Hospital Services LATC q0 q1 q2 # of patients Economies of scale Diseconomies of scale Long Run Costs of Production Decreasing returns to scale An increase in all inputs results in a less than proportionate increase in output. e.g. Doubling the number of patients cared for in a hospital may require 3 times as many beds and nurses. In some cases, the production process exhibits constant returns to scale. A doubling output. of inputs results in a doubling of The Long Run Average Cost Curve under Constant Returns to Scale Average Cost of Hospital Services # of patients Long Run Costs of Production Like the short run cost curve, a number of factors can cause the short run cost curve to shift up or down. Input prices. Quality. Patient casemix. e.g. If the hourly wage of nurses increases, the average cost of caring for each patient will also rise. The average cost curve will shift _____ Long Run Costs of Production Empirical evidence on HMOs and costs. See handout. Computing Profits Recall that the total costs of production for a firm are: TC(q) = wn + rk Sum of each input price times the # of inputs used. We can express total revenues derived from producing and selling a given level of output (q) as: TR(q) = output price x q Computing Profits (cont.) Thus, we can express profits for the firm as: (q) = TR(q) – TC(q) = Profits TR = Total revenue TC = Total costs We assume that firms choose a level of output (q) to maximize profits. Computing Profits (cont.) Assume that as output increases, total revenue rises at a diminishing rate. Also, recall the shape of short run total cost curve derived previously. Then we can graph the total revenue curve and the total cost curve, and use them to visualize profits. Profits will be the vertical distance between total revenues and total costs at any given quantity of output. Graphing Profits Total dollars TR0 TC0 (q0) = TR0 – TC0 TC q0 TR Quantity of output (q) Graphing Profits Total dollars TC TR Quantity of output (q) At what output level(s) does the firm make profits equal to 0? At what output levels could the firm make negative profits ? Graphing Profits Total dollars TR0 TC0 TC q0 TR Quantity of output (q) Notice that I have plotted q0 where the TR curve is above the TC curve, and the 2 curves are the furthest apart (in vertical distance). Computing Profits (cont.) I have plotted q0 at the point where the firm maximizes profits. At this point the difference between total revenues and total costs is the greatest, and TR>TC. Note that this is also the point where the slopes of the TR curve and the TC curve are equal. Computing Profits (cont.) Recall that the slope of the total cost curve represents marginal costs. MC = DTC/ Dq The slope of the total revenue curve represents marginal revenue. MR = DTR/ Dq A firm maximizes profits where: MR=MC Computing Profits (cont.) A firm maximizes profits where MR=MC. Why? Suppose the firm was instead producing at a point where MR>MC. Then additional units of output would generate more marginal revenues than marginal costs, and profits could be higher. Suppose the firm was instead producing at a point where MC>MR. Then the last unit of output generates economic losses. Graphing Profits Total dollars TC MC>MR MR>MC TR q1 q2 Quantity of output (q) At q1, the firm should raise output to increase profits. At q2, the firm should lower output to increase profits.