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Weather Forecasts Weather Dynamics Unit Science 10 Mrs. S. Pipke-Painchaud Weather Forecasts How do we predict the weather now? technology (satellite, radar, computers, etc) How did people predict weather in the past? daily observations (looking for repeating patterns (Nelson Science 10 543) Meteorology: Meteorologist: “the study of the atmosphere and weather forecasting” (NS10 543) People who study weather and work in this field. Meteor (Greek) high in the air North American Weather Systems Equator: North Pole: Humid and hot, cloudy with sunshine Cold and dry Mid-Latitudes are harder to predict Weather System: “a set of temperature, wind, pressure, and moisture conditions for a certain region that moves as a unit for a period of days” (NS10 546). Mid-Latitude areas: air masses move west to east (mid-latitude westerly winds) NS10 546 Air Masses “a large body of air in which the temperature and moisture content at a specific altitude are fairly uniform” (NS10 546). 100-1000kms across Form where air is relatively stable for days or weeks. i.e. Cold polar air from the north is dry and cold because little evaporation occurs in the atmosphere (sun’s rays are at a low angle) i.e Warm air from the ocean brings moisture and precipitation. Air masses mix via convection and prevailing winds. Cold air moves south Warm air moves north NS10 546 Low-Pressure Systems Cloudy skies, stormy weather (cyclone counterclockwise) Refer to page 547 for the stages of a storm http://nsidc.org/arcticmet/factors/pre ssure.html http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:L ow_pressure_system_over_Iceland Stationary Front When the boundary between a cold and warm front remains stable for a period of time = stable weather until the air begins to move NS10 548 High Pressure Systems Anticyclone – high pressure system (clockwise) Clear skies During the Canadian winter, we experience cold high pressure systems. The high atm pressure near the surface occurs as a result of cold, dry, descending arctic air. Dry air generally brings clear skies. (NS10 548) Air Pressure Demo Crushing a pop can: http://www.wfu.edu/physics/demolabs/demos/avimov/byalpha/cdvideos.html Explaining the principles behind it: Directions: http://www.wfu.edu/physics/demolabs/demos/avimov/byalpha/abvideos.html Floating Ping Pong Ball Demo: http://www.wfu.edu/physics/demolabs/demos/avimov/byalpha/efvideos.html Video: Ping Pong Ball in the Funnel: http://www.wfu.edu/physics/demolabs/demos/avimov/byalpha/opvideos.html Audio of Ping pong ball in a funnel: http://www.cmste.uregina.ca/Quickstarts/popcancrushing.html Air Pressure and Paper demo: http://littleshop.physics.colostate.edu/Videos/Pressure/pressure%20can/pressurecan.ht ml http://amos.indiana.edu/library/scripts/pingpong.html Atmospheric Pressure Demo Instructions: Read info on large railway tanker car. http://www.delta.edu/slime/cancrush.html Regional Weather Influence globally by: Ocean currents Prevailing winds Conditions that affect weather in a localized area. i.e. shore of a lake Beside a mountain range Thermals An updraft ~ local convection current Sun’s energy heats the ground, the warm ground heats the air above it, warm less dense air rises. The air that moves upward leaves a space for cooler less dense air to move in at the base. i.e. a local convection current i.e. when you see birds of prey soaring around high in the air they are catching rides on thermal updrafts NS10 553 Sea Breezes A thermal formed near an ocean or lake. Land heats and cools faster than water. Warm air near land moves out over the cool water and the cool air over the water moves in over the land (local convection current). i.e. cooler near the lake in the summer i.e. rain near the lake in the winter Land Breeze: A thermal flowing from land to water Occurs in the evening (water is warm so air rises and is replaced by the cooler air from the land). Weak breezes NS10 554 Lake – Effect Snow Air moves across a warm lake in the winter and picks up moisture. When it reaches the cool land on the other side it snows. Cities on the leeward or downwind side of the lake will receive more snow. NS10 554 Chinook Winds Occurs east of the rocky mountains Warm, dry wind Wind on the west side of the mountains undergoes orographic lifting, which causes the water vapour to condense = precipitation. Condensation = energy release = warm air Air on the east side of the mountains is dry, but warm = increase in local temperatures. “on January 6, 1966, chinook winds raised the temperature in parts of Alberta by 21 Celsius degrees in only 4 minutes” (NS10 554). NS10 555 Humidity “a measure of the amount of water vapour in the atmosphere. . . (also called absolute humidity)” (NS10 558). Relative Humidity: “a measure of the amount of water vapour actually in the air as a percentage of the maximum amount of water vapour the air could hold at that temperature” (NS10 558). Saturated Air: Relative humidity = 100% Air is holding the max mass of water vapour Clouds or fog form Precipitation occurs Dew Forms when at a 100% relative humidity Dew Point: temp at which dew forms i.e. condensation occurs when vapour from the air comes into contact with a surface temperature at or below the dew point. The outside of a glass, the mirror in the bathroom, etc. NS10 559 Effects of Humidity Formation of dew Sweat: Evaporation of water from your body = cools the body High humidity = slower evaporation = you feel warmer Cold temperature contain less water vapour therefore, home, school or office air has less humidity and feels dry. What technology do people use to add humidity to the air? Humidifier (NS10 560) Sources Nelson Science 10 Textbook Chapter 14