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Simple Sample Spaces…Tree Diagrams Example Outcome – a particular result of an experiment Sample Points – Individual outcomes of the sample space. Event – any subset of the sample space. Sample Space: The set of all possible outcomes. Outcomes cannot overlap. All outcomes must be represented. Can find by: 1. A List 2. A Tree Diagram 3. Lattice Grid Example…… List the sample space for drawing one card from a deck of cards. Answer. 52 Outcomes Clubs: 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, J, Q, K, A Diamonds: 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, J, Q, K, A Hearts: 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, J, Q, K, A Spades: 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, J, Q, K, A Find the sample space for rolling 2 dice. Die 2 Die 1 Example…… Find the sample space for the gender of children if a family has 3 children. See if you can list all of the possibilities. 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 1,1 1,2 1,3 1,4 1,5 1,6 2 2,1 2,2 2,3 2,4 2,5 2,6 3 3,1 3,2 3,3 3,4 3,5 3,6 4 4,1 4,2 4,3 4,4 4,5 4,6 5 5,1 5,2 5,3 5,4 5,5 5,6 6 6,1 6,2 6,3 6,4 6,5 6,6 Answer…… BBB,BBG,BGB,GBB,GGG,GGB,GBG,BGG 8 Outcomes 1 Tree Diagrams…… Tree Diagram – a device used to list all possibilities in a systematic way. Tree Diagram of 3 Children Gender B B G B B G Each branch lists the choices. G Start B B Let’s do a tree diagram of the previous example with the gender of 3 children. Remember, we had 8 outcomes. Example…… Display the sample space using a tree diagram if a coin is tossed and a die is rolled. G G B G G Coin Tossed & Die Rolled - 12 Outcomes: H1,H2,H3,H4,H5,H6,T1,T2,T3,T4,T5,T6 H 1 2 3 4 5 6 Start T You Try…… Draw a tree diagram if you toss one coin and spin a 4 section spinner. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Answer……8 Outcomes: H1,H2,H3,H4,T1,T2,T3,T4 1 2 H 3 4 1 Start 2 3 T 4 2 Example…… A lunch menu has a choice of the following (one from each category) Meat: Hamburger, Hot Dog, Chicken Starch: French Fries, Baked Potato Drink: Coke, Tea List all of the possible combinations. Answer……12 Outcomes Coke FF Tea Hamburger Coke BP Tea Coke FF Tea Hot Dog Coke BP Tea Coke FF Tea Chicken Coke BP Tea Example…… Sue and Tom play in a tournament. The 1st person to win 2 out of 3 games is the winner. Find all the possible outcomes. Answer……6 Outcomes Game Over Sue Sue Sue Tom Tom Sue Sue Tom Tom Tom Game Over Independent Event…… Multiplication Rule… Section 4.3 Two events A and B are independent events if the fact that A occurs does NOT affect the probability of B occurring. Example: a. Roll a die and get a 6; then roll a 2nd die and get a 3. b. Draw a queen from a deck of cards, replace it and draw another queen. 3 Identify the following as independent or dependent events…… 1. Being a female and having brown hair 1. Independent 2. Completing the homework and getting a 100 for a HW grade 2. Dependent Example…… Find the number of items in the sample space of a license plate containing 3 letters and 3 numbers (digits) that can be repeated. Example…… Find the number of items in the sample space of a license plate containing 3 letters and 3 numbers (digits) that can NOT be repeated. Multiplication Rule…… When 2 events are independent, multiply the # of possibilities in each category to get the total # of possibilities. Answer…… 26 ⋅ 26 ⋅ 26 ⋅ 10 ⋅ 10 ⋅ 10 = 17,576,000 Answer….. 26 ⋅ 25 ⋅ 24 ⋅10 ⋅ 9 ⋅ 8 = 11232000 4 Example…… Answer……24 How many ways can a nurse visit 4 places. 4 ⋅ 3 ⋅ 2 ⋅1 = 24 Example…… Find the number of items in the sample space of a 5 digit I.D. tag if the numbers a. Can be repeated Answer……. Can Be Repeated: 10 ⋅10 ⋅10 ⋅10 ⋅10 = 100000 b. Can NOT be repeated. Answer…… Can NOT be repeated: Example…… How many ways can someone read 5 books? 10 ⋅ 9 ⋅ 8 ⋅ 7 ⋅ 6 = 30240 5 Answer…… Example…… How many outcomes are in the sample space if a person selects 3 items from a jar with 6 items A. With Replacement B. Without Replacement 5 ⋅ 4 ⋅ 3 ⋅ 2 ⋅1 = 120 Answer….. With Replacement: 6 ⋅ 6 ⋅ 6 = 216 Answer…… Without Replacement: 6 ⋅ 5 ⋅ 4 = 120 6