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Virus evolution Review Zhao (2007) Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 362: 1063 -81 (on VITAL) SARS is caused by a coronavirus Infected individuals can be recognised and isolated before they became infectious SCoV phylogeny Beijing Guangdong Hong Kong Singapore Canada Hong Kong SCoV epidemiology SARS epidemic Caused by coronavirus (SCoV). Animal to human transfer? SCoV structure SCoV phylogeny Guan et al (2003) Science 302:276-278 Palm civet …But 2005 study • • • • Li et al 2005 Science 310; 676-79 Farmed civets not widely infected If infected show overt signs Wider sampling showed bats infected with nearly identical virus to SARS. • Greater genetic diversity of this virus in bats supports bats as natural reservoir SARS epidemiology & molecular phylogeny Science 303: 1666 - 1669 DOI: 10.1126/science.1092002 SARS epidemiology & molecular phylogeny SARS epidemiology & molecular phylogeny SARS spread Hong Kong Late Singapore Science (2004) 303: 1666-69 Middle Guangdong Early dN vs. dS DNA CCA CCG CGA protein Pro Pro Arg ancestral synonymous nonsubstitution synonymous substitution dN vs. dS • No selection dN = dS • Purifying selection dN < dS • Positive selection dN > dS (dN, non-synonymous substitution; dS, synonymous substitution) Adaptive evolution during SARS epidemic? Synonymous substitutions accumulate fairly constantly over time Adaptive evolution during SARS epidemic? Proteins Epidemic dN/dS (± s.e.) phase early 1.248 (± 0.081) middle 0.410 (± Spike 0.087) late 0.219 (± 0.043) early 0.562 (± 0.145) middle 0.315 (± Orf1b 0.108) late 0.344 (± 0.048) H1 P-value early > middle 2.3 x 10-7 middle > late 0.034 early > late 0.091 Middle phase Spike protein (SBJ01) made progressively more ‘civet-like’ (from Zhao review) http://pathogenomics.bham.ac.uk/blog/ MERS-CoV Source, BBC News website http://www.hpa.org.uk/webw/HPAweb&H PAwebStandard/HPAweb_C/13171362464 79 accessed 22/2/13 avma.org