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stxb201409051755 Spatio-temporal distribution pattern of vegetation coverage in Junggar Basin, Xinjiang Cheng Duan1, Ling Wu1*, Lingyun He2, Shaoming Wang1 (1.College of Life Science, Shihezi University, Shihezi 832003, Xinjiang, China; 2. College of Sciences, Shihezi University, Shihezi 832003, Xinjiang, China) Abstract: Vegetation coverage is an indicator used for exploring the growth of vegetation, which has attracted attention from ecologists owing to its significant role in ecological conservation and restoration. As an important component of the terrestrial ecosystem, changes in vegetation coverage reflect changes in the environment, especially with respect to arid areas. A change of vegetation coverage will trigger desertification, degradation of the eco-environment, and regional climate change. Hence, we studied the spatio-temporal distribution pattern of vegetation coverage and ephemerals in the Junggar basin during the last few decades based on Normalized Difference Vegetation Index. The following conclusions were drawn. The vegetation coverage of the basin shows an overall upward trend, mainly because of the expansion of farmland. In particular, the southern rim has already formed an apparent continuous oasis belt, and the central part of the basin has low vegetation coverage due to a rugged environment but is relatively stable, whereas the northern part has a relatively small oasis distribution pattern. With respect to annual variation, the vegetation coverage of the basin reached the peak in July of every year, whereas the peak in the desert was in May or June; ephemeral plants clearly flourished during this phase. Ephemeral plants were distributed in the whole basin; the most prosperous region was the southern of the basin edge, and the plants decreased gradually from the edge to the center of the basin. The desert area of the central basin was the least prosperous area, but the southern and mid-eastern parts of the desert were prosperous. The expansion of the oasis has mainly had an impact on the 50-km range of the oasis edge, and the greatest impact is at the 5- to 20-km range of the oasis edge. Key words: vegetation coverage; spatio-temporal distribution; cropland expansion; ephemerals; Junggar Basin 1. Introduction With the intensifying trend of global change in recent decades, vegetation has attracted attention from ecologists owing to its significant role in ecological conservation and restoration and impact on climate change [1]. As an important component of the terrestrial ecosystem, vegetation has played a crucial role in material cycle and energy flow between atmosphere and terrestrial ecosystem via a series of complex biogeochemistry and geophysical processes [2,3]. As an index, vegetation coverage can reflect the status of vegetation growth, and its changes also with a series of complex ecological processes. Especially in arid areas, where changes in vegetation not only mirror evolvement of ecological environment, but also can trigger desertification [4], regional climate change [5], and environmental degradation [6]. For the investigation of vegetation coverage, traditional field study has been impossibly satisfied quantitative study at a large scale. In recent decades, with the popularization of remote sensing, it has been a convenient means using remote sensing data to monitor and analyze vegetation coverage [7]. Currently, most of the researches using remote sensing data to monitor changes of *Corresponding author. College of Life Science, Shihezi University, Shihezi 832003, Xinjiang, China E-mail address:lingw@shzu.edu.cn(L.Wu) vegetation coverage were based on normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) to estimate and analyze [8,9]. Junggar Basin is an economically important agricultural region in Xinjiang, so the use of remote sensing to monitor spatio-temporal changes in vegetation coverage at a macro-scale has an important meaning for the sustainable development of the economy and eco-environment. Hence, in this paper, using NDVI from 2000 to 2013 to analyze spatio-temporal distribution pattern of vegetation coverage and ephemerals in Junggar Basin of Xinjiang, our objectives were to provide some scientific basis for the protection and restoration of regional eco-environment. 2. Study area and methods 2.1 Study area Junggar Basin is located in the northern Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region of China. It is the second largest interior basin in China and is a representative area in the arid zone. It was found between the Tianshan Mountains and Altai Mountains, forming an irregular triangle, and its terrain tilts to the west. The southern edge of the basin is mainly oasis, and the vast Gurbantunggut Sandy Desert is distributed in the central part of the basin. The area has a typical temperate arid climate, with a low rate of annual rainfall and substantial evaporation, the winter and spring precipitation accounted for 30%-40% of the total annual precipitation. The soil is mainly desert lime soil and brown soil, with a low organic matter. According to the 1:4,000,000 administrative map of China, topography map of Xinjiang, and descriptions of structure of Junggar Basin [10], we ascertain the scope of study area is a irregular triangle, with a 910 km east-west long and 426 km north-south wide. 2.2 Data sources and preprocessing The data used in the study is MOD13Q1(https://lpdaac.usgs.gov/) data provided by the Land Processes Distributed Active Archive Center(LP DAAC) of NASA, at a spatial resolution of 250m with a 16-day time interval from 2000 to 2013. The dataset considered effects such as atmospheric calibration and geometric corrections. For data preprocessing, the MODIS Reprojection Tool (MRT) provided by NASA was used to transform the format (HDF to TIFF) and projection (from Sinusoidal projection to Geographic Lat/Lon, WGS1984). The original DN values were transformed to NDVI. We also manipulated (prepossessed) the MOD13Q1 data subset via regions of interest (ROIs, vector border of study area) based on ENVI4.8 version software. Finally, the NDVI data was analyzed to determine the correlation between interannual trends and variances from 2000 to 2013. Furthermore, we used Maximum value composite (MVC) model to obtain the highest value for each pixel of 23 images during a year, and binary pixel model to estimate vegetation cover based on NDVI [11]. 3. Results and analysis 3.1 Spatio-temporal distribution pattern of vegetation coverage in Junggar Basin We preprocessed the MOD13Q1-NDVI data from the 2000 to 2013, and then estimated the vegetation cover of images based on the binary pixel model and MVC. According to the cumulative percentage of vegetation cover, we applied the decision tree method to classify the study region into the five threshold value ranges (0-0.09, 0.09-0.13, 0.13-0.2, 0.2-0.56, >0.56), which showed the distribution of vegetation cover for 2000 and 2013 in the Junggar Basin (Fig. 1). 90° E 84° E 86° E 88° E 90° E 84° E 86° E 88° E 90° E 84° E 86° E 88° E 90° E (2000) 46° N 44° N 46° N 46° N 44° N 44° N 44° N 46° N 48° N 88° E 48° N 48° N 86° E 48° N 84° E (2013) Fig. 1 Vegetation coverage in Junggar Basin classification figure. Classification of vegetation cover: 0-0.09 represents fixed desert with almost no vegetation; 0.09-0.13: fixed desert with little or sparse vegetation; 0.13-0.2: semi-fixed desert with low vegetation cover; 0.2-0.56: region with medium vegetation cover; >0.56: region with high vegetation cover, such as forests, grassland, and artificial oases. It can be seen from Fig.1, the highest vegetation coverage area of the basin was in the south and north, followed by the eastern region, with the midwest showing the lowest cover area. The highest cover area in the basin was in the south, which was due to the artificial oases distributed in the agricultural areas and the northern Tianshan Mountains from east to west, which are an important agricultural zone in Xinjiang. The western artificial oases distributed along the Manas River basin. In addition, we found that artificial oases area obviously expanded to the central desert from 2000 to 2013. In 2000, the highest cover area mainly distributed along the national road and Manas River basin, with a zonal distribution, while in 2013, artificial oases in Manas River basin has been increased obviously into a patchy distribution, especially expansion of artificial oases in Karamay. According to data statistics, artificial oases in Xinjiang increased from 13,000 km2 in 1953 to 61,900 in 2000(about 5 times increase). During the research period, red region in vegetation coverage classification figure increased gradually, which may be related to the reclamation of new cropland. Since 1998, with the popularization of drip irrigation, as well as the increased price of cotton and policy-induced economy, farmers in Manas River basin have planted large amounts of cash crops to increase economic returns [12]. Qin et al [13] studied spatio-temporal changes in cropland in northern China, and showed that significant cropland expansion occurred in Xinjiang from 2000 to 2010. Moreover, we found that the other classes were not fixed, with no distribution pattern being apparent. In particular, the 0.2-0.56 and 0.13-0.2 classes in the central desert increased obviously from 2000 to 2013, it illustrated that natural vegetation in the central desert increased during this period, which was likely due to the increase of precipitation or ecological conservation, and it is hard to make this conclusion only according to images. 3.2 The inter-annual variability of vegetation coverage The highest cover area of the basin mainly distributed in artificial oases area, changes of vegetation cover in artificial oases area were mainly affected by the human activities, while changes of natural vegetation in the basin were mainly related to climate change. Hence, according to observational data of rainfall provided by National Meteorological Information Center of China, we counted the average annual precipitation of six meteorological stations (including Urumchi, Hebukesaier, Karamay, Jinghe, Wulanwusu, Qitai) in study area (Fig.2b). For the inter-annual variability of vegetation coverage, we take two cases into consideration, firstly, the inter-annual variability of vegetation coverage in basin, secondly, the inter-annual variability of natural vegetation in basin after excluding cropland area. The results are as shown in Fig.2a. Fig. 2 (a) Change curve of vegetation in Junggar Basin from 2000 to 2013.(b) Precipitation in Junggar Basin from 2000 to 2013. As shown in Fig.2(a), the change trend of two cases were same, the inter-annual variation generally presented an upward trend, the increased trend were coincident with the results Li et al. [14]studied in 2010. According to results we analyzed above, the reason why the inter-annual variation presented an increased trend was that expansion of cropland in desert area. The increased trend also can be seen from images, pixels above 0.56 made up 8.87% of the total area of the basin in 2000, Which increased to about 12% by 2013(a 1.35 times increase). Moreover, natural vegetation coverage also presented an upward trend, it indicated that natural vegetation coverage had increased during research period, which may be related to increase of rainfall and ecological conservation in recent decades. According to result in Fig.2(b), precipitation showed a slight increased trend during study period, with study confirming that precipitation in northern Xinjiang has increased in recent decades[15]. In arid area, change in precipitation has a great impact on growth of natural vegetation, especially for vegetation in desert, which was highly sensitive to rainfall, increase in precipitation was beneficial to increase of vegetation coverage. 3.3 The annual variance of vegetation coverage For the annual variance of vegetation coverage, we analyzed average NDVI value of a 16-day time interval in different years. According to results, we found that change trend were basically same in different years, the change characteristics of NDVI accorded with climate change during the four seasons in Xinjiang. Since the spring, the NDVI had a gradual increased trend and increased to top point in summer, then had a gradual decreased trend in autumn, finally, decreased to lowest point in winter. However, we wondered that whether the change characteristics of different areas in basin were same or not? Therefore, we analyzed average NDVI value in the central desert area, after eliminating the northern and southern artificial oasis regions and the interference of low-value eastern and western regions in the central desert region, with a 200 km east-west long and 150 km north-south wide rectangle in the center. Finally, we analyzed average NDVI value in the basin and in the central desert area. Fig. 3 NDVI average from April to July in Junggar Basin According to results in Fig.3, we found that average NDVI value in the basin increased to top point in July or August, and then had a gradual decreased trend. However, in the central desert region, NDVI value presented a fast increased trend in March and April, even faster than in the basin, while during this period, most vegetation (including cropland) in the basin did not start to growth, NDVI value increased to top point at the end of May, decreased suddenly at followed 16 days, then began to increase to a stable level. The change characteristics of vegetation in desert region, which may related to growth of ephemerals in desert area. In spring, ephemerals began to germinate rapidly using snowmelt, with the vegetation index increased to top point at May, and then with the death of ephemerals, the vegetation index reduced, in June, with growth of other plants in the desert, the vegetation index increased to a stable level. In May, most of vegetation in the desert has just started to grow, the max NDVI value was related to contribution of ephemerals. In April and May, the basin has a strong windy and dusty period, while ephemerals appeared a bloom phase during this period, which has a important meaning for wind prevention and sand fixation [16]. 3.4 Spatio-temporal distribution pattern of ephemerals in Junggar Basin Ephemerals has a crucial meaning for eco-environment and sand fixation in Gurbantünggüt Desert. According to results analyzed, at end of May or beginning of June, there was an image showed high NDVI, and then decreased after 16 days, which may be related to short life cycle of ephemerals. If we use high value image to subtract low value image, then area show high value in the image can regard as area of high vegetation coverage of ephemerals. Consequently, we used high value image at end of May to subtract low value image, after that, we found that some high value areas were the same in different years, but some were not, it indicated that spatio-temporal distribution pattern of ephemerals was not constant, which was related to precipitation and temperature[17]. Of course, there may be noise and error in images caused the change, excluding the noise and error, we added together images in different years and 88° E 90° E 84° E 86° E 88° E 90° E 48° N 86° E 44° N 44° N 46° N 84° E 46° N 48° N divided by total years (14), then obtained average value of images, the distribution of high value areas in the images were the same with many of years, as shown in Fig.4. Fig. 4 The subtract and add diagram of high value and low value images from 2000 to 2013 As shown in Fig.4, the red areas in the image were negative value areas, which were cropland and water body, distributed along northern of Tianshan Mountain, Ebinur Lake and Fuhai. The yellow areas mainly distributed in the central desert, the other colors represented the positive value areas, which NDVI value reflected the coverage of ephemerals. With respect to distribution of ephemerals, ephemeral plants were distributed in the whole basin; the most prosperous region was the southern of the basin edge, and the plants decreased gradually from the edge to the center of the basin. The desert area of the central basin was the least prosperous area, but the southern and mid-eastern parts of the desert were prosperous, which was consisted with field study of previous research [18]. With the advent of mechanized agriculture, technological innovations, and market-oriented economic modernization, expansion of the artificial oasis has caused fragmentation of the vegetation, which made the distribution of ephemerals reduced. 3.5 Impact of artificial oases expansion on natural vegetation In recent decades, because of influence of human activities, a large number of natural vegetation landscapes around the desert had been destructed, which had caused a great impact on distribution of natural vegetation and eco-environment. Hence, we used buffer analysis to analyze the impact of artificial oasis expansion on natural vegetation. First, we extracted pixels of NDVI greater than 0.56 in the image as cropland area, then to made 0-5km, 5-10km, 10-20km, 20-50km, 50-100km buffer zones, which including the natural vegetation in the buffer zone and excluding cropland. Fig. 5 The NDVI average data of variety regions of the artificial oasis edge As shown in Fig. 5, the impact presented the same tendency in different years. The NDVI values gradually declined until the 20 km buffer zone, then increased and stabilized at the 50 km buffer zone, and finally converged at the 100 km buffer zone. Artificial oasis expansion mainly impacted the 50 km buffer zone range, with the greatest influence in the 10-20 km range and the least influence in the 0-5 km range. The vegetation in the buffer zone 0-5 km from the artificial oases mainly included Haloxylon ammodendron, H. persicum and shrubs, which grew well even when the groundwater level was 4-5 m under the land surface, so the influence of groundwater level on vegetation growth was insignificant [19]. However, plants in 10-20 km buffer zone mainly included ephemeral and ephemeroid plants with root systems only 0-30 cm under the land surface [20]. Due to the lack of surface runoff and deep groundwater, the growth of plants in this region relied on atmospheric precipitation, so the influence of groundwater level on vegetation growth was greatest. 4. Conclusion and discussion In conclusion, the following conclusions were drawn: (1). The vegetation coverage in the basin has a gradual increased trend from 2000 to 2013, in particular, the artificial oasis has been increased obviously into a patchy distribution in south of the basin, the central part of the basin has low vegetation coverage but is relatively stable, whereas the northern part has a relatively small oasis distribution pattern. (2). The inter-annual variation presented an upward trend from 2000 to 2013, which was due to expansion of artificial oasis in desert area. The natural vegetation also presents an increased trend, because of the increase of rainfall. With respect to annual variation, the vegetation coverage of the basin reached the peak in July of every year, whereas the peak in the desert was in May or June; ephemeral plants clearly flourished during this phase. (3). Ephemeral plants were distributed in the whole basin; the most prosperous region was the southern of the basin edge, and the plants decreased gradually from the edge to the center of the basin. The desert area of the central basin was the least prosperous area, but the southern and mid-eastern parts of the desert were prosperous. (4). The expansion of the oasis has mainly had an impact on the 50-km range of the oasis edge, and the greatest impact is at the 5- to 20-km range of the oasis edge. However, beyond the range of 50 km, the vegetation cover does not appear to be affected. This is because the expansion of cropland has uplifted the level of underground water; therefore, the vegetation of this region far away from the oasis is mainly affected by precipitation. Discussion: conclusion in this paper only analyzed based on remote sensing data, which may have noise and the trace of splicing in the images, and impact of NDVI itself (including soil background effect). Therefore, these impact factors may cause some errors in the results. Furthermore, the precipitation data used was sourced from only six meteorological stations, which did not reflect the practical situation of the whole basin, notably climate change in the central desert regions. More detailed and accurate data is required to analyze climatic impact. For spatio-temporal distribution of ephemerals in this paper, there are some errors in the images and we yet unable to estimate the impact of error. Hence, further effort is required to quantify the different factors mentioned above and combine with field study at a long time-scale to reduce uncertainties. Acknowledgements This work was funded by the National Youth Science Foundation of China (31300406) and Social Development of Scientific and Technological Research of Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps (2015AD023).We also thank the anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments. References [1] Fang J Y, Liu G H, Xu S L. Biomass and net production of forest vegetation in China. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 1996, 16(5): 498-508. [2] Zuo L J, Zhang Z X, Zhao X L, Wang X, Wu W B, Yi L, Liu F. Multitemporal analysis of cropland transition in a climate-sensitive area: a case study of the arid and semiarid region of northwest China. Regional Environmental Change, 2014, 14(1): 75-89. [3] Yao J, He X Y, Li X Y, Chen W, Tao D L. Monitoring responses of forest to climate variations by MODIS NDVI: a case study of Hun River upstream, northeastern China. European Journal of Forest Research, 2012, 131(3): 705-716. [4] Lakes T, Muller D, Krüger C. 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