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Environmental Effects on Radon Concentrations Beth Hall1, Leslie Stoecker1, Paul Francisco2, Stacy Gloss2, Yigang Sun2 1Midwestern Regional Climate Center, University of Illinois 2Indoor Climate Research & Training, University of Illinois Background • Indoor Radon (Rn) testing (practices, motivation) • “Conventional wisdom” of seasonal trends • Greater in winter • Inverse relationship - outdoor temperatures, Rn • Past research indicated strong in-ground Rn correlations to • Precipitation • Soil moisture • Air pressure Motivation 2 4 6 8 10 2013, 2014 study results – Contradiction to “conventional wisdom”? Time Hourly 1-week 4-day 2-week Motivation Combining different case periods – Contradiction to “conventional wisdom”? 30 Radon Concentration (pCi/L) 25 20 15 10 5 0 1 31 61 91 121 151 181 211 241 271 Day of the Year Indoor Rn from 3 different studies (2013, 2014, 2016) in Champaign County Possibly Seasonal Cycle? 301 331 Study Questions • Is indoor Rn concentrations seasonally different? • Does data support seasonal “conventional wisdom”? • What atmospheric and/or soil parameters influence Rn concentrations? • What are climate trends in those parameters? • Could findings be used to improve: • Contextual understanding of indoor Rn? • Timing of indoor Rn testing? • Future studies? Methodology • Analyze various atmospheric, soil parameters to indoor Rn concentrations • More sites • Some overlapping sites • Examine coincident and lag correlations • Examine proxy parameters if possible Indoor Rn Data • RADStar R5300 CRM • Living space and foundation (crawl space / basement) • Hourly sampling • 4 different study periods across Champaign County Indoor Rn Data • Winter 2013/2014 – 5 sites • Oct ‘13 – Jan ‘14 • Spring 2014 – 5 new sites • Apr ‘14 – July ‘14 • Summer 2014 – 5 new sites • Aug ‘14 – Nov ‘14 • Spring/Summer 2016 – 15 sites • • • • Apr ‘16 – Aug ‘16 2 from Winter 1 from Spring 1 from Summer Atmospheric / Soil Data • 4 data sources: Gridded and point datasets • Variable list: • • • • • • Temperature Air pressure Precip amts Wind speed, dir Specific Humidity Solar Radiation • Soil Moisture • 0-10 cm • 0-100 cm • 0-200 cm • 10-40cm • 40-100cm • Soil Temperature • 0-10cm • 10-40cm • 40-100cm • 100-200cm Results – Part 1 • Inconsistent correlations between sites • Strongest correlations (r) with NLDAS data: • SoilM (depths); give ranges of r2; show maps <make locations larger circles to avoid specific locations> • SoilT (depths) • Neither precipitation nor pressure showed strong correlations – contradicting past research in-ground Results – Part 1 Correlations (r) – Living space over Basement Results – Part 1 Correlations (r) – Living space over Crawl Space Results – Part 1 Correlations (r) – Basement Results – Part 1 Correlations (r) – Crawl Space Results – Part 1 • Inconsistent correlations between sites • Strongest correlations (r) with “in ground” parameters: • SoilM (varying depths) • SoilT (varying depths) • Weakest correlations (r) with “above ground” parameters: • • • • Winds Solar radiation Precipitation Air pressure • Some “above ground” good correlations: • Air temperature • Specific humidity Results – Part 1 Soil Moisture 100-200cm vs Living Space Over Basement Radon Correlations Results – Part 2 • Challenges with soilM: • Extremely variable across space, time (geology) • Not well modeled • Sparsely observed • Proxy for soilM? • Should be correlated to precipitation and evaporation • How are greater depths affected? • Keetch-Byrum Drought Index (KBDI) • Simple, daily drought index • Max temperature, precipitation Results – Part 2 Living Space over Crawl Space Results – Part 3 • Possible theories: • Underlying geology • Structural aspects of homes • Age of homes Results – Part 4 Seasonal climatology of soil moisture Seasonal climatology of KBDI Results – Part 4 “Possible” seasonal trends in Rn concentrations? Mar ‘16 – Aug ‘16 Oct ‘13 – Jan ‘14 May ‘14 – Jul ‘14 Aug ‘14 – Dec ‘14 Conclusions • Indoor Rn highly variable in space and time • “In-ground” variables (e.g., soilM, soilT) more often have stronger correlations than atmospheric • Many factors influence indoor Rn • Needs: • Test both inside and near outside home for assessing structural impact (house-shadow effect?) • Track windows open/closed • Understand spikes in Rn • Full annual cycle at sites • Examine temperature differences (indoorT– outdoorT) Acknowledgements Illinois Emergency Management Agency Patrick Daniels Thank you!