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EQUILIBRIUM EXISTENCE IN THE LINEAR MODEL: CONCAVE VERSUS CONVEX TRANSPORTATION COSTS. Hamid Hamoudi and Universidad Europea de Madrid María J. Moral Universidad de Vigo November, 2003. Abstract In this work we focus on the general quadratic transportation cost function in the linear model considering both the concave and the convex case. From earlier results in the literature it is clear that no pure-strategy price equilibrium exists for whatever firm locations with linearquadratic costs in the linear model. Therefore, our first objective is to calculate the feasible equilibrium region for a general linear-quadratic cost function, since there is no price equilibrium for the whole market. In order to do this, it is crucial to perform a change of variables that explicitly allows us to calculate, in an easier way, the necessary conditions to obtain the equilibrium regions. Finally, we compare the feasible regions equilibrium with both the concave and the convex cases and we find that the feasible region with convex costs is bigger than with concave costs. Keywords: Hotelling’s model, concave transport costs, equilibrium prices. JEL Classification: C72, D43. * Universidad Europea de Madrid, C/ Tajo s/n, Villaviciosa de Odón, Madrid, Spain. Tlf.: +34-912115645, e-mail: hamid.hamoudi@fae.eco.uem.es. ** Dpto. Economía Aplicada, Facultad de CC. Empresariales, As Lagoas s/n, Ourense 32004. Tlf.: +34988-368760. Fax: +34-988-368923, e-mail: mjmoral@uvigo.es. 1. Introduction After Hotelling’s seminal model (1929) many studies about spatial differentiation have appeared in economic literature. This model presents a duopoly where two firms compete for a location in the first stage, and for prices in the second. Hotelling claimed that competition in differentiated products results in minimal differentiation. D’Aspremont, Gabszewicz and Thisse (1979) showed that the minimum differentiation equilibrium does not exist, due to a key calculation in Hotelling’s model being incorrect. They proposed a slight variation on transportation costs choosing a quadratic function and they obtained maximum differentiation equilibrium. This article promoted a great number of works that considered alternative variations on the original assumptions of the model (number of firms, demand function, consumer distribution on the market, transportation costs), and even changed the equilibrium concept by introducing mixed strategies or Stackelberg’s equilibrium. Our interest focuses on quadratic costs in the linear model. In economic literature there is consensus as to convexity on transportation costs being crucial for determining both the equilibrium existence and the product degree of differentiation, whatever the type of market, be it linear or circular. In the circular model, one example with convex transportation costs is the work of Anderson (1986). In the linear model, Economides (1986) analyses the cost function d (with 1 2 , and d the distance), and concludes that for a certain range of there exists a price equilibrium that generates maximum differentiation. Neven (1986) explores the spatial competition with n firms. Both Gabszewicz and Thisse (1986) and Anderson (1988) specify the transportation costs as: c(d)=ad+bd2 with b>0 and d the distance. While Gabszewicz and Thisse were the first to find values of a and b so that no (pure-strategy) price equilibrium exists for symmetric fixed locations of firms, Anderson (1988) later extended that result to any firm location and showed that a pure-strategy perfect equilibrium in the two-stage locations-price game exists only under very stringent conditions which are reduced to the product function being concave in price for any given location pair. Nevertheless, concave transportation costs have remained almost unstudied. As Anderson, De Palma and Thisse (1992) affirm1, Rochet was the first scholar to study such functions. To our knowledge, however, no results have been published in this respect as yet. We can find real life situations that correspond to concave transportation costs justifying the interest in this particular type of transportation costs. For example, there is evidence that flight fares increase in distance but with a decreasing variation rate. 1 See note number 24 in pp. 172. 1 Recently, some studies have focused on analysing concave transportation costs in the circular model. De Frutos, Hamoudi and Xarque (1999) have shown that with the cost function c(d)=d-d2, a Nash price equilibrium exists. Moreover, they have found that, with a variable change, the pass from the concave to the convex case is permitted. Therefore all previous results in the literature of convex transportation costs can be applied to the concave case. But this result of equivalence is only useful for the circular model since it cannot be applied to the linear model due to the asymmetry in consumer distribution, as these authors have demonstrated in a recent article (De Frutos, Hamoudi and Xarque, 2002). In this work we focus on the quadratic transportation cost function c(d)=ad+bd2 in the linear model considering both the concave case (b<0) and the convex one (b>0). From the previous results in the literature it is clear that no pure-strategy price equilibrium exists for any firm locations with linear-quadratic costs in the linear model. Therefore, our first objective is to calculate the feasible equilibrium region for a general linear-quadratic cost function c(d)=ad+bd2 with b<0, since there is no price equilibrium for the whole market. In order to do this, it is crucial to perform a change of variables that explicitly allows us to calculate, in an easier way, the necessary conditions in order to obtain the equilibrium regions. The final aim of the paper consists in comparing the feasible equilibrium regions with both the concave and the convex cases. Regarding this point, we show that the feasible region with convex costs is bigger than with concave costs. Indeed, the feasible region associated to concave costs is totally included in the feasible region corresponding to convex costs. Consequently, a Nash price equilibrium would fit better with convex transportation costs than with concave ones in the linear model. The paper is structured as follows. In Section 2 we describe the model. In Section 3 we study the feasible regions for firm locations where a pure price equilibrium exists. In Section 4 we analyse the results obtained from concave transportation costs versus those from convex costs. Finally, in Section 5 we present our main conclusions. 2. The model There are two firms selling a homogeneous product whose production costs are equal to zero. Prices p1 and p2 are chosen by firm 1 and firm 2, respectively, given their locations. In particular, firms are located in the positions x and y along the linear city with a length l, and we assume that 0 x y l . Consumers are uniformly distributed along the market, and each of them buys just one unit of the industry good from the 2 firm in which the delivered price (total price that results from the addition of list price and transportation cost) is the lowest. Let ~ x denote the consumer location along the line. The distance between the consumer and the seller i is defined by: di = | ~ x - xi | , xi= x, y. The variation of our model with respect to Hotelling’ classic model of horizontal differentiation consists in considering concave transportation costs as follows: c (di ) adi bdi2 i 1, 2. (1) where di is the distance between a buyer and the seller i, and parameters a and b are non-negative2. A first consequence of the concavity of transportation costs on the model is that the length of the market is restricted by the maximum distance at which the cost function is increasing. Therefore, the length l has to verify the following restriction: a a l . Without loss of generality, hereafter we will consider l for concave costs. 2b 2b This aspect reveals that there is no equivalence between concave and convex costs, since with convex transportation costs there are no existing restrictions on space. A second consequence of the concavity of transportation costs is that the demand is no longer connected. Consumers bear the transportation cost of the product, and purchase from the seller with the lowest full price. It makes no difference to a consumer whether he buys from one firm or another when the full price is the same: p1 c(d1 ) p2 c(d 2 ) . With a simple calculation from the equation (1) we find three types of indifferent consumers whom we shall name m1, m and m2, associated with the intervals (0, x), (x, y) and (y, l), respectively. In Figure 1 we can observe the three configurations of both transportations costs. It is clear that for the concave case, three indifferent consumers can never exist simultaneously. Indeed, there can be two, one or no indifferent consumers. While in the circular case two or none can exist. Therefore, demand with concave costs will not be connected, that is, contingent demands are piecewise linear but not concave. After checking that these indifferent consumers actually exist in each interval, we write the demand that firm 1 is facing according to the price dispersion range ( p1 p2 ) as follows: The assumption a>0 and b=0 corresponds with Hotelling’s classic model with linear transportation costs. 2 3 l a ( p 2 p1 ) 2b( y x)(a b( y x)) p 2 p1 x y D1 2 2(a b( y x)) a ( p 2 p1 ) a 2b( y x)(a b( y x)) 2b 0 p1 p 2 ( x y )( a b( y x)) if I1 : if I 2 : ( x y )( a b( y x)) p1 p 2 ( x y )( a b(2l x y )) if I 3 : ( x y )( a b(2l x y )) p1 p 2 ( y x)( a b( x y )) if I 4 : ( y x)( a b( x y )) p1 p 2 ( y x)( a b( y x)) if I 5 : ( y x)( a b( y x)) p1 p 2 (2) Obviously, the demand function for firm 2 is calculated as D2 = l – D1. Figure 2 shows the demand for firm 1 given the price of its rival. It is interesting to notice here that the demand function for each firm is continuous on its own price and depends on both firms’ location through the market. On the other hand, when convex transportation costs are considered (that is, c (d ) ad bd 2 with a, b>0), one or none indifferent consumer exists in the linear i i i case (see Panel B in Figure 1). In the circular model, however, there are two or none indifferent consumers, as with concave costs. Notice that with convex transportation costs there are no restrictions on the length of the market as the cost function is always increasing. The demand function associated to convex costs is more familiar and is written with our notation as: D1 l ( p 2 p1 ) x y a 2 2b 2b ( y x ) x y p 2 p1 2 2( a b( y x )) p 2 p1 x y a 2b ( y x ) 2 2 b 0 if I1 : p1 p 2 ( x y )( a b ( 2l x y )) if I2 : ( x y )( a b ( 2l x y )) p1 p 2 ( x y )( a b ( y x )) if I3 : ( x y )( a b ( y x )) p1 p 2 ( y x )( a b ( y x )) if I4 : ( y x )( a b ( y x )) p1 p 2 ( y x )( a b ( x y )) if I5 : ( y x )( a b ( x y )) p1 p 2 (3) From this demand function the profit function is piecewise concave for given firm locations (see, for example Anderson, 1988). Notice that the five critical intervals are different to the defined ones in equation (2) for the demand associated with concave costs. Moreover, as we have commented before in the linear market, the number of 4 indifferent consumers is not the same with concave and convex costs, again justifying the non-equivalence between both cases, as occurs in the circular model. 3. The feasible region for the existence of a Nash-equilibrium price with concave costs. From the previous results it is clear that no pure-strategy price equilibrium exists for any firm locations with concave costs in the linear model. In this section our objective is to calculate the feasible equilibrium region for a general concave cost function, since there is no price equilibrium for the whole market (see De Frutos, Hamoudi and Xarque, 2002). As it is well-known, “the non-existence of a price equilibrium is not necessarily related to the existence of discontinuities in demand; rather it is the non-quasi-concavity of the profit functions which may pose problems” (Gabszewicz and Thisse, 1986, pp. 30). Precisely, with concave transportation costs the profit function is a non-quasi-concave function, which is the reason that justifies the non-existence of a Nash equilibrium price for any firm locations. We shall now study the feasible regions for the existence of a Nash equilibrium price with concave costs assuming that firm locations are fixed. The Nash equilibrium prices are defined as a pair ( p1N , p2N ) , where p1N maximises B1 ( p1 , p2N ) and p2N maximises B2 ( p1N , p2 ) , respectively. It is convenient to mention that with these equilibrium prices, in addition to the fact that no firm can increase its profits by varying its price unilaterally, we must check that both firms are operating in the market (e.g., there are no incentives to be out of business). Assuming without loss of generality that production costs are zero, the profit function for firm i-th is equal to Bi ( p1 , p2 ) Di ( p1 , p2 ) pi i=1, 2. A simple calculation leads to the profit function defined by intervals in the same way as the demand in equation (2). Figure 3 shows the profit function of firm 1 given values of firm locations (x=0.1, and y=0.3) and the price of firm 2 (p2=0.2). It is clear that the profit function is continuous and non-quasi-concave. In order to obtain the feasible regions associated to a given value for firm locations (x and y) in which a Nash price equilibrium exists, we first derive the necessary and sufficient conditions on those variables in which an equilibrium exists, and secondly, we calculate all equilibria in prices for each firm and each critical interval. Finally, we check the prices are actually a Nash equilibrium. Due to the complexity of the demand function for obtaining a representation of the feasible region, we need to reduce the number of parameters. Therefore, we assume 5 that the linear term of the transportation cost function is equal to the quadratic term, that is, a=b. Then, concave transportation cost function is3: c ( d i ) a ( d i d i2 ) i 1, 2. (4) In spite of restricting a=b, to be able to define the equilibrium in prices we need to introduce a variable change in the following way: z y x and q x y . This change of variables is crucial in calculus for identifying the equilibrium prices because these new variables allow us to draw the feasible regions in an easier way4. The transportation cost function defined in equation (4) implies that the maximum length of the city is 0.5. These new variables are defined on the following intervals: z (0, 0.5], q (0, 1]. In order to facilitate the exposition hereafter, we will use these new variables (z, q) rather than the firm locations (x, y). Proposition 1: Under the concave cost function defined in expression (4), for z and q such as z (0, 0.5], q (0, 1] and z < q there is a Nash-price equilibrium if and only if, 2 2q z when q 0.5 , and 2(1 q ) 2 1 q z when q 0.5 , 2( 2 q ) and whenever it exists, a pure price equilibrium is uniquely determined by: a p1N (1 z)(1q) 3 and a p2N (1 z)( 2q) 3 (4) The demonstration of this proposition is in Appendix I. The feasible region for firm locations in which a price Nash equilibrium exists is shown in Figure 4. Given that Nash equilibrium in pure strategies exists, profits for each firm are a a B1 ( p1N , p2N ) (1 z)(1q) 2 and B2 ( p1N , p2N ) (1 z)(2 q) 2 . 18 18 3 Notice that with this transportation cost function a price equilibrium exists in the circular model. This variable change permits us to reduce the dimension of the problem to solve second order equations rather that fourth or fifth order equations. 4 6 Several comments arise from this proposition: Firstly, the Nash equilibrium prices all differ among themselves except when q=0.5, contrary to the circular model where prices are always the same. This characteristic is specific to the linear market with quadratic transportation costs because there is no symmetry. Secondly, the Nash equilibrium prices are included in the interval I3 defined in the demand equation. Carefully analysing the feasible region in terms of firm locations, we can verify that it is possible to obtain a maximum differentiation (z=q=0.5 x=0 and y=0.5) like a Nash equilibrium (point A in Figure 4). On the other hand, the feasible minimum differentiation will correspond with the smallest feasible value for z that is equal to 0.25 (point B in Figure 4). Indeed, it is possible to obtain the exact firm locations in this situation: x=1/8 and y=3/8. Moreover, this location corresponds with the optimum in terms of profits for both firms. Thirdly, we see that p1N p 2N only if q 0.5 , and this only occurs when firm 1 is located closer to the inferior market boundaries ( x1 0 ) because z>0.25. It is precisely this proximity of firm 1 to the inferior boundary of the market that generates an asymmetry in costs which gives greater market power to firm 2, and therefore, firm 2 will sell at a higher price (the opposite situation exists when q 0.5 ). 4. Comparing results from concave versus convex costs in the linear model. In this section we compare the results obtained in a linear market regarding two types of transportation cost functions: concave and convex. First of all, we present the results associated to a convex transportation cost function in order to facilitate the comparison with the concave case. Interestingly it turns out to be the results of Gabszewicz and Thisse (1986) and Anderson (1989) who analysed convex transportation costs. While Gabszewicz and Thisse were the first to find such values of a and b that no (pure-strategy) price equilibrium exists for symmetric fixed locations of firms, Anderson (1988) later extended that result to any firm location and showed that a pure-strategy perfect equilibrium in the two-stage locations-price game only exists under very stringent conditions that are reduced to the product function being concave in price for any given location pair. 7 Proposition 2: c (di ) a(di di2 ) Under the convex cost function defined as , for z and q such as z (0, 0.5], q (0, 1] and z < q there is a Nash-price equilibrium if and only if, 4q 2 q 4 2(1 q) 7 7q 4q 2 q 0.5 when , and z 1 3 (1 4q) z 1 4 q 2 7 q 7 2( q 2 ) 4 q 2 q 4 when q≥0.5, and 3 (5 4q) whenever it exists, a pure price equilibrium is uniquely determined by: a ~ p1N (1 z) (1q) 3 and p2N a (1 z) ( 2q) 3 (6) The demonstration of this proposition is in Appendix II. Given the Nash equilibrium prices, the profits for each firm with convex costs a a B1 ( p1N , p 2N ) (1 z)(1q) 2 B2 ( p1N , p 2N ) (1 z)(2 q) 2 18 18 are: and . Several comments arise from this proposition 2: Firstly, as with concave costs, the optimal prices are different between firms. Consequently, this is a characteristic for the linear model, since optimal prices are identical for both firms in the circular model. Secondly, with convex costs it is possible to obtain a lesser degree of differentiation (distance between firms) since the minimum value for z is 0.2071 (see point M in Figure 5), in contrast with the concave case that is 0.25. In particular, the firm locations in this feasible minimum differentiation are: x=0.14645 and y=0.35355. Finally, with respect to the existence of market power for a firm that allows to fix higher prices, the behaviour is similar to that obtained for concave costs. Figure 5 presents the feasible regions associated to convex and concave costs. Clearly, we can check that the feasible region is more restrictive for concave costs (ACBD) than for convex costs (ALMN). Indeed, the feasible region for convex costs 8 completely contains the region for concave costs. The variation range for q is limited by [0.292, 0.7081] in convex case versus [0.3618, 0.6382] in concave case. Therefore we can conclude that it is more probable to find a Nash equilibrium in prices with convex than with concave transportation costs. The reason for this is that the equilibrium region in the convex case is larger than in the concave costs for both firms and for any locations. 5. Conclusions. One of the first conclusions that we can make from this study is the difficulty of the search for the feasible regions in the linear model when linear-quadratic transportation costs are considered (concave or convex). This difficulty arises due to the very high degree of polynomials that need to be solved. For this reason, our contribution consists in the use of a change of variables that is crucial in order to reduce the dimension of the problem. Until we know the calculus of the feasible regions has been avoided. Precisely, the use of that change of variable allows us to calculate the feasible regions of both concave and convex transportation costs. In particular, inside each equilibrium region we obtain the best locations for firms. Finally, we can conclude that the price behaviour is rather similar in both transportation costs (concave and convex). Although it is clear that the feasible region of equilibrium with convex costs is larger than with concave costs. 9 Appendix 1: Demonstration of Proposition 1. ( p1N , p2N ) First of all, we must evaluate what the pair of prices generates a global maximum in profit functions of both firms. To do that it is necessary consider all local maxima obtained for every interval in equation (2) due to profit function is defined ( p1N , p2N ) at the same intervals. Prices are in the interval I3 therefore we have to compare with intervals I1, I2 and I4, respectively. p1* p2 z(1 z ) In the first interval the local maximum occurs when . In the 2q 2q z 5q 2 , and it is given by interval I2 a local maximum exists if and only if 6 1 p1** (1 z )( 2 q) 6 . Finally, in the interval I4 the local maximum is p1*** p2 z(1 q) expressions, given . In sum, for firm 1 we have to prove that p2N p1N verify the following , z and q. B1( p1N , p2N ) B1( p1* , p2N ) B1( p1N , p2N ) B1( p1** , p2N ) B1( p1N , p2N ) B1( p1*** , p2N ) (A.1.a) (A.1.b) (A.1.c) The last condition always occurs because profits continuously decrease on all values in the corresponding interval (see Figure 3). In relation to the other two conditions, they are true if and only if firm locations comply, respectively, with: z 5 5q q 2 9 2q z 2(1 q ) (A.2.a) 2 (A.2.b) From these conditions and together with the feasible regions defined by each local maximum, we check that the expression (A.2.b) is the most restrictive when q 0.5 , while the expression (A.2.a) is the most restrictive when q>0.5. On the other hand, carrying out a similar analysis for the firm 2 we find that the p2N p1N maximization problem is symmetrical respect to q=0.5. Let be such as, given , 10 p2* p2** z, and q, maximises comparing with all local maxima defined as , *** N p2 p2 and for each interval. In a similar way for firm 1, is a global maximum if and B2 ( p1N , p2 ) 2 1 q q 2 7q 1 q 0.5 z z 9 2( 2 q) when q>0.5. In only if when , and ( p1N , p2N ) p1N consequence, given that is the vector of Nash equilibrium prices, must N p2 be the best reply against given locations, and viceversa. Finally, we select the 2 2q z q 0.5 common region for both firms and it is represented by , 2(1 q ) when 2 1 q z q 0.5 and . 2( 2 q ) when Q.E.D. 11 Appendix II: Demonstration of Proposition 2. Let us follow the same structure used in Appendix I, taking into account that the critical intervals are now defined according to equation (3). The Nash equilibrium prices in expression (6) belong to the third interval, then we calculate that its feasible region is 1 2q 2q 1 q 0.5 q 0.5 z z 3 when 3 when given by , and . Afterwards, we have ~ p2N to calculate local maxima in the other intervals for firm 1 given values , z and q. 1 ~ p1* ( 2 q)(1 2 z ) 3 In the first interval the local maximum is equal to . In the 2 q z ( 2q 1) ~ p1** 6 second interval, there exists a local maximum equal to , if and 1 4q 16q 2 16q 49 2q z 12 only if firm locations verify 7 2q . Finally, the 2 q z ( 2 q 5 ) ~ ~ p1*** p1N 6 local maximum in interval I4 is defined by . Then will be the global equilibrium for firm 1 if and only if verifies the following expressions: B1( ~ p1N , ~ p2N ) B1( ~ p1* , ~ p2N ) B1( ~ p1N , ~ p2N ) B1( ~ p1** , ~ p2N ) B1( ~ p1N , ~ p2N ) B1( ~ p1*** , ~ p2N ) (A.3.a) (A.3.b) (A.3.c) The last condition always occurs because the profit function is continuously decreasing in that interval. The other conditions are true if and only if locations comply respectively with: z z 5 5q q 2 q 2 4q 13 (A.4.a) 4q 2 q 4 2(1 q) 4q 2 7q 7 3(1 4q) (A.4.b) From these conditions and together with the feasible regions for each local maximum, we have checked that the expression (A.4.b) is the most restrictive but only q 0.5 when . 12 References Anderson, S., (1987), “Spatial competition and price leadership”, International Journal of Industrial Organization, Vol. 5 (2), pp. 369-398. Anderson, S., (1988), “Equilibrium existence in the linear model of spatial competition”, Economica, Vol. 55, pp. 479-491. D’Aspremont, C., Gabszewicz, JJ. And Thisse JF., (1979), “On Hotelling’s stability in competition”, Econometrica, Vol. 47, pp. 1145-1150. De Frutos, A., Xarque, X. and Hamoudi, H., (1999), “Equilibrium existence in the circle model with linear quadratic transport costs”, Regional Science and Urban Economics, Vol. 29 (5), pp. 605-615. De Frutos, A., Xarque, X. and Hamoudi, H., (2002), “Spatial competition with concave transport costs”, Regional Science and Urban Economics, Vol. 32, pp. 531-540. Economides, N., (1986), “Minimal and maximal differentiation in Hotelling’ duopoly”, Economics Letters, Vol. 21, pp. 67-71. Gabszewicz, JJ., and Thisse, JF., (1986), “On the nature of competition with differentiation products”, The Economic Journal, Vol. 96, pp. 160-172. Hotelling, H. (1929), “Stability in competition”, Bell Journal, Vol. 39, pp. 41-57. Neven, D., (1985), “In Hotelling’s competition with non-uniform customer distributions”, Economic Letters, Vol. 231, pp. 121-126. 13 Figure 1: Price and transportation costs respect to each firm with concave and convex costs. Panel a: Concave transportation costs. x y m x m1 x m x y y m y m2 Panel b: Convex transportation costs. x m y m1 x y x y x m2 y Note: m1, m and m2 are indifferent consumers associated with the intervals (0,x), (x,y) and (y,l), respectively. 14 Figure 2: Demand for firm 1, given the price of firm 2. D( p1 , p2 ) I1 I2 I3 I5 I4 P1 15 Figure 3: Profit function of firm 1*. I2 I1 I3 I4 I5 * Note: The values for firm locations and for price of firm 2 are x=0.1, y=0.3 and p2= 0.2, respectively. 16 Figure 4: Feasible region for a Nash equilibrium with concave transportation costs. 0,6 A 0,5 0,4 z 0,3 1 q 2( 2 q ) 2 B 0,2 2q z 2(1 q ) 0,1 2 0 0 0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,7 0,8 0,9 1 17 Figure 5: Feasible regions for the Nash equilibrium with concave and convex transportation costs*. 0,6 Concave costs: ACBD A 0,5 0,4 C D Convex costs: ALMN 0,3 B L N 0,2 M 0,1 0 0 0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 0,6 0,7 0,8 0,9 1 18