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8. Conservation genetics 8.1. Extinctions 8.2. Molecular biology in conservation 8.3. Inbreeding 8.3.1. Genetic load 8.3.2. Genetic consequences of inbreeding 8.3.3. Genotype frequencies and breeding system 8.3.4. Estimation of F 8.3.5. Pedigrees and F 8.3.6. Inbreeding depression 8.3.7. Genetic basis of ID 8.4. Genetic diversity as a conservation issue 8.4.1. Genetic restoration 1 8.1. Extinctions • Commonplace – – – – 3-30 million species are thought to exist on earth today 5-50 billion species has existed at one time or another truly lousy survival record: 99.9% failure (Raup 1999) extinction rate not constant 2 Mass extinctions • Five – – – – – Ordovician Devonian Permian Triassic Cretacous (65 mya) • 38% marine animals went extinct; among land animals the percentage higher 3 Sixth mass extinction today? • World Conservation Union (IUCN) • founded 1948, assesses conservation status of species • Red List of Threatened Species http://www.iucnredlist.org/ – 20 219 species threatened by 2012 • • • • • • • EX = Extinct (hävinnyt) EW = Extinct in the wild (hävinnyt luonnosta) CR = Critically endangered (äärimmäisen uhanalainen) EN = Endangered (erittäin uhanalainen) VU = Vulnerable (vaaraantunut) NT = Near threatened (silmälläpidettävä) LC = Least consern (elinvoimainen) 4 5 501 mammals; 1 138 (25%)threatened 5 10 064 birds; 1 303 (13%) threatened EX EW CR EN VU NR LC bad data 6 Sixth mass extinction today? • • Many with small population sizes, for example island endemics Many with large populations has been progressively reduced to the point of endangerment – Last passenger pigeon (Ectopistes migratorious) died in Cincinnati zoo in 1914 – Less than 50 years earlier billions of individuals: – ’ John James Audubon watched a flock pass overhead for three days and estimated that at times more than 300 million pigeons flew by him each hour’ – Hunted for meat 7 8.2. Molecular biology in conservation • In early days destructive sampling • PCR-technology – non-destructive sampling – non-invasive sampling 8 • Conservation Genetics – understand the relationship between genetic variability and population viability • monitoring genetic diversity using both neutral and adaptive genetic markers • low level of genetic diversity may interact with other factors, such as demographic and environmental variation, to generate an "extinction vortex" – much of conservation genetics involves the estimation of effective population size, structure and gene flow among populations 9 • Example: Effective population size in Finnish wolf population 10 Jannson et al 2014 BMC Evolutionary Biology • Estimation using the temporal method § Is based on changes in allele frequencies that occur between two or more temporal samples taken from a small population § Larger changes in allele frequencies in smaller populations because of genetic drift § Effective population size could be estimated on the basis of the amount of change 11 • Estimates of Ne in Finnish wolf population using several temporal methods (Jansson et al. 2012 Mol Ecol) – – – – Number of breeding individuals in 2004 = 34 Migration and inbreeding avoidance increase Ne Ne/Nc = 0.16 – 1.17 Ne large enough for self sustaining population? 12 8.3. Inbreeding 8.3.1. Genetic load • • When parents of an individual share one or more common ancestors, the individual is inbred Inbreeding depression = Reduction of fitness due to breeding between close relatives • genetic load = The reduction in the mean fitness for a population compared to the theoretical maximum fitness – The magnitude depends on how many and how harmful recessive alleles are found in the population • Example: Great tit (van Nordwijk & Scharloo 1981) 13 Example: Swedish captive wolfs 14 Laikre & Ryman. 1991. Conservation Biology 5 8.3.2. Genetic consequences of inbreeding Genotype frequencies in self-fertilization: e.g. p = q = 0.5 Genotype Frequency AA 0.25 Aa 0.5 aa 0.25 Let’s assume individuals of each genotype has an offspring Parent genotypes Offspring genotypes Frequency AA Aa aa AA 0.5 Aa + 0.25 AA +0.25 aa aa 0.25x1 + 0.5x0.25 = 0.375 0.5x0.5 = 0.25 0.25x1 + 0.5x0.25 = 0.37515 • the frequency of heterozygotes is halved • no changes in allele frequencies 16 Inbreeding reveals diseases caused by rare resessive alleles; examples from human population: 17 8.3.3. Genotype frequencies and breeding system Genotypes Population F A/A A/a a/a Random mating 0 p2 2pq q2 Fully inbred 1 p 0 q Partially inbred F p2(1-F)+Fp =p2 + Fpq 2pq(1-F)+Fx0 =2pq(1-F) q2 (1-F)+Fq =q2 +Fpq • The ratio of heterozygosity in an inbred population relative to that in an outbred population is : HI/H0 = 2pq(1-F)/2pq = 1- F F = 1 – (HI/H0) (F is the inbreeding coefficient) 18 8.3.4. Estimation of F • Deficiency of heterozygotes at a locus controlling black vs. grey lemma colour in oats (kaleen väri kauralla) Genotype BB Bb bb Observed 0.548 0.071 0.281 Expected (HW) 0.340 0.486 0.173 F = 1 – (HI/H0) = 1-(0.071/0.486) = 0.85 19 • Loss of heterozygosity and F – Estimate of inbreeding coefficient for a population can be obtained from the loss of genetic diversity over time: Ht /H0 = (1- ½ Ne)t (1-F0)= 1 – F F = 1-(1- ½ Ne)t (1-F0) Where t = number of generations and F0 = initial inbreeding Or simplified, when heterozygosity of the original population is compared to inbred: F = 1 – (Ht/H0) 20 21 • Example: Grey wolf, Isle Royale 22 • Grey wolves – in the endangered Isle Royal population allozyme heterozygosity was 3.9% – In a nearby mainland population heterozygosity was 8.7% F = (1- Ht /H0 ) = (1- 0.039/0.087) = 0.55 23 8.3.5. Pedigrees and F • Calculation of F-coefficient A1A2 Probability that A1 is passed from A to D is ½ and D to X is ½ A D E Probability that A1 is passed from A to E is ½ and E to X = = ½ Probability that A2 is passed from A to D is ½ and D to X is ½ X ? Probability that A2 is passed from A to E is ½ and E to X = = ½ F = (½)4 + (½)4 = 1/8= 0.125 24 • More complicated pedigrees: – Chain counting method • Find all possible chains through different ancestors • Count number of individuals (n) in chains (except individual I, for which you are calculating F). • In each chain inbreeding coefficient is F = (1/2)n • Add the contributions of different counts: • F = Σ(½)n(1 + Fca), Where n is # of individuals in path to common ancestor and back and Fca is inbreeding coefficient of common ancestor 25 Example: The common ancestors, their chains, inbreeding coefficents and contribution to inbreeding coefficient of Z All other CAs have an inbreeding coefficient of 0 except H: FH (CAD) = 1+(1/2)3=1.125 CA Path n Effect to F A XKGCADHLY 9 (½)9 0.00195 B XKHDBEJMY 8 (½)8 0.00391 B XKHDBEALY 8 (½)8 0.00391 C XKGCHLY 7 (½)7 0.00781 H XKHLY 5 (½)5 (1.125) 0.03516 Fx = 0.05273 26 8.3.6. Inbreeding depression • Production of calves in muskox (Laikre, Ryman & Lundh 1997; Cons. Biol. 79: 197-204 27 • Production of cubs in Swedish wolves (Liberg et al. 2006; Biol Letters) 28 29 • Quantitative characters closely related to fitness show more inbreeding depression than those that are less closely related to fitness • DeRose & Roff 1999. Evolution: – At inbreeding coefficient of 0.25 (=full-sib mating): – In morphological traits inbreeding depression reduced fitness by 2.2 % – In life-history traits fitness reduced by 11.8% 30 Measuring inbreeding depression • • ID = inbreeding depression = 1(compare with F = 1 − ) Lethal equivalents - group of detrimental alleles that would cause on average one death if homozygous - Probability of survival (S) can be expressed as - S = e –(A+BF) => ln S = -A-BF • where e-A is the fitness in outbred population (A is a measure of death due largely to environmental factors but also to other factors not included in B) • B is a measure of the hidden genetic damage that would be expressed fully in a complete homozygote (F = l) • F is the coefficient of inbreeding 31 • Lethal equivalents in Okapi (de Bois et al. 1990) – slope of the regression line is –1.8 suggesting that population contains 1.8 haploid and 3.6 diploid lethal equivalents 32 • The number of lethal equivalents may be also estimated as Morton et al. (1956) and Sorensen (1969) 2B = - 4 ln R where R is the relative survivorship of offspring from selfpollination in relation to offspring from cross-pollination (=F) and 2B is the average number of lethal equivalents per zygote • In bilberry (Vacinium myrtillus) in the experimental field (Nuortila, Tuomi, Aspi & Laine, 2006): – mean inbreeding depression at the embryonic stage R = 0.8 (± 0.04) – Lead to a mean of 2B = 7.8 (± 0.8; N = 18) lethal equivalents per zygote 33 8.3.7. Genetic basis of ID • Dominance hypothesis Alleles Fitness A1A1 1 A1A2 1 – hs A2A2 1 –s h=degree of dominance of A2 s=selection coefficient against A2A2 Þ maladaptive and lethal, caused by partially or mostly recessive alleles – mutation brings new, selection against (mutation- selection model) • Overdominance hypothesis Alleles Fitness A1A1 1-t A1A2 1 A2A2 1 –s t=selection coefficient against A1A1 s=selection coefficient against A2A2 Þheterozygosity itself ‘good’ – allele frequencies higher than in the mutation-selection model 34 • How to study? – If heterozygosity itself is good, then individual heterozygosity and fitness should correlate • However, this phenomenon could be caused for example by population structure or partial inbreeding • Enzyme gene heterozygosity: only rarely heterozygosity-fitness correlation, which could not be explained by the population structure • However several cases of correlations with DNAstudies – Biometrical evidence: only a little evidence of overdominance 35 • If continuous and fragmented populations of a same species are considered then (Whitlock 2003; Genetics): – According to the dominance theory: small fragmented population should have less inbreeding depression: deleterious alleles are purged in small inbred populations A1A1 A1A2 A2A2 1 1 – hs 1–s – According to the overdominance theory: there should not be large differences between fragmented and continuous populations A1A1 A1A2 A2A2 1–t 1 1–s 36 • Example: Inbreeding depression in Glanville fritillary in Finland and France (Haikola et al. 2001, Conservation Genetics 2: 325-335) 37 • Finland (Åland): fragmented small populations • France: continuous large populations Less inbreeding depression in Finnish populations - dominance model – purging 38 8.4. Genetic diversity as a conservation issue • ”Small populations are generally likely to go extinct because of demographical and environmental stochasticity and genetics is unlikely to make a substantial difference” (Lande 1989) 39 • Models in which non-genetic (environmental stochasticity and population demography) and genetic processes are included have shown that many populations will loose most or all of their neutral genetic diversity before non-genetic random events lead to extinction (Vuketich, J. A. & Waite. T. A. 1998. Erosion of heterozygosity in fluctuating populations. Conservation Biology 13: 860-868) 40 • Genetic diversity is important: island populations more prone to extinctions (Frankham 1998) – – Of animal extinctions since 1600, 75% have been of island species 90% of species driven to extinction in historic times have been island dwellers 41 • In island populations inbreeding coefficients are high 42 • Example: Black robin (Petroica traversi, Chathaminsieppo) – In 1980 the entire black robin species comprised only of 5 birds, and the current population of 287 mature individuals (2013) is known to be derived from a single breeding pair (S. L. Ardern & D. M. Lambert. 1997. Is the black robin in genetic peril? Mol Ecol 6 : 21– 28) 43 • Levels of minisatellite DNA variation in the black robin are among the lowest reported for any avian species in the wild. • Surprisingly, similarly bottlenecked control populations of a closely related species (P. australis australis) exhibit significantly higher levels of genetic variation. 44 45 • The observed pattern suggests that the black robin's persistence in a single small population for the last 100 years, rather than the recent bottleneck itself, accounts for the low genetic variation observed. • Despite genetic impoverishment, survival and reproductive performance indicate that the black robin is viable under existing conditions. • This illustrates that significant levels of genetic variation are not a necessary prerequisite for endangered species' survival. 46 • Example: Glanville fritillary (Saccheri et al. 1998) – Genetic diversity important: extinction risk and inbreeding • Seven loci studied (5 allozymes, 2 microsatellites) in populations with different numbers of individuals 47 • • • Level of heterozygosity made a significant contribution to the model explaining the observed extinctions Inbreeding affects several fitness components in Glanville fritillary populations Single generation of brother-sister inbreeding decreased egg hatching rate by ca 30% Black = extinct White = surviving sample model: isoclines for the extinction risk predicted by the model, including ecological factors and heterozygosity 48 • Adder population in Sweden (Madsen et al. 1999; Nature 102: 34-35) – adding a single new male increased significantly the number of adults and recruits 49