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WEATHER/ By Jack Williams WILEY POSTS high-altitude flights get some credit for discovering the jet stream. THEAIRUPTHERE JET STREAMS AFFECT WEATHER WHERE YOU FLY hen you're watching the weather on local television—which helps you see the big picture before you obtain a preflight weather briefing—the meteorologist is likely to show a simplified upper air map to help explain the current or expected weather while pointing to the "jet stream" on the map. W JETSTREAM WIND SPEEDS VARY WITH "JETSTREAKS" OF FASTER WINDS EMBEDDED IN SLOWER WINDS. 40/ FLIGHTTRAINING.AOPA.ORG Often the map's "jet stream" doesn't meet the strict definition: "a relatively narrow river of very strong horizontal winds (usually 50 knots or greater) embedded in the winds that circle Earth aloft." That's OK. For your purposes, all you need to know is generally which way winds are blowing high in the atmosphere. This is because high-altitude winds follow the boundaries between deep layers of warm and cold air. These boundaries are fronts at the surface and are usually locations of potentially dangerous weather. If the "jet stream" you see on television is running generally west to east w i t h maybe a few shallow waves, the weather should remain generally calm for at least the next day or two. Since temperature of the air between the surface and any particular level i n the upper atmosphere determines patterns of winds aloft, high-altitude winds that turn toward the south indicate cold air is moving south. The jet stream is above the warm-cold air boundary below. W h e n a jet stream that's been heading toward the south turns to head north, it shows that warm air below is moving toward the north. On the other hand, upper-level winds blowing generally west to east indicate that large Figure 2 is a three-dimensional view of a jet stream. As you see i n Figure 2, jet streams are somewhat like tubes within tubes—although the "tubes" in real jet streams aren't as perfectly round as those in the drawing. The tube at the center in Figure 2 could represent a core of winds as fast as 300 knots, although highest speeds are more often i n the 150-knot range. The outer tube in the figure represents 50-knot winds. THE WEATHER BELOW. Jet streaks are one important way in w h i c h jet streams affect the weather down to the surface. A t the beginning of a jet streak, such as off the FIGURE 1. 300-millibar map showing wind speeds and direction. coast of Baja California, Mexico (Figure 1), the air is speeding up. At the end of a streak, such as over the Southeast, the air is slowing down. Where the wind is FIGURE 2. 3-D view of a jet stream. speeding up the air is spreading out as l0 o-4°° 1,000-7,000 feet thick • 1,000-3,000 miles long • masses of cold air are not moving toward The map's slightly lighter lines—such fast-moving air leaves slower-moving air the south and masses of warm air aren't as those making circles off the Southern moving north. The absence of such move- California coast and over the Gulf of Such divergence encourages air to rise ments stifles storms because they form Mexico—are contours of equal pressure from the ground somewhat like air rush- when masses of cold and warm air come heights. ing to fill a vacuum. As air rises it forms or into conflict. The map shows a "polar jet" along and mostly north of the United States-Canada behind. Meteorologists say it's "diverging." deepens areas of low atmospheric pressure at the surface. A CLOSER LOOK AT JET STREAMS. Figure border; and a "subtropical jet" across the At the end of a jet streak, where the 1 is a simplified 300-millibar map of south and running up the Atlantic Coast. wind is slowing down, the air is piling North America showing only w i n d Such a pattern is common across North up—converging—which forces air down to speeds and directions roughly 39,000 feet America during the winter. form or strengthen an area of high pres- above sea level. The slightly darker black You'll see that an area of 50 knots plus sure at the surface or to weaken an area of lines w i t h numbers at the ends are iso- connects the parts of the subtropical jet tachs, w h i c h connect equal w i n d speeds. winds that drop below 78 knots above The numbers at the end of the line show the Southeast and resume off the North cause air to diverge or converge with simi- wind speeds i n knots. If you look closely Carolina coast. The polar jet's dip over lar effects on atmospheric pressures at the at these lines you don't see any numbers the Great Lakes shows that cold air has surface. These effects of jet streams are below 50. moved into this area. one of the biggest ways i n which winds The lighter red areas are winds The map clearly shows that jet stream low pressure on the surface below. The curving paths of jet streams also aloft influence the weather at the surface between 75 and 100 knots and the dark wind speeds vary with "jet streaks" of and the lower levels of the atmosphere red indicates winds faster than 100 knots. faster winds embedded in slower winds. where most general aviation aircraft fly. OCTOBER 2012 / FLIGHT TRAINING / 41 WEATHERH FIGURE 3. Jet stream winds and surface storm system. SURFACE WEATHER. If you look at a surface weather map that shows winds, you'll see air is moving in counterclockwise swirls (in the Northern Hemisphere) as it flows into low-pressure areas. A i r flowing into a low-pressure area would eventually increase the pressure inside the area to match pressures outside and wind would stop blowing. Meteorologists say the low has filled. On the other hand, if air is flowing up from the surface low faster than surface air is arriving, the pressure in the low w i l l drop. Meteorologists say the low has deepened; it is stronger and winds flowing into it w i l l blow faster. If converging air aloft is forcing air down into the surface low, the low w i l l fill and winds flowing into it w i l l slow down. Converging air aloft can also strengthen an area of high pressure at the surface if it more than makes up for air that's flowing out of the surface high at the surface in a clockwise swirl (in the Northern Hemisphere). Figure 3 shows a typical relation between jet stream winds and a surface storm system with a low pressure center, marked with the small " L " over the area where Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, and Arkansas meet. The curving black lines are pressure contours at the 300-millibar level. 42/ FLIGHTTRAINING.AOPA.ORG The large " L " at the top of the page represents the lowest altitude of the 300-millibar pressure on this map. The dashed line from it down over Texas is the axis of a trough aloft, an elongated area of low pressure. As shown here such high-altitude troughs often help set the stage for storms. If you look at the three contour lines centered on the surface low, you see they are diverging. In other words, the 300-millibar winds are spreading out here. The surface low formed and strengthened as air rose to replace the diverging air aloft. The relations among upper air and surface weather features, like most other aspects of meteorology are complex, but being a weatherwise pilot doesn't require mastering meteorology's complexities. Nevertheless, you should go beyond what most self-study, pilot-training materials offer. Consider a good, collegelevel beginning text. One of the best is Meteorology Today: Art Introduction to Weather, Climate, and the Environment by C. Donald Ahrens. Jack Williams is an instrument-rated private pilot. His latest book is The AMS Weather Book: The Ultimate Guide to America's Weather.