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Ozone Report 2008 8-hr. av. O3 National Ambient Air Quality Standard: The annual fourth-highest daily maximum 8-hour concentration, averaged over 3 years, measured at each monitor within an area must not exceed 0.075 ppm.1 2014 Compliance* with 2008 Eight-Hour Ozone Standard, SA Region2 Fourth Highest Current* 4th Highest value Monitoring Site 3-Year in 2014 must fall 2012 2013 2014* Average below this value† Camp Bullis C58 87 83 65 78 57 Calaveras Lake C59 70 69 63 67 88 San Antonio Northwest C23 81 76 60 72 70 * 2014 as of 11:12 am CST 7/13/2014; no new 2014 fourth-highest since AIR Tech of 6/9/14 † If the three year average for 2012-2014 is to be in compliance with the 2008 standard, the 4th highest eight-hour average daily reading for 2014 must be less than these values. On March 13, 2014, the regulatory monitoring station at Camp Bullis recorded an 8-hour average ozone level of 59 ppb. Combined with the appropriate fourth-highest values recorded during 2012 and 2013, if these readings are confirmed by TCEQ, then the San Antonio region will be have exceeded or violated the current 2008 8-hour average ozone standard for the third year in a row. During the June 9th meeting of the AIR Technical Committee, Vice-Chairman Nick Page asked if the Air Quality Health Alerts in the AACOG region at the end of May provided eight-hour averages above 65 ppb at Camp Bullis. A review of data including the Daily Maximum Eight-Hour Ozone Averages page showed the Daily Maximum Eight-Hour Ozone Averages in TCEQ Region 13 for the last few days of May: 29 30 31 48 52 63 63 47 50 59 50 64 66 56 1 2 64 35 81 63 51 53 58 54 63 91 76 59 59 68 66 50 53 54 51 55 71 63 Monitoring Site San Antonio Northwest C23 Camp Bullis C58 Calaveras Lake C59 Elm Creek Elementary C501 Fair Oaks Ranch C502 Bulverde Elementary C503 New Braunfels Airport C504 City of Garden Ridge C505 Seguin Outdoor Learning Center C506 Heritage Middle School C622 CPS Pecan Valley C678 http://www.epa.gov/air/criteria.html http://www.tceq.state.tx.us/cgi-bin/compliance/monops/8hr_attainment.pl Page 1 of 3 Because these high values are in traditionally upwind sites which have usually have lower ozone values, they didn’t do anything to move the needle on the controlling monitor, C58, nor on the design value for C59. But the striking difference of 56 ppb between the controlling monitor C58 and C622 made me think again. A plot of the locations of the monitors using the AQI Index-related colors for the sites revealed an unusual distribution pattern of higher readings. Looking at the distribution, it is reasonable to imagine a gradient of concentrations ranging between 6075 ppb that would form a yellow band connecting C501 to C23 to C506 and which, like an isopleth, would separate the higher values shown in orange to the south and east from the lower values shown in white to the north. Bryan Lambeth, meteorologist with TCEQ explained that the low ozone reading at Camp Bullis C58 on May 30 was caused by an instrument problem. The data pulled had not yet been validated and subsequently after validation some of the data that day was invalidated because of the instrument problem and resulted in the peak 8-hour ozone being incomplete. He provided plots using EPA’s AirNowTech Navigator web page, one of which is included below. He explained that Navigator also produces HYSPLIT backward-in-time air parcel trajectories, so he ran a set of three trajectories, each for a different altitude, to track the path of the air arriving near the time of the ozone peak at Heritage Middle School. He also added output from the NOAA ozone model for comparison each hour. He also added, “Please note that this is a very preliminary and limited analysis and should not be used as an official assessment.” Page 2 of 3 He explained, “Regional incoming ozone background levels were in the 50-60 ppb range as indicated by sites on the north and northeast side of the San Antonio area that were primarily upwind that day. Winds were very light and with sunny conditions and warm temperatures ideal for ozone formation and accumulation. The NOAA ozone model performed fairly well on this day in showing the ozone peak on the southeast side of the San Antonio area. Also, on the previous day we issued an Ozone Action Day notice for this day.” Page 3 of 3