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Lesson 6: Using Tree Diagrams to Represent a Sample Space and
Lesson 6: Using Tree Diagrams to Represent a Sample Space and

Probabilistic models and probability measures
Probabilistic models and probability measures

... When the sample space Ω is uncountable, the idea of defining the probability of a general subset of Ω in terms of the probabilities of elementary outcomes runs into difficulties. Suppose, for example, that the experiment consists of drawing a number from the interval [0, 1], and that we wish to model ...
Native American Games
Native American Games

Uniform Laws of Large Numbers
Uniform Laws of Large Numbers

... rules of probability theory. So, no matter what interpretation is ascribed to the concept of probability, if the numerical values of the events under consideration follow the addition and product rules then the LLNs are just an inevitable logical consequence. In other words, you don’t have to be a f ...
Chapter 4 Key Ideas Events, Simple Events, Sample Space, Odds
Chapter 4 Key Ideas Events, Simple Events, Sample Space, Odds

Review for AP Exam and Final Exam
Review for AP Exam and Final Exam

HW 2 SOLUTIONS 1. 3.11. Suppose that a medical test has a 92
HW 2 SOLUTIONS 1. 3.11. Suppose that a medical test has a 92

ppt
ppt

a critical evaluation of comparative probability - Philsci
a critical evaluation of comparative probability - Philsci

Signal Averaging
Signal Averaging

CMP3_G7_MS_ACE1
CMP3_G7_MS_ACE1

... HHH, TTT, THT, HTH, TTH, HHT, THH, and HTT. Note: Some students may answer no for this question, which is fine as long as their reasoning is correct. They may say that the outcomes for tossing three coins at once are three heads, three tails, two heads and one tail, or two tails and one head. These ...
Math Review - Cobb Learning
Math Review - Cobb Learning

Chapter 8 - SaigonTech
Chapter 8 - SaigonTech

PowerPoint
PowerPoint

Probability myths
Probability myths

... In our simulation each digit will represent a coin toss. We can let odd digits represent the outcome “heads” and let even digits represent the outcome “tails.” Note this works out because there are 5 odd digits and 5 even digits (including 0), so the probability of choosing an odd number is exactly ...
Chapter 4
Chapter 4

Lecture 10: Hard-core predicates 1 The Next
Lecture 10: Hard-core predicates 1 The Next

... This construction only extends a k-bit seed to k + 1 bits. Is that sufficient? It is. We can generate an infinite sequence very simply by saying that bit k of our sequence is just G(f k (s)). That is, iterate the one-way permutation k times, and then apply the hard-core predicate. Aside: This means ...
Review for MAT 114 Exam 2-PDF
Review for MAT 114 Exam 2-PDF

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Picturing the Sample Space
Picturing the Sample Space

Number Cube Sums
Number Cube Sums

Conditional Probability
Conditional Probability

Reasoning with Probabilities
Reasoning with Probabilities

Probability Probability is the study of uncertain events or outcomes
Probability Probability is the study of uncertain events or outcomes

... We could rewrite these probabilities as q = 1/6 + θ and p = 1/6 − 2θ, where θ is a function of k. By creating several dice with different values of k, we could experiment to try to determine the relationship between θ and k. Alternatively, we could try to use the laws of physics and develop a mathema ...
here
here

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Inductive probability

Inductive probability attempts to give the probability of future events based on past events. It is the basis for inductive reasoning, and gives the mathematical basis for learning and the perception of patterns. It is a source of knowledge about the world.There are three sources of knowledge: inference, communication, and deduction. Communication relays information found using other methods. Deduction establishes new facts based on existing facts. Only inference establishes new facts from data.The basis of inference is Bayes' theorem. But this theorem is sometimes hard to apply and understand. The simpler method to understand inference is in terms of quantities of information.Information describing the world is written in a language. For example a simple mathematical language of propositions may be chosen. Sentences may be written down in this language as strings of characters. But in the computer it is possible to encode these sentences as strings of bits (1s and 0s). Then the language may be encoded so that the most commonly used sentences are the shortest. This internal language implicitly represents probabilities of statements.Occam's razor says the ""simplest theory, consistent with the data is most likely to be correct"". The ""simplest theory"" is interpreted as the representation of the theory written in this internal language. The theory with the shortest encoding in this internal language is most likely to be correct.
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